2024 NFL Draft: Fantasy Football Landing Spots


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2024 NFL Draft: Fantasy Football Landing Spots

After a record-breaking 13 straight offensive players came off of the board, Round 1 was one of the biggest nights of fantasy football impact in NFL Draft history.

The league is starving for quarterbacks as six passers went in the opening 12 selections, marking another first draft first. The top-3 picks were chalk – but that didn’t last long. The Falcons and Broncos broke the draft wide open with their QB choices.

Let’s break down the fantasy impact on these incoming rookies.

Round 1

Great Landing Spots

Caleb Williams

We’ve known that Williams was going to Chicago for months now. The only question is what jersey number he’d wear (#18 – elite choice).

The history of rookie passers finishing as top fantasy football scorers in their first season is spotty and heavily connected to draft capital.

Since 2000, a total of 84 rookie QBs have started in at least six games. Out of that group, only 15 have scored more than 17.0 fantasy points per game in their rookie season alone.

With 17 FPG, that’s enough to be in the conversation as a solid weekly starter/streamer in fantasy.

Those previous 15 QBs to score over 17 FPG in their rookie season are Deshaun Watson (24.1 FPG), Cam Newton (23.1), Justin Herbert (22.2), Robert Griffin (21.2), CJ Stroud (18.3), Dak Prescott (17.9), Kyler Murray (17.8), Marcus Mariota (17.5), Russell Wilson (17.4), Joe Burrow (17.4), Josh Allen (17.3), Andrew Luck (17.2), Baker Mayfield (17.2), Jameis Winston (17.2), and Marc Bulger (17.1).

In this sample, 12 of these 15 quarterbacks are former first-round picks—nine of which were picked either #1 or #2 overall. The rookie quarterbacks who produce early are usually drafted early, like Williams.

Most importantly, Williams has one of the best landing spots of any rookie QB ever with this receiver corps. Chicago now has arguably the best wide receiver group in the league, with D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze out wide and Keenan Allen patrolling the slot. Wheels up.

Marvin Harrison Jr.

After breaking out for 77/1263/14 in his sophomore season at Ohio State with CJ Stroud, the Cardinals new WR backed it up with another stellar campaign as a junior (67/1211/14). Universally loved by the analytics and film crowd, Marvin Harrison Jr. has one of the highest floors for any WR prospect in recent years.

Harrison (3.44) trailed only Malik Nabers (3.64) in yards per route run among draft-eligible WRs according to PFF’s tracking last season. This is after he was 10th in the entire country in YPRR as a 20-year-old sophomore (3.18).

The Cardinals are getting a blue-chip prospect to try and lift what was an unproductive group last season. Harrison’s addition is a great boost to Kyler Murray’s fantasy outlook.

Arizona was dead last in yardage by receivers who lined up out wide on the boundary last season with 68.5 per our Fantasy Points Data. The league average is 108.2. In total, the Cardinals finished just 29th in fantasy points scored among WRs last season with 20.2 Half-PPR FPG, which was only better than New England (18.4), the New York Jets (17.3), and Atlanta (14.8).

With subpar target competition around him outside of stud TE Trey McBride, the launch pad for Harrison is ready for take-off.

Receivers taken this early are typically very productive as rookies. Since 2010, there have been 15 wideouts taken in the top-10 overall in the NFL Draft. Out of this group, 11-of-15 went on to have at least 860 receiving yards in their first year.

Five of these 15 WRs went on to finish top-24 or better in fantasy points per game (Half-PPR) as rookies with Ja’Marr Chase (WR5 finish) leading the group. Harrison has the upside for a similar first season. Julio Jones (WR11 finish as a rookie), AJ Green (WR12), Mike Evans (WR13), and Jaylen Waddle (WR21) were the other four rookies to finish top-24.

Xavier Worthy

After winning back-to-back Super Bowls with Hall-of-Famer Travis Kelce and a group of misfit parts at wide receiver, the last thing the league needed was Patrick Mahomes getting Xavier Worthy. The Chiefs have finally figured out their holes at receiver and now have a sick group of Marquise Brown, Rashee Rice, and Worthy to mix and match inside and outside.

Worthy might be the happiest receiver on earth after he dealt with horrific QB play from Quinn Ewers last year at Texas. CBS Sports’ Jacob Gibbs noted on Twitter that an unreal 40% (!!) of Worthy’s deep targets (15 or more air yards) were off target last season, according to PFF’s tracking.

Nearly 10% of Mahomes' passes of 15+ yards were dropped last season, according to Fantasy Points Data (easily a league-high).

Unfortunately, Brett Whitefield found similar deficiencies in Worthy’s tape as he struggled with tracking the ball deep downfield. The speed will break your neck, but he’ll have to work on his hands so that he’s not a repeat of Mecole Hardman or Marquez Valdes-Scantling. The Chiefs clearly have a type.

Worthy was already getting steamed up fantasy boards and I expect that he’ll be pushed into the 70-80s overall in best ball drafts with Rice’s likely suspension looming.

JJ McCarthy

The Vikings didn’t even have to move up far to get their man. A small, one spot move up with the Jets was all that they needed. Minnesota has been heavily linked to JJ McCarthy all offseason. It’s a perfect marriage of talent and system with HC Kevin O’Connell. You also can’t really ask for a better group of weapons as a rookie QB – unless you’re Caleb Williams.

Justin Jefferson came back from a midseason hamstring injury and dropped a casual 30/476/2 receiving (on 44 targets) in four games with Nick Mullens last year. It’s a small sample size, but Jefferson’s efficiency did not dip at all last year. He averaged 3.03 YPRR (157 routes) with Mullens and 2.99 YPPR (191 routes) when Kirk Cousins was under center.

This is after Jefferson ripped up the league for 128/1809/8 receiving (2.77 YPRR) the year prior.

Jefferson’s separation skills and ability to blow past defenders on the perimeter are a quarterback’s dream. Especially once TJ Hockenson returns from his ACL injury, the Vikings have a chance to field another highly productive passing season. Minnesota led the NFL in passing yards (4,700) last season and that was with Cousins missing half of the year.

McCarthy’s fantasy ceiling is similar to Cousins – 4,000+ yards and 30+ passing TDs with the added bonus of his plus mobility.

Solid Landing Spots

Jayden Daniels

At long last, Terry McLaurin’s dynasty fantasy managers can rejoice. The Commanders finally have a QB that can threaten the defense downfield.

Daniels' projection for fantasy football is incredibly straightforward – he’s a prolific runner. In his final year at LSU, Daniels rushed for an incredible 1,134 yards and threw for 40 TDs in just 12 games. It led to one of the highest scoring seasons in college history.

While he still has to prove that he can adapt his scheme and not rely too much on the RPO/Horizontal Raid, Commanders new OC Kliff Kingsbury will have plenty of experience to draw from in designing an offense around Daniels’ legs. That much is certain.

In SuperFlex rookie dynasty drafts, Jayden Daniels is my #3 pick after Williams and Harrison Jr. His angle-erasing speed and make-you-miss ability in the open field has all of the makings of a consistently high-upside QB that we’ve looked for in fantasy like Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Anthony Richardson, and Kyler Murray. At his ceiling, Daniels could have a Lamar Jackson-type rushing impact for fantasy.

Bo Nix

Denver has a ton of holes on their roster, but Nix landed in a near-ideal coaching situation. The Broncos have a lot of building to do – just Courtland Sutton isn’t enough. However, HC Sean Payton has routinely gotten the best out of his quarterbacks throughout the years.

Russell Wilson was an awful fit for this offense, and yet he still managed to finish 10th in fantasy points scored per dropback (0.51) last season.

Just two years ago, the Saints got a combined 3,437 yards and 29 TDs out of Trevor Siemian, Jameis Winston, Taysom Hill, and Ian Book. That offense was clearly held back by their quarterbacks and still finished a respectable 21st in points scored per drive.

Rome Odunze

This is a solid — and not great — spot for Odunze only because he’ll be competing for targets with D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen. Being tied to Caleb Williams for the next four seasons is incredible, though. It’s a tough balance, and one that dynasty managers might have to wait just a bit to reap the benefits.

In case you need a reminder, both Moore and Allen were fantasy WR1 options last season. Moore was almost unstoppable when he got solid QB play from former starter Justin Fields. In 13 starts with Fields, Moore put up 16.4 Half-PPR FPG – which would have made him the WR6 behind WR5 Keenan Allen (17.0 FPG).

Odunze has all of the makings of a receiver who earns 140 targets in the future, but we’re likely going to have to wait a year or two. It’s possible that he’s good enough to emerge as the #1 target as a rookie, but he’ll have a brutally tough fight.

Moore has earned at least 24% of his team’s targets in three straight seasons, while Allen saw 23%, 21%, and 31% (last year) of the Chargers’ targets from 2021-23. Due to his target competition, I have Odunze ranked at 72 overall (WR42) in best ball.

Brian Thomas

After missing out on re-signing Calvin Ridley during free agency, the Jaguars moved back with the Vikings in the draft from #17 to #23 overall and still landed their target in Thomas. Jacksonville picked up three extra picks in the move back — a 2025 third and fourth, along with the Vikings' fifth-rounder this year.

Thomas profiles as the Jaguars vertical X-receiver with his prototypical size (6’3”, 210lbs) and speed (4.33 jets). After playing behind Malik Nabers and Kayshon Boutte as a sophomore, Thomas went off for 68/1177/17 receiving in his final year at LSU.

However, there are some concerns in Thomas’ profile that our Scott Barrett expertly noted. Nearly 43% of Thomas’ 1,177 receiving yards last season came on one route (Go). Is he just a vertical deep threat, or is there more to uncover? He turns 22 in October.

At the very least, the Jaguars have done a great job finding a group of receivers with complementary skill sets. Thomas is a burner who will take the top off of the defense, while Christian Kirk and Evan Engram are target monsters in the middle of the field.

Thomas checks in at WR36 (67 overall) in early best ball rankings.

Ricky Pearsall

This will be a perfect landing spot if the 49ers trade one of Deebo Samuel or Brandon Aiyuk. If San Francisco keeps the band together for one more run in 2024, then Pearsall will be relegated to the #5 target behind Samuel, Aiyuk, George Kittle, and Christian McCaffrey.

Pearsall going to San Francisco is great for his dynasty stock, and he deserves a big bump in your rookie rankings. He was already a Fantasy Points favorite with Brett Whitefield’s charge.

Mid Landing Spots

Drake Maye

Maye has a little bit of underrated upside as a runner, which will hopefully help boost him up for our game. He ran for over 1,100 yards and scored 16 rushing TDs across 26 starts in his final two years at UNC and trailed only Jayden Daniels in gains of 10 or more yards on the ground in this span. I expect that Maye will be drafted in the 150-160 overall range in summer best ball drafts as the rookie tries to lift the Patriots rebuilding roster.

At the very least, Maye lands with a very experienced offensive coordinator. New Patriots OC Alex Van Pelt spent the last four seasons as the Browns OC under Kevin Stefanski, and he was previously a QBs coach from 2008-2019 with the Bills, Buccaneers, Packers, and Bengals. Jacoby Brissett is a great veteran sounding board, too.

Malik Nabers

Nabers has an alpha-WR1 profile after he broke out for 72/1017/3 (in 14 games) as a sophomore at LSU and went off for 89/1569/14 (in 13 games) last season. He sets up as the clear #1 target for the Giants with only Wan’Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton around to compete for looks. TE Darren Waller quiet quit last season, and he might not be back for 2024 as he mulls retirement.

There are no questions about Nabers' talent. He was a dominant producer in the SEC and an absolute freak after the catch, but it’s really hard to get overly excited here with Daniel Jones back under center. Nabers was getting selected as early as 28-30 overall in early best ball drafts this spring, and I expect that price will cool off into the summer.

With the addition of Nabers, the hope is that Jones takes a big step forward. The Giants desperately need Nabers to stretch the field. Daniel Jones threw deep — over 20 yards in air — on a league-low 6.9% of his pass attempts last season. That figure has to rise considerably if we’re going to get a solid ceiling out of Nabers in fantasy. I’ll have him ranked as a volume-based WR2.

Bad Landing Spots

Brock Bowers

The Raiders got a great value, with Bowers falling to them at #13 overall, but this is a downright horrific landing spot for the rookie. He’s going to fall multiple rounds in season-long fantasy after his ADP was near 70 overall in spring best ball contests on Underdog.

The Raiders are going into the season with Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew, which means they will likely lean on the run game again. After new HC Antonio Pierce took over in Week 9, Vegas was the 9th-most run-heavy offense with a +1.5% run rate over expectation.

When the Raiders did throw the ball last season, it was not exactly efficient. O’Connell averaged a pedestrian 6.6 YPA on throws from a clean pocket – which ranked 37th out of 45 qualifying QBs. For reference, Gardner Minshew was just a step above O’Connell with 6.9 clean pocket YPA (32nd). Perfectly league average was Dak Prescott with 7.4 clean pocket YPA.

In addition to all of this, Bowers will have to compete for targets with one of the best wide receivers of all time, Davante Adams, and he’ll fight Michael Mayer for playing time at tight end.

The Raiders now have an unbelievable set of weapons with Adams, Bowers, Mayer, and the versatile Jakobi Meyers – but a gigantic hole at QB. Hopefully, O’Connell can take a massive second-year leap, or Minshew can steady the ship.

Xavier Legette

Just one year after spending an early pick on a receiver with a risky profile in Jonathan Mingo (#39 overall), the Panthers ran it back with South Carolina’s Legette. Just like with Mingo, Carolina is getting a very athletic WR with prototypical size who didn’t produce much in college.

Mingo topped out with 51/861/5 receiving in his final season at Ole Miss after never eclipsing 400 yards as a freshman-junior. He turned his 85 targets into 418 yards and 0 TDs as a rookie, and ranked 79th-of-81 WRs by yards per route run (0.81).

Legette broke out in his fifth year at South Carolina for 71/1255/7 receiving after failing to have more than 200 yards in any season as a freshman-senior. Analytically, Legette is a massive outlier with this draft capital. He’s the only WR to be selected in the first round that has failed to produce at least 1.90 yards per route run since at least 2017 (Legette: 1.75 YPRR – H/T Football Insights).

The hope is that Bryce Young can redeem himself in his second season and that Legette succeeds on a trajectory similar to Rashee Rice's last year. The Panthers can start “small” with shallow routes near the line of scrimmage and screens early in the year and hope to build out Legette’s route tree as the season progresses.

Legette will compete with Diontae Johnson and Adam Thielen for targets as a rookie, which limits his ceiling. Between the red flags in his profile, questions surrounding Bryce Young, and target competition – I will let others draft Legette in fantasy.

Michael Penix Jr.

Atlanta stunned the NFL world by taking Penix at #8 overall after backing up a Brinks truck to Kirk Cousins’ house this offseason. The Falcons owe Cousins a guaranteed $90M over the next two seasons, but they’re apparently already looking toward the future with Penix. Despite the fact that he turns 24 years old in May and has a long injury history, GM Terry Fontenot was clearly enamored with his long-term potential behind Cousins.

The Falcons desperately need pass rushers – that is for sure. However, their roster is very much ready to win. The division remains wide open, too. Tampa just took it last year. Going all-in around Cousins makes more sense in the short run, but the bottom line is that the NFL is way higher on Penix than the media. The Raiders, Seahawks, and Saints were all reportedly trying to trade into the top 10 to get him. The Falcons were taking no chances on a trade back.

The Falcons spent the last two seasons in QB hell with budget options in Desmond Ridder and Marcus Mariota and decided… no more.

Obviously, Penix’s 2024 fantasy outlook is completely wiped out. There is a chance that Atlanta got some bad news about Cousins’ injured Achilles this offseason, but barring another injury, the rookie will be on the bench. I’d consider Penix no earlier than the late-2nd round of rookie dynasty drafts. If you take him, you’re going to have to project zero production for potentially two years.

Day 2 (Rounds 2-3)

I’ll have all of my thoughts on the RB class in my post draft rankings article.

Keon Coleman

Coleman landed in an ideal spot in Buffalo. Josh Allen and the Bills are starved for perimeter receivers after Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have departed. Diggs earned 28% of the Bills targets last season after his target share was 26% two seasons ago, and Davis perennially floats in the 15-17% target share range.

The Bills have a whopping 317 targets up for grabs – if they maintain last year’s passing tendencies.

Analytically speaking, Coleman was not a standout prospect. His career YPRR (1.87) is in the 10th percentile all-time and he ran a relatively slow forty-yard dash (4.61 at 213lbs). If we’re looking for positives, Coleman can go up and get the ball – he posted 83rd percentile in the broad jump (127”) and 79th percentile in the vertical (38”).

Maybe he’s not the best separator, but Coleman did score a lot of touchdowns. He found the endzone 19 times on 175 targets across 24 games in his final two seasons (Michigan State and FSU).

The red flags are clear, but Coleman has the opportunity to earn 110 targets as a rookie with bazooka-arm Josh Allen. That’s not enough to just ignore his downside risk – but I’m more than happy to take the dive in Rounds 8-9 of drafts. Khalil Shakir and Curtis Samuel aren’t imposing target competition. That’s when the WR pool really falls off and we want to shoot for ceiling. I’ve got him at WR44 in my early best ball rankings.

Also, that sound you hear is the Dalton Kincaid rocketship breaking the sound barrier as it shoots through the atmosphere. I just keep moving Kincaid up in my rankings.

Ladd McConkey

After taking stud T Joe Alt at #5 overall, the Chargers filled one of their other big holes at receiver. Justin Herbert will love throwing to Ladd McConkey.

McConkey doesn’t have the total production profile of his peers in this class, but a deeper dive shows a ton of upside. He missed four games with a back issue last season, but when he did play, McConkey was great. Only Malik Nabers (3.64), Marvin Harrison Jr. (3.44), and Troy Franklin (3.32) averaged more yards per route run than McConkey (3.26) per PFF.

Promisingly, McConkey did most of his work as an outside receiver. Per PFF, McConkey mostly lined up on the perimeter (79% of routes outside), and that is virtually the same rate as Harrison (80%) and Franklin (81%). Relatively speaking, Nabers (46% out wide) was in the slot far more often.

With that said, I wonder if the Chargers view McConkey as more of a slot receiver with Josh Palmer and Quentin Johnston on the perimeter. Even though he was successful lining up out wide, McConkey’s frame (6’0”, 186lbs) and quickness (4.39 forty) suggests he’s an ideal slot receiver.

After the draft, HC Jim Harbaugh said that he loves McConkey’s, “Versatility. He can be an outside receiver, he can be a slot receiver, love the speed… he's very Brock Bowers-like, the way he gets yards after the catch.”

GM Joe Hortiz added, "The way they used him [at Georgia], he's outside or playing Z, he's going against press, he's beating press. And then they move him into the slot and he's got a great feel in the middle of the field. You watch him work versus zone and uncover up the seam so just a lot of football intelligence in his play that carries over in both positions."

The Chargers are going to lean more run-heavy this season, but McConkey has such a great runway to break out here. Between Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Gerald Everett’s departure – the Chargers have a league-high 62% of their targets available entering this season. The next closest teams are the Bills (54%), Commanders (42%), Bengals (41%), and Jaguars (41%).

I’m going to draft McConkey as a WR4-5 as much as I can this summer. He’s ranked at WR40 for best ball – one spot behind Xavier Worthy (WR39).

Ja’Lynn Polk

Polk went a little bit earlier than most expected, but the fit here with the Patriots is clear. Drake Maye needs weapons. New England has a lot of bodies on their WR depth chart, but they are hoping that Ja’Lynn Polk can take a big step forward.

Polk exploded for 69/1159/9 receiving as the secondary target behind Rome Odunze in Washington’s top passing offense, but he scored poorly in both Brett Whitefield’s film scores (WR19) and Scott’s analytical rankings (WR19). Yikes.

The upside is that the Patriots have a wide open receiver room for Polk to ascend.

Demario Douglas profiles as the top target right now and had some success across nine starts from Weeks 7-18 with 39/418/0 receiving, but he’s a slot-only receiver. Without any TD juice, Douglas only managed to score as the WR54 in Half-PPR per game scoring across the final 12 weeks of the regular season.

Ideally, the Patriots will want Polk and UCF’s Javon Baker on the perimeter with Douglas in the slot.

Adonai Mitchell

Mitchell slid all the way to #52 overall in the draft likely due in part to his spotty analytical profile and not his perceived “character concerns” – Colts GM Chris Ballard took a blow torch to that idea.

Mitchell worked as Texas secondary receiver (6.1 targets per game) well behind Xavier Worthy (8.5) last season, and he’ll likely be in a similar role as a rookie. At best, he’ll surely be the Colts #2 wideout behind Michael Pittman. Over the last two seasons, Pittman has dominated looks with target share figures of 25% (WR13 in 2022) and 28% (WR5 in 2023).

Josh Downs was on a great pace to start his rookie season before a knee injury (suffered Week 9) cut his momentum. In Weeks 1-8, Downs earned 19% of the Colts' targets and was averaging a stellar 2.0 YPRR. Once he returned to a full-time role from Weeks 12-18, Downs’ target share (16%) and efficiency (1.34 YPRR) fell way off across his final 7 outings.

The rookie will have a lot of work to do to earn looks with Pittman and Josh Downs primed to lead the team in targets.

Malachi Corley

After snagging T Olu Fashanu in the first round, Jets drafted Aaron Rodgers a weapon out of the slot in Malachi Corley with their second pick of the draft. As far as fits go, this one is pretty perfect. Corley won’t have to play on the outside at all with Garrett Wilson and Mike Williams patrolling the perimeter. Instead, the Jets can line him up in the slot and let him do what he does best – run after the catch on short targets.

Last season, a whopping 46% of his yards came on just two routes (screens and crossing routes).

Corley might have a little bit of underrated touchdown upside if the Jets manufacture touches for him near the red-zone, but trusting OC Nathaniel Hackett to design plays to maximize his players talents is a tall task. Wilson and Williams are set to dominate targets, and that’s going to leave Corley as their #3 receiver at best. I have him plugged in as WR72 in my best ball ranks.

Jermaine Burton

The Bengals got an absolute burner in Burton to pair with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. In his final season at Alabama, Burton posted a class-high 20.2-yard (!!) average depth of target downfield while lining up outside on 81% of his routes.

Sure, Jermaine Burton doesn’t have great target upside with Chase and Higgins dominating looks. However, he has an Ace card in his pocket as the best field-stretcher in the class according to Brett Whitefield. The hope is that his vertical ability will open up the middle of the field and get Chase away from safety help.

Burton is a must-draft in Bengals stacks in best ball, but I don’t see a path to consistent seasonal start/sit WR3 relevance as a rookie unless Chase or Higgins miss time due to injury.

Roman Wilson

Roman Wilson (67 targets) and Chargers seventh rounder Cornelius Johnson (66) split looks as JJ McCarthy’s top wideouts in their final year at Michigan. Wilson’s bulk production (48/789/12 receiving) doesn’t look overly impressive at first glance, but he did post strong efficiency metrics with 2.68 yards per route run (13th-best in class last season). Meanwhile, his teammate Johnson only averaged 1.77 YPRR.

In Pittsburgh, Wilson joins a wide open depth chart beyond George Pickens. The Steelers spent free agency adding dusty bodies in Van Jefferson, Quez Watkins, and Denzel Mims after they traded away Diontae Johnson to the Panthers.

At the very least, Wilson should not have a hard time getting on the field as a rookie.

The problem is that the Steelers can’t prop up Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, and a third option in Wilson. Target volume is a concern. Every football fan knows what new OC Arthur Smith wants to do on offense. Over his three years in Atlanta, the Falcons ranked 32nd (2023), 31st (2022), and 13th (2021) in pass rate over expectation. The Falcons RBs averaged 418 carries per season as a result.

Jalen McMillan

McMillan will have a hard time earning enough targets to be fantasy relevant with two giants in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin dominating looks, but this is a great football fit here. McMillan is a slot-only receiver who ran 89% of his routes lined up inside at Washington. Godwin was already playing more out wide – he ran 61% of his routes on the perimeter last season – and McMillan’s addition will only solidify that move.

Luke McCaffrey

McCaffrey transferred to Rice and switched to WR in 2022 after spending two years at Nebraska as a QB. Obviously, he has terrific bloodlines between his brother Christian and father Ed. Last season, McCaffrey posted 71/992/13 receiving (2.11 YPRR) and added 15/117 rushing across 13 games in FBS’ subdivision Group of Five – American conference.

Brett Whitefield thought that McCaffrey had the surest hands in the class in his pre-NFL draft profile.

After busting in colossal fashion last season, Jahan Dotson is no sure bet as the Commanders #2 wideout with this new coaching staff and QB in Jayden Daniels. Especially now that Curtis Samuel is gone in Buffalo, the pathway is cleared for McCaffrey to start Week 1 in the slot for Washington. With that opportunity, I’ve got McCaffrey ranked 20 spots ahead of his early ADP.

Ben Sinnott

Sinnott lands with the Washington Commanders and has a wide open chance to earn a role early in the season. Zach Ertz had a great career, but he’ll be 34-years-old this season. Ertz looked completely done last season after he averaged a pathetic 1.78 yards after the catch per reception (dead last of 52 TEs).

There is a real chance that Sinnott winds up on the fantasy radar as a TE1 streaming option this season.

Sinnott led Kansas State in receiving (49/676/6 in 12 games) last year and posted some pretty ridiculous figures in both yards after the catch (6.8) and missed tackles forced (0.31) on a per reception basis. For reference, Brock Bowers led the TE class in MTF per reception (0.32) per PFF.

This is all the more impressive when considering that Sinnott led the TE class with a strong 10.1-yard average depth of target downfield. He was dominating after the catch and making defenders miss on generally deep targets for a tight end. For comparison, Bowers’ aDOT (6.5 yards) was significantly lower.

The strong numbers are backed up by Brett’s film analysis of Sinnott.

I’m in. Sinnott is TE24 in my best ball rankings – he’ll be a TE2/3 target this summer.

Graham Barfield blends data and film together to create some of the most unique content in the fantasy football industry. Barfield is FantasyPoints’ Director of Analytics and formerly worked for the NFL Network, Fantasy Guru, and Rotoworld.