Welcome to our Week 9 Game Hub with breakdowns of every contest from across the league. Our Tom Brolley gets you ready for this week’s action with the most important stats and trends for each fantasy-relevant player in the NFL. We also provide betting, weather, and injury reports with each game’s write-up to make sure you’re well-informed before you set lineups and/or place wagers. Let’s get to this week’s games!
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Week 9 Schedule
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins, 8:15 p.m., Thurs.
Ravens Trends
Record: 2-5 (2-5)
Lamar Jackson was expected to be ready to play coming out of Baltimore’s bye, but they gave him a few extra days to get healthy. Tyler Huntley led the Ravens to a much-needed victory against the Bears, posting 186/1 passing and 8/53 rushing for 16.7 FP in Week 8. Jackson accounted for 3+ TDs and 26.3+ FP in his first three games before picking up his hamstring injury during Week 4. Miami gives up the 11th-fewest passing YPG (211.5) and second-most schedule-adjusted FPG to QBs on the ground (+1.6). The Dolphins haven’t been tested by Kirk Cousins and Dillon Gabriel the last two weeks, but Justin Herbert posted 264/2 passing against them in Week 6.
Zay Flowers turned in 7/63 receiving on 9 targets (41%) and an 88% route share playing with Huntley in Week 9. He’s reached 5+ receptions and 71+ scrimmage yards six times in seven tries. Miami deploys Cover 2 (29.5%) and Cover (22.5%) at a 52% clip, and he averages 1.92 YPRR and .26 TPRR on 93 routes against those coverages. The Dolphins give up the fewest receiving YPG (76.8) and the eighth-fewest YPRR (1.82) to receivers aligned out wide.
Mark Andrews has failed to top 10 FP in four straight games since Lamar initially picked up his injury in Week 4. He caught all 3 of his targets (14%) for 34 yards on a 56% route share, while Isaiah Likely caught both of his targets (9%) for 8 yards on a 60% route share. Miami deploys Cover 2 (29.5%) and Cover (22.5%) at a 52% clip, and he averages 1.35 YPRR and .18 TPRR on 62 routes against those coverages. Miami allows the seventh-most receiving YPG (63.6) and the seventh-most receptions per game (6.3) to TEs. Kyle Pitts posted 9/59 receiving in this matchup last week.
Derrick Henry failed to top 50 rushing yards and 15 carries in four straight games in Weeks 2-5, but he logged 24/122 rushing in Week 6 against the Rams and 21/71/2 rushing out of their bye against the Bears. He led Justice Hill (snap share (61%>29%), carry share (60%>3%), and route share (28%>24%) with the Ravens playing from ahead, and they enter this week as 7-point road favorites. Henry averaged 5.8 YPC in four games with Lamar compared to 3.8 YPC in his last three games. The Dolphins give up the 12th-fewest adjusted YBC/ATT (1.81), 5.0 YPC, and the third-most rushing YPG (117.6). Miami limited Bijan Robinson to 9/25 rushing last week, but they were crushed for 22.8+ FP by Quinshon Judkins, Kimani Vidal, and Rico Dowdle in Weeks 5-7.
Dolphins Trends
- Record: 2-6 (4-4)
- Tua Tagovailoa is coming off his best performance of the season in a victory over the Falcons, completing 20/26 passes for 205 yards (7.9 YPA) and 4 TDs for 24.2 FP in Week 8. He’s thrown for multiple TDs five times in eight games, but he’s reached 20+ FP just twice. Tagovailoa is averaging just 6.6 YPA and 189.8 passing YPG through eight games. The Ravens deploy the third-highest rate of man coverage (39.4%), and he averages 5.90 YPA with a -.6% CPOE and 2/6 rushing on 43 dropbacks against man. Baltimore gives up the sixth-most passing YPG (259.6) and the fifth-most passing TDs per game (2.0) to QBs.
- Jaylen Waddle rebounded from his one-catch performance in Week 7 by posting 5/99/1 receiving on 6 targets (22%) for 20.9 FP. Waddle reached 5+ receptions, 95+ yards, and 15.8+ FP in three of his four games without Tyreek Hill. The Ravens deploy the third-highest rate of man coverage (39.4%), and he averages 1.89 YPRR and .29 TPRR on 35 routes against man. The Ravens allow the 14th-most YPRR (2.01) and the eighth-most receiving YPG (117.9) to receivers aligned out wide. Rome Odunze posted 7/114 receiving in this matchup last week.
- Malik Washington finally reached double-digit FP in a victory over the Falcons, posting 4/36/1 receiving on 5 targets (19%) and a 62% snap share in Week 8. He’s totaled 4+ catches in four straight games since Hill’s injury, but he’s yet to top 36 receiving yards because of his low aDOT role. The Ravens deploy the third-highest rate of man coverage (39.4%), and he averages .55 YPRR and .16 TPRR on routes against man. D.J. Moore posted 4/73 receiving in this matchup last week.
- De’Von Achane got home for fantasy with 18/67 rushing and 5/24/1 receiving on 7 targets, but the Dolphins featured Ollie Gordon and Jaylen Wright more in a victory over the Falcons. Achane led Gordon in snap share (66%>32%), carry share (49%>27%), and route share (61%>14%) in Week 8. Achane has reached 16.1+ FP, 75+ scrimmage yards, and 3+ receptions seven times in eight games. Baltimore gives up the eighth-fewest adjusted YBC/ATT (1.66), the 10th-most rushing YPG (103.9), and the eighth-most receiving YPG (37.7) to RBs. D’Andre Swift posted 11/45/1 rushing and 2/26 receiving in this matchup last week.
