For those of you who aren’t afraid to make trades and thirst for data-supported methods to improve your team throughout the season, this weekly series is for you! I’ll supply you with quick hits for our rest-of-season top-50 players, their trade outlook, and possible player packages you can offer.
One hot topic this week in the fantasy football community is the usage and production trends of rookies in the second half of the season. Thanks to “The Everything Report: 2025 Week 9”, we have a better idea of what we can reasonably expect from rookie WRs in the second half of the NFL season. “Among rookie WRs over the past four seasons, we typically see a +26% production increase from the first to the second half.”
I had also written about a trend I noticed over the last two seasons regarding championship-winning players. Many of those players had either “outlierishly” slow starts (relative to their second half of the season production and talent level) or saw a massive production/efficiency bump after their bye week. We’ve already seen this occur in 2025, with players like Ja’Marr Chase (slow start) and D’Andre Swift (post-bye production bump). I will continue to narrow down these trade targets with each addition of this series.
1. Jonathan Taylor, RB1, IND
Taylor has scored 3 TDs in four of his last six games, and is on pace for ~30 total TDs this season (the record is 31, set by LaDanian Tomlinson in 2006). Taylor scored a career-long 80-yard TD against the Titans in Week 8, reaching a top speed of 21.21 MPH. He has reached 20.0+ MPH six times this season (twice as many as the next closest RB). He leads the league in rush attempts (143), rushing yards (850), and rushing TDs (12). He also ranks 2nd in YPC (5.94), 4th in explosive run rate (8.4%), 6th in MTF/Att (0.23), and 4th in YACO/Att (2.99).
2. Christian McCaffrey, RB2, SF
McCaffrey’s 9.8 fantasy points in Week 8 were one of those extremely rare “bust” games for this prolific RB. Over his last 68 fully-healthy games, McCaffrey has scored 13.5+ fantasy points in 97% of those games, and 20.0+ fantasy points in 82% of those games. He still leads all RBs in XFP/G by 6.2 (25.9 XFP/G).
3. Bijan Robinson, RB3, ATL
In a week 8 matchup against the 31st-ranked run defense, Robinson had just 5 carries in the first half. Without their starting QB or top WR, this can only be seen as coaching malpractice by the Falcons. Robinson’s 5.8 fantasy points in Week 8 were the fewest he’s recorded since Week 15 in 2023. The Falcons will attempt to bounce back against the top-2 teams in the AFC over the next two weeks (Patriots and Colts).
4. Jahmyr Gibbs, RB4, DET
This is just a reminder that Gibbs saw 73.3% of the Lions’ rush attempts in the first half of their Week 7 win. This Lions backfield appears to be heading away from the “split” that Dan Campbell had vocalized prior to that week. The Lions will be coming off their bye, and Gibbs is currently tied for 2nd in the league in rushing TDs since his NFL debut.
5. Puka Nacua, WR1, LAR
Per HC Sean McVay, Nacua is expected to play in Week 9. Prior to his injury in Week 6, Nacua ranked 1st in targets per game (10.8), 2nd in receiving YPG (102.7), 4th in first-read target share (39.5%), and 1st in FPG (23.1).
6. Rashee Rice, WR2, KC
Congratulations to those of you who drafted this league winner in the 5th round or later, or followed the advice of this guide (and everyone else at Fantasy Points) and were able to trade for Rice before Week 7. Rice’s route share jumped up from 42.5% last week to 72.5% in Week 8, and he once again scored 20.0+ fantasy points (25.5). Over his last 11 regular-season games (that he has started and finished), Rice is averaging 20.4 FPG.
7. Ja’Marr Chase, WR3, CIN
The volume and production Chase has seen over the last 3 weeks with Joe Flacco at QB is astounding. In that span, he leads the league in total targets by 20, with 53. His 38 receptions tie for the most in a three-game span since 1970. With Flacco, Chase is averaging 28.1 FPG and 31.1 XFP/G.
8. CeeDee Lamb, WR4, DAL
The Cowboys' WR corps faced a tough opponent in Week 8, as the Broncos had allowed the fewest FPG to opposing WRs up until this matchup (23.5). Lamb still led the team in target share (28.6%), TPRR (0.30), air yard share (36.3%), red zone targets (3), first-read target share (32.1%), and XFP (29.1). That 29.1 XFP was largely due to Lamb picking up 3 DPIs (2 in the end zone).
Outlook: Buy based on him possibly being the most affordable top-6 WR (Example: Josh Jacobs + Xavier Worthy)
9. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR5, SEA
Smith-Njigba, following his bye week, still leads the league in receiving yards (819). On top of being the league leader in team receiving yardage market share (46.3%), Smith-Njigba is also the league leader in percentage of team receiving first downs (44.0%). He is the lifeforce of the Seahawks offense in 2025.
10. Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR6, DET
Since that Week 1 loss to the Packers, St. Brown ranks 2nd in target share (33.3%), 3rd in YPRR (3.10), 1st in TDs (7), 3rd in first-read target share (43.0%), 2nd in 1D/RR (0.170), 3rd in FPG (23.0), and 1st in FP/RR (0.87).
11. James Cook, RB5, BUF
Hopefully, you were able to take advantage of the limited buy window for Cook (as recommended in my Week 8 Trading Guide). Cook dominated the Panthers in Week 8, with an absurd 19-216-2 (11.37 YPC) rushing line. Through 8 weeks, Cook ranks 1st in rushing YPG (107.6), 4th in rushing TDs (7), 13th in explosive run rate (5.6%), 1st in success rate (66.7%), 13th in MTF/Att (0.17), and 8th in YACO/Att (2.84).
12. De’Von Achane, RB6, MIA
Tua Tagovailoa’s bounce-back game in Week 8 has restored confidence in the Dolphins' skill position players ROS. Through 8 Weeks, among RBs, Achane ranks 4th in route share (64.7%), 2nd in targets per game (6.1), 5th in receiving YPG (29.4), and 14th in FP/RR (0.88). He’s now scored 12.0+ fantasy points in every game this season, and is averaging 19.6 FPG (RB6).
13. Saquon Barkley, RB7, PHI
Barkley is a great example of how timing the market can pay off significantly (as per my limited buy window outlooks in the Week 8 Trading Guide). Barkley bounced back in a big way in Week 8, recording a 14-150-1 (10.71 YPC) rushing line, thanks largely to seeing 8.64 yards before contact per attempt (season-high). The Eagles will face the Packers after their Week 9 bye, who are allowing the 3rd-fewest FPG to opposing RBs (16.8).
14. Josh Jacobs, RB8, GB
After reports that the Packers were “shopping around” for an RB addition before the trade deadline, Jacobs saw his lowest snap share of the season in Week 8 (54.0%), with Emmanuel Wilson earning 11 rush attempts for 61 yards (5.55 YPC to Jacobs 2.54 YPC). We also saw Jacobs' snap share take a dip in Week 7 (56.6%), after he had not previously seen a mark lower than 65.0% all season. Whether or not this is due to the calf issue Jacobs had been playing through, it is worth noting that the Packers appear to be doing what they can to keep Jacobs “fresh” for their eventual playoff run.
Outlook: Shop around based on his decreasing usage each week (Example: try and swing him for a top-6 WR)
15. Justin Jefferson, WR7, MIN
It was a poor showing for the entire Vikings offense in Week 8, but Jefferson still led the team in air yard share (67.5%), target share (35.5%), and XFP (17.7). Unfortunately, JJ McCarthy will return as the starting QB in Week 9. In weeks 1 & 2 (with McCarthy at QB and with no Jordan Addison), Jefferson averaged just 6.5 targets per game (WR34), 62.5 receiving YPG (WR23), 13.0 FPG (WR28), and 13.2 XFP/G (WR27). Faith in Jefferson ROS outlook equates to a faith in McCarthy, and that is driving the market price of Jefferson down (Jefferson ranks 5th in uncatchable air yards on the season with 293).
Outlook: Probe the Jefferson owner as a tentative buyer with his value at a season-low (Example: Courtland Sutton + DK Metcalf)
16. Breece Hall, RB9, NYJ
Hall ran rampant in Week 8 against the bottom-3 Bengals defense. He ran for 133 yards on 18 attempts (7.39 YPC), scoring 2 TDs on the ground, and adding one as a passer (32.9 fantasy point outing). The backfield was still close to a split, with Hall recording a 57.1% snap share to Isaiah Davis’ 44.3% (20 touches to 12 touches). After their Week 9 bye, the Jets will face the Browns and Patriots (both top-3 rushing defenses).
17. Emeka Egbuka, WR8, TB
There was an argument to be made (and it was by many) that Egbuka was an all-time sell-high after Week 5. In Weeks 1-5, Egbuka was averaging 7.6 targets per game, 88.0 receiving YPG, 13.9 XFP/G, and 20.5 FPG (thanks largely to scoring 5 TDs in that span). Egbuka suffered a hamstring injury in Week 6 and has not been the same producer since. Over the last 3 games, he’s averaging 8.0 targets per game, 39.0 receiving YPG, 14.6 XFP/G, and 6.9 FPG (with zero TDs).
Outlook: Buy the dip with the expectation Egbuka returns from the bye week at full health (Example: Courtland Sutton + DK Metcalf)
18. Javonte Williams, RB10, DAL
We saw an interesting backfield semi-split for the Cowboys in Week 8, with rookie Jaydon Blue earning 8 rush attempts to Williams’s 13 (with a fumble lost). It should be noted that Williams had all 5 of the Cowboys' rush attempts inside the 10-yard line, resulting in 2 TDs (and a 17.9 fantasy point outing against a top-10 run defense). Through 8 weeks, Williams ranks 8th in YPC (5.10), 3rd in rushing TDs (8), 16th in explosive run rate (4.8%), 5th in success rate (58.9%), 29th in MTF/Att (0.11), and 1st in YACO/Att (3.52).
19. Rome Odunze, WR9, CHI
Caleb Williams has been largely unimpressive this season, but Odunze reclaimed the role as his favorite target in Week 8. He led the team in target share (26.3%), receiving yards (114.0), first-read target share (28.0%), and XFP (20.3). Oduze was the only WR in the league to clear 100 yards in Week 8.
20. Kyren Williams, RB11, LAR
Over the two weeks prior to his Week 8 bye, Williams earned a 66.4% snap share to Blake Corum’s 29.2%, yet he saw only 8 more rush attempts in that span (25 to 17). To make matters worse, Corum earned the same number of rush attempts inside the 10-yard line as Williams (3). The caveat? 64.7% of Corum’s rush attempts came in the 2nd half of those games (10 out of 11 in Week 7), and 66.7% of those rush attempts inside the 10-yard line came in the 4th quarter of that Week 7 blowout win.
Outlook: Buy with the belief that Williams is the clear lead-back in favorable game scripts (Example: Chase Brown + Xavier Worthy)
21. Davante Adams, WR10, LAR
Through 8 weeks, Adams ranks 7th in targets per game (8.9), 90th in catch rate (50.0%), 97th in catchable target rate (62.9%), 15th in first-read target share (29.3%), and 3rd in XFP/G (19.2). He is leading the league in end zone targets (14), average separation score, and route win rate. Any increase in his catchable target rate should raise his FPG closer to his XFP/G.
22. George Pickens, WR11, DAL
In the two games since CeeDee Lamb’s return, Pickens is averaging 7.5 targets per game, 80.0 receiving YPG, a 29.2% first-read target share, and 15.3 XFP/G. In Weeks 1-6, Pickens led the league in end zone targets with 13, but over the last two weeks, he’s seen just one. Pickens' target share in weeks 3-6 (without Lamb), 23.6%. Pickens’ target share in Weeks 7-8 (with Lamb), 23.1%.
Outlook: Buy based on the weekly reliability you get from Pickens as a top-tier WR2 (Example: Chase Brown + Xavier Worthy)
23. Derrick Henry, RB12, BLT
Henry has now had back-to-back weeks with 20+ rush attempts. In the games in which Lamar Jackson has been healthy this season (excluding the Week 2 loss when the Browns stacked the box on 10/11 of Henry’s rush attempts), Henry is seeing 3.58 yards before contact per attempt, resulting in 6.87 YPC. Lamar Jackson is expected to return in Week 9 in a game against the Dolphins' bottom-5 run defense. It is also well documented that Henry’s YPC has increased in the winter months over his career.
Outlook: Buy based on his recent usage and Jackson returning (Example: D’Andre Swift + Jordan Addison)
24. Nico Collins, WR12, HST
It’s been reported that Collins is trending to clear concussion protocol and play in Week 9. He catches a big break if he’s able to do so, as he’ll face the Broncos, who will be without the reigning defensive MVP (Patrick Surtain). It was encouraging to see CJ Stroud have one of his best games of the year in Week 8, where he threw for 318.0 yards on 39 pass attempts. Collins has gone over 100.0 receiving yards only once so far this season.
Outlook: Probe the Collins owner with Collins’ value being at an all-time low (Example: DK Metcalf + Travis Etienne)
25. Josh Allen, QB1, BUF
In Week 8, Allen notched his 46th game with a rush and pass TD, the most in NFL history. Through 8 weeks, he is averaging 23.1 FPG (3rd) and 0.69 FP/DB (2nd). His 0.69 FP/DB is the highest average he’s had in the first 8 weeks of a season in the last five years.
26. Patrick Mahomes, QB2, KC
Mahomes is currently the QB1 (25.8 FPG), and has only had one game under 22 fantasy points all season. He’s thrown for 3+ TDs and eclipsed 25 rushing yards in four out of the last five weeks. Fun fact: Mahomes has the most TD passes (262) through 128 games in NFL history (he’s played 120 games so far).
27. Bucky Irving, RB13, TB
There is still no official timeline for Irving’s return, but the Buccaneers have their bye in Week 9, making Week 10 a logical return. HC Todd Bowles said that whether Irving will practice soon will be discussed at the end of the week. Before Irving’s injury, the Buccaneers were averaging 4.39 YPC, and after, just 3.18 YPC.
28. Ashton Jeanty, RB14, LV
Jeanty had a rough start to his rookie season, and through the first 3 weeks, he ranked 24th in rushing YPG (48.0), 35th in YPC (3.06), 35th in success rate (38.3%), and 32nd in FPG (8.6), while seeing the 9th-lowest yards before contact per attempt (1.13 yards). Since then, he’s ranked 12th in rushing YPG (75.3), 19th in YPC (4.70), 18th in success rate (51.6%), and 9th in FPG (17.9).
29. Trey McBride, TE1, ARZ
The good? McBride and the Cardinals face the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night in Week 9, who’ve allowed the 3rd-most FPG to WRs and TEs combined (54.2). The bad? Kyler Murray is reportedly expected to return for this matchup. McBride is averaging 25.3 FPG (23.8 XFP/G) in games without Murray this season vs. 12.5 FPG (13.3 XFP/G) in games with him.
Outlook: Shop around based on the return of Murray, especially if there is a tier down opportunity and you need depth (Example: Brock Bowers + Rico Dowdle or Travis Hunter)
30. Quinshon Judkins, RB15, CLE
Judkins struggled against the Patriots (9 rush attempts for 19 yards), who are allowing the 2nd-fewest YPC (3.04) in the league. To make matters worse, Judkins suffered a shoulder injury and finished the day with 4.7 fantasy points. Luckily, the injury is not serious, and Judkins is day-to-day heading into his bye week.
Outlook: Buy based on his injury + bye week driving his price down (Example: Chris Olave)
31. Lamar Jackson, QB3, BLT
After several consecutive practices in a row under his belt, it looked as though Jackson would finally return in Week 8. Jackson just wasn’t quite ready yet, and the Ravens have reported that he will play in their Week 9 Thursday Night matchup against the Dolphins. Jackson still leads the league in FP/DB (0.80).
32. Drake London, WR13, ATL
London was ruled out in Week 8 to everyone’s surprise. His hip injury may have occurred in practice on Friday, but he is currently day-to-day and likely to return in Week 9. Michael Penix is also day-to-day, and after the performance we saw from Kirk Cousins last week, his return will be celebrated.
33. Courtland Sutton, WR14, DEN
Over the last 3 weeks, compared to Troy Franklin, Sutton has been outearned in air yards (305 to 232), out-targeted on a per-game basis (7.3 to 6.0), out-scored (3 to 0), targeted less on first-reads (23.8% to 18.8%), and is seeing fewer XFP/G (17.5 to 14.3). Sutton had a TD called back due to a penalty in Week 8 (followed by a dropped end zone target), but he is averaging just 10.0 FPG over a span in which the Broncos are averaging 30 PPG.
Outlook: Shop around based on his decreased prioritization in the last several weeks (Example: Jaylen Warren or Quinshon Judkins)
34. Jaylen Waddle, WR15, MIA
The Dolphins, Waddle, and, more importantly, Tua Tagovailoa, all bounced back in a big way in Week 8. Waddle led the team in target share (22.2%), receiving yards (99.0), YPRR (4.71), first-read target share (27.3%), and fantasy points (20.9) in their rout of the Falcons. Tagovailoa had season highs in passer rating (138.6), passing TDs (4), and highly accurate throw rate (76.9%) in Week 8 (albeit with an aDOT of 4.3 yards).
Outlook: Buy based on the clear WR1 upside that Waddle has ROS (Example: D’Andre Swift)
35. Ladd McConkey, WR16, LAC
Over the last 4 weeks, McConkey ranks 5th in targets per game (10.0), 13th in receiving YPG (73.5), 2nd in red zone targets (8), and 6th in FPG (18.6). Amongst Chargers’ pass catchers in that span, he ranks 1st in route share (83.9%), target share (26.5%), air yard share (36.1%), end zone targets, and XFP/G (19.2).
36. Tyler Warren, TE2, IND
Through 8 weeks, among TEs, Warren ranks 4th in route share (78.8%), 7th in targets per game (6.1), 3rd in receiving YPG (61.5), 4th in YPRR (2.32), 4th in red zone targets (9), and 5th in FPG (13.9). He’s only recorded two games under 10.0 fantasy points this season, but Jonathan Taylor is accounting for 42% of the Colts' TDs this season (capping the fantasy ceiling of Colts’ receivers).
37. Garrett Wilson, WR17, NYJ
We’ll have to keep an eye on the Jets' practice report after their bye week, as we optimistically expect Wilson to return in Week 10. Prior to his injury in Week 6, Wilson ranked 3rd in target share (29.4%), 8th in receiving YPG (76.4), 5th in TDs (4), 1st in first-read target share (44.7%), and 6th in FPG (19.0).
38. Tetairoa McMillan, WR18, CAR
At the top of this article, I discussed the uptick in production talented rookie WRs have seen in the second half of the season, and there is arguably no better candidate to follow this trend in 2025 than McMillan. Through 8 weeks, among rookie wide receivers, he ranks 1st in route share (89.1%), 1st in air yard share (41.3%), 1st in target share (23.4%), 2nd in receiving YPG (64.0), 2nd in first-read target share (28.4%), and 1st in XFP/G (14.3).
39. Jalen Hurts, QB4, PHI
Hurts had another impressive performance through the air in Week 8, recording a 141.5 passer rating and throwing 4 TDs (without AJ Brown). The lack of rushing upside for Hurts remains a concern. Over the last 4 weeks, Hurts has recorded just 4.3 rush attempts per game, resulting in just 7.0 rushing YPG (and 1 TD on the ground).
40. Zay Flowers, WR19, BLT
Flowers has not eclipsed 15.0 fantasy points in a game since Week 1, and remains the only player with a target share above 27.0%, who is scoring less than 14.5 FPG. There is a narrative circulating on social media this week that now is the time to buy Flowers, as he will play in Miami for the first time since high school. The return of Lamar Jackson remains the biggest factor in having a positive outlook for Flowers' ROS.
Outlook: Buy with Lamar Jackson returning this week (Example: Chase Brown or Travis Etienne)
41. Tucker Kraft, TE3, GB
Kraft is playing at an absurdly high level this season, and leads all TEs in fantasy points over expectation (+6.2). Through 8 weeks, among TEs, he ranks 1st in receiving YPG (67.0), 2nd in YPRR (2.71), 1st in YAC/Rec (11.13), 1st in YACO/Rec (3.83), 2nd in TDs (6), 3rd in red zone targets (10), 1st in MTF/Rec (0.30), and 1st in FPG (16.2). Among all receivers, Kraft has led the league (WRs and TEs) in YAC/Rec (minus screens) in each of the last 3 seasons.
42. Jaylen Warren, RB16, PIT
Warren saw a 64.9% snap share in Week 8, which is still North of his season average (60.4%). Through 8 weeks, Warren ranks 17th in YPC (4.49), 23rd in explosive run rate (3.6%), 9th in success rate (54.2%), 3rd in MTF/Att (0.25), and 6th in YACO/Att (2.88). Warren is seeing just 1.61 yards before contact per attempt (27th), while ranking 17th in XFP/G (14.2). In Weeks 11-15, the Steelers play 4 of the bottom-10 defenses in FPG allowed to RBs. Warren has just 1 TD so far this season.
Outlook: Buy based on the extremely favorable schedule for Warren coming up (Example: Courtland Sutton)
43. D’Andre Swift, RB17, CHI
Since his Week 5 bye, Swift is averaging 20.5 FPG (RB6) and 14.4 XFP/G (RB14). In this 3-game span, Swift’s snap share has dwindled in each week (59.3%|52.5%|50.0%). Over the last two weeks, Swift has earned 30 rush attempts (5.63 YPC) to Kyle Monangai’s 20 (5.25 YPC). Swift has still seen 70.0% of the rush attempts inside the 10-yard line in that span, but it has become abundantly clear that HC Ben Johnson wants a split backfield.
Outlook: Sell based on Monangai’s increased usage each week after the bye (Example: Rico Dowdle + Travis Hunter)
44. George Kittle, TE3, SF
As everyone expected, Kittle bounced back in Week 8 with 14.3 fantasy points (scoring on National Tight Ends Day). Brock Purdy is expected to be re-evaluated today, and his return would be massive for Kittle. In the 2 games since his return (with Mac Jones at QB), Kittle is averaging a 9.7% air yard share, 10.3% target share, 21.5 receiving YPG, a 16.7% first-read target share, and 5.9 XFP/G.
45. Rico Dowdle, RB18, CAR
HC Dave Canales on the Panthers RB Situation: “… But we can’t ignore the fact that Rico [Dowdle] has been exceptional.” In the two games together, here is how Dowdle compares to Chuba Hubbard: YPC (5.32 to 2.50), explosive run rate (4.0% to 0.0%), success rate (52.0% to 38.5%), MTF/Att (0.20 to 0.15), and YACO/Att (2.84 to 1.69). It is abundantly clear that Dowdle has been the higher-performing back, and any competent coach would give him more touches.
Outlook: Buy based on Dowdle’s high-level efficiency compared to Hubbard (Example: Marvin Harrison Jr.)
46. Brock Bowers, TE4, LV
All signs point toward Bowers finally returning in Week 9 (without that knee brace on) against the Jaguars. The Week 8 bye was much needed for the Raiders, who have been massively disappointing so far this season. Bowers has only eclipsed 10.0 fantasy points once this season (25.0%), after doing so twelve times in 2024 (70.6%).
Outlook: Buy based on his return to near full health after the bye week (Example: Sam LaPorta + DK Metcalf)
47. Chris Olave, WR20, NO
Through 8 Weeks, Olave ranks 3rd in targets per game (10.0), 22nd in receiving YPG (62.9),39th in YPRR (1.73), 11th in first-read target share (32.0%), and 2nd in XFP/G (19.2). This was largely with Spencer Rattler at QB, and the Saints have announced that Tyler Shough will start in Week 9. That consistent volume, with more downfield usage (3 or more deep targets in three straight games), may dry up with Shough.
48. A.J. Brown, WR21, PHI
Brown suffered a hamstring injury in Week 7, likely on this play, that kept him out of the Eagles’ Week 8 matchup against the Giants. Brown heads into his Week 9 bye with rumors swirling about him potentially being traded or remaining out in Week 10 due to that hamstring injury. The first is incredibly unlikely, but the second (along with all the drama surrounding him) makes me wary of Brown’s ROS outlook.
49. DK Metcalf, WR22, PIT
Metcalf currently ranks 38th in targets per game (6.3), 19th in YPG (65.9), and 19th in FPG (14.7). Among WRs averaging 55.0+ YPG, Metcalf ranks 2nd in uncatchable air yard percentage (45.0%). He remains the clear WR1 for the Steelers and is converting his end zone targets at a high rate (4/6), but he remains a negative regression candidate.
Outlook: Shop around based on a lack of volume reliability (Example: Jaylen Warren or Zay Flowers)
50. DeVonta Smith, WR23, PHI
In four career games without AJ Brown playing, Smith averages 10.3 targets, 96.8 receiving YPG, and 19.7 FPG. Over the last four weeks, Smith has recorded the 2nd most receiving yards (430), and he has the 7th-highest percentage of team receiving first downs in the league (34.0%) over the season so far. Compared to Brown this season, Smith has a higher target share (26.0% to 25.6%), YPRR (2.37 to 1.83), end zone target total (4 to 1), and XFP/G (13.5 to 12.8).