After every Standard and Goblin pick hit last week, we’re riding high into Week 10 — the best week in Fantasy Points PrizePicks Pick Finder history. That only makes the Fantasy Points tool more valuable heading into this slate.
Being able to instantly compare Fantasy Points projections with PrizePicks numbers gives you a real edge. If you’re new to the tool, check out my tutorial for how to navigate projections and terminology.
To fully leverage Fantasy Points' projections, check out my tutorial on navigating the site for optimal results. This outlines how to maximize the tool's potential and explains the necessary terminology.
Projections are current as of 10:00 PM EST on 11/07.
NFL Week 10 Picks
Rico Dowdle (RB, CAR)
Fantasy Score (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 17.0
Fantasy Points: 20.4
When Dowdle plays more than 50% of snaps, he averages 31.5 FP/G — crushing this projection. He’s the clear starter against a Saints team that’s allowed 18 rush attempts inside the 5-yard line, with Dowdle seeing 60% of Carolina’s carries in that range. His 0.18 MTF/ATT pairs perfectly with a Saints defense that allows 0.17 MTF/ATT — 5th highest in the league.
Garrett Wilson (WR, NYJ)
Fantasy Score (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 12.0
Fantasy Points: 14.9
Wilson is the Jets’ passing game — and that’s not hyperbole. He’s produced at least 0.29 FP/RR in every game but one (vs Patrick Surtain Jr.), averaging 0.48 FP/RR overall. Against man coverage, that number spikes by 200%, and Cleveland plays man 37.2% of the time (5th highest). Expect a strong return from injury.
Michael Penix Jr. (QB, ATL)
Pass Yards (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 231.5
Fantasy Points: 264.9
The Colts are giving up the 5th most passing yards per game (264.0) which is above the projection. Penix is averaging 232.9 yards per game, so this is already trending in the right direction. While Sauce Garner is one of the premier corners in the league, it will be tough for him to step in and immediately make a difference, especially after the clinic that Drake London put on last week.
Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC)
Rush Yards (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 50.5
Fantasy Points: 69.7
The Steelers have been mortal against man/gap runs — 5.31 vs 3.71 YPC on those concepts. Vidal ran 58.3% and 47.8% of his carries from man/gap looks in his last two games and still averages 4.74 YPC in zone. With this projection set low, he has multiple paths to clear it.
Rashod Bateman (WR, BLT)
- Receiving Yards (Standard) — MORE
- PrizePicks: 25.5
- Fantasy Points: 41.4
Bateman leads all Ravens wide receivers in wide alignment rate — and that’s where the Vikings have struggled most, allowing the 5th-most yards per game to wide WRs. He’s volatile week-to-week but has been far more effective with Lamar Jackson under center.
Rashod Bateman Target Share with Lamar Jackson this season: 16.1%
— Chris Wecht (@ChrisWechtFF) November 4, 2025
Bateman Target Share without Lamar this season: 8.8%
Additional Picks
Want more than just Standard options for your lineup? We have you covered.
Justin Herbert (QB, LAC)
- Passing Yards (Demon) — MORE
- PrizePicks: 274.5
- Fantasy Points: 280.1
Last week, Pittsburgh gave up a season high to Daniel Jones at 342 passing yards. Herbert averages 265.6 passing yards per game, and Pittsburgh allows 27.7 more yards per game than any other defense — a massive gap. Even with this Demon projection, he’d only need a small bump to hit the mark. Given his form and matchup, it’s one worth targeting.
Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL)
- Receiving Yards (Goblin) — MORE
- PrizePicks: 29.5
- Fantasy Points: 58.4
Pitts moves all over the formation, and Indianapolis has been shredded by tight ends both inline (45.6 yards) and from the slot (35.4 yards) — both over this projection. He’s averaging 8.7 targets per game over his last three and has fallen short of this mark just once all season. A strong Goblin play.
Closing Remarks
Week 10 brings stars back from byes and opens the field for more profitable plays using the Fantasy Points PrizePicks Pick Finder.
Join the Fantasy Points Discord for live projection updates, strategy breakdowns, and expert insight all weekend. The sharpest players aren’t just watching the lines — they’re anticipating them.
