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Thursday Night Football
The G.O.A.T. and the defending Super Bowl champions are back to action for the second time on Thursday night against another NFC East opponent. The Buccaneers will be without Rob Gronkowksi for another game so I’m looking at Mike Evans (TB) over .5 receiving touchdowns (115 pts) as my first prop this week. Evans is the team’s top goal-line option, especially with Gronk out, and he’s posted 8+ targets, 5+ catches, and 75+ yards in each of his last four games with four overall touchdowns. I’m booking Miles Sanders (Phi) under 74.5 rushing + receiving yards (95 points) for my other prop of the night. The Buccaneers are giving up a league-low 39.6 rushing yards per game and they’re facing a league-low 13.2 carries per game this season, and Kenneth Gainwell has been factoring in as the team’s passing back this season. Enjoy the game and good luck! — Tom Brolley
One of my favorite plays when available on Thrive are options that combine both rushing and receiving yards for RB’s. #1 in RB targets, #2 in RB receptions, #3 in RB touches and coming off a 122 rushing yard game it is clear Najee Harris is a true workhorse for Pittsburgh. Najee has had four straight games of over 80 total yards (142, 91, 142, 81). Add a matchup with a team (Seattle) missing their starting QB. I will be selecting Najee Harris over 80.5 total rushing/receiving yards (90 pts).
Jonathan Taylor draws the Texans this week after having back to back games with a rushing TD. The Texans have given up multiple rushing TD’s in their matchups vs. Cleveland, Carolina and Buffalo. What stands out to me the most though when it comes to Jonathan Taylor having a favorable opportunity to score is the fact he leads all RB’s in red zone rushing attempts (25). Projecting the TD streak to continue and I am picking Jonathan Taylor over .5 rushing TD’s (85 pts).
- Nick Skrip
Monday Night Football
Buffalo moved to the top of my Power Ratings two weeks ago, and they backed up their rating with a dominant victory over the reigning AFC Champion Chiefs last week. They have another demon to slay this week after the Titans humbled early last season in a Tuesday night game because of Tennessee’s COVID issues. My first pick for this game will be Cole Beasley (Buf) under 65.5 receiving yards (75 pts). He posted just a five-yard catch on two targets last week, and he’s fallen below 8.0 FP and five targets in three of his five contests. His snap share has also fallen for three straight weeks (66%>50%>39%). I’m going with Zack Moss (Buf) over 44.5 rushing yards (100 pts) for my other pick. Moss has moved ahead of Devin Singletary in recent weeks, which was made clear by his season-high 74% snap rate compared to Singletary’s season-low 26% share. Moss has posted 12+ FP in all four games he’s dressed in, and he’s coming off a season-best 92 scrimmage yards thanks to 3/55 receiving. James Robinson posted 18/149/1 rushing against the Titans last week, and Tennessee is giving up 4.7 YPC to RBs this season. Good luck! — Tom Brolley