We are constantly making new additions to the Fantasy Points Data Suite. This week, we’ve released an entirely new tool, made a significant update to a second, and have made five others free! All seven should be invaluable to your weekly fantasy football, DFS, and sports betting research.
In today’s article, I wanted to highlight each of these new tools and explain how they can help you dominate your fantasy league or help you win lots of money from your preferred Sportsbook.
New Premium Tool
1. Fantasy Points Allowed
You can find the Fantasy Points Allowed tool here.
This tool can be used simply to see which defenses have allowed the most fantasy points to each position, a helpful data point for making lineup decisions or optimizing your DFS lineups. The Cowboys, Ravens, Giants, Steelers, and Jaguars have allowed the most FPG to opposing QBs.
But thanks to the power of the Fantasy Points Data Suite’s filters, we can go so much deeper. For example, we can use the “targeted alignment” filter to see that the Giants and 49ers are 2 of the top-6 teams allowing the most FPG to opposing slot WRs. In Week 8, those are (respectively) positive notes for DeVonta Smith (64.0% slot rate) and possibly Jaylin Noel (66.7% slot rate), should his role expand with Nico Collins likely out with a concussion.
We can do something similar based on target depth. Using the “Depth of Target” filter, we can see that the Cowboys (by far), Bears, and Patriots rank near the top of the league in FPG allowed to WRs on targets traveling 20 or more yards downfield. For Week 8, that may increase the big-play upside of receivers like Marvin Mims and Troy Franklin, Zay Flowers and DeAndre Hopkins, or Jerry Jeudy, respectively.
This table also provides an easy way to view YPC allowed specifically to RBs, or only to the QB position. While teams like the Philadelphia Eagles have been generous to opposing QBs (6.33 YPC allowed, 3rd-most), they’re allowing just 4.20 YPC to RBs (16th). QB runs (especially scrambles) are especially different than designed carries that RBs receive, so it’s nice to be able to separate them out when analyzing matchups.
What about fantasy points per game allowed to TEs on play action? The Broncos rank 5th-highest (6.4) and play Jake Ferguson in Week 8, who leads all TEs in play-action targets (3.6 per game).
There are almost endless filter options available to analyze matchups by play type and position with this tool. To mention only a few more, you could filter by score differential to see which teams surrender the most production to opposing RBs when they’re losing by at least two scores. You can see which defenses allow the most FPG on screens to RBs, or the most on screens to WRs. You could break down FPG allowed to RBs on outside zone vs. inside zone run concepts. The only limit is your imagination.
Updated Premium Tool
2. Fantasy Points Scored
You can find the Fantasy Points Scored Tool here.
We’ve now updated this tool to allow you to filter by position within the player level. In other words, you can now easily analyze the offensive output of a team’s entire positional group — the inverse of the Fantasy Points Allowed tool. You should be able to do virtually everything we covered above in reverse.
For a new example, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have had several injuries and personnel changes at WR throughout the year. Since they’re 4.5-point favorites against a Saints’ team they should beat this week, I wanted to see whether the team has taken its foot off the gas against worse teams, or if they’ve continued to funnel production to their WRs regardless.
Using the filters above, we can see Buccaneers WRs are collectively averaging 42.6 FPG across the four games in which they’ve been betting underdogs. Below, when we switch to games in which they’re favored, we can see they still rank 5th-best, with very little dropoff in FPG (40.9).
This makes me feel more confident in stacking Baker Mayfield with his WRs in DFS this upcoming week!
Free Tools
3. Weekly Snap Share Report
You can find the Weekly Snap Share Report here.
Snap share (a player’s snaps divided by the team’s total offensive snaps) is massively important for fantasy, and especially important at the RB position. Snap share correlates better, is stickier, and is more predictive of future fantasy points at the RB position than raw touches or even yards from scrimmage. Basically, the more your RB is on the field (the more opportunities for carries and targets), the better for fantasy.
One easy (and alarming) example comes from the Patriots’ backfield. In the two games since Antonio Gibson’s season-ending injury, TreVeyon Henderson’s snap share has declined. In contrast, Rhamondre Stevenson has posted his two highest snap shares of the season, and Terrell Jennings was introduced to the backfield in Week 7.
However, if you didn’t watch the Patriots’ Week 7 game, the Data Suite can confirm for you that Jennings only played at the end of the blowout with the game out of hand. Filtering for quarters 1-3, Jennings did not play any snaps. (Not that this is necessarily a defense of Henderson’s fantasy value, but it is helpful context.)
4. Weekly Route Share Report
You can find the Weekly Route Share Report here.
The Route Share Report is very similar to our last tool, except now we’re looking at Route Share (a player’s routes divided by team dropbacks).
Snap share is more important for RBs, but route share matters more for WRs and TEs. The Chargers are a good recent example. Notice how rookie TE Oronde Gadsden’s routes have continued to climb despite the returns of Quentin Johnston and Will Dissly. In contrast, Tre Harris’s playing time went back to normal the moment Johnston returned.
Another good use of this tool after Week 7 would be filtering for 3rd downs when examining the Bears’ TE usage in the wake of Cole Kmet’s back injury. In an observation borrowed from Football Insights, the Bears frequently use 2-TE sets on early downs, so tracking how many routes Kmet and Colston Loveland are running on passing downs should provide a better signal as to their future fantasy utility.
Since the bye, these rates have flipped dramatically compared to the first four weeks. And with Kmet leaving early in Week 7, Loveland actually ran a route on 100% of the Bears’ 3rd-down dropbacks, the same as Rome Odunze. Loveland was a priority pickup for me this week and is a DFS dart throw I’m considering.
5. Weekly Target Share Report
You can find the Weekly Target Share Report here.
This is just like our last two tools, except now we’re looking at target share (a player’s targets divided by a team’s total pass attempts).
That’s pretty self-explanatory, but a cool tip is that using the Targeted Read filter in the play tab, you can even see first-read target share in this tool. Simply select “1st” and “Design” in the dropdown and apply the filter!
Sticking with the Chargers, we can see that Keenan Allen has actually led the team in first-read target share over two of the past three weeks, despite his lower route shares seen above.
6. Weekly Pass Rate Over Expectation Report
You can find the Weekly Pass Rate Over Expectation Report here.
It should be intuitive to target QBs, WRs, and TEs on teams with high pass rates and RBs on teams with low pass rates. Pass rate is a usable-but-imperfect stat for fantasy, too heavily influenced by game script and situation. (Last year, teams threw the ball 96% of the time on 3rd-and-10 versus just 25% of the time on 3rd-and-1. Teams ran the ball 53% of the time when leading by multiple scores versus just 28% of the time when trailing by multiple scores.) Pass rate over expectation (PROE) controls for all of this to give you a better sense of a team’s true tendencies.
As I noted in The Everything Report this week, the Chiefs’ pass-heavy tendencies mean I’m a lot more excited about rookie RB Brashard Smith’s 5 designed targets in Week 7 — which the Chiefs use as an extension of their run game — than I was about Isiah Pacheco’s increasing share of work on the ground.
Thus far, we’ve only looked at offenses by PROE. At the top-right-hand corner, you can also toggle your view to look at the top defenses by PROE allowed. Below are the defenses against which opposing offenses have chosen to pass the most often, controlling for all the situational factors mentioned above.
One of the best things you can do here for DFS purposes is to compare these tables to each other to determine which naturally pass-heavy offenses are facing a pass-heavy defense in the upcoming week. Last week, I identified the Broncos (8th-highest PROE on offense) as going against a “pass-funnel” Giants defense (2nd-highest PROE allowed to their opponents). Betting markets didn’t expect that game to be a shootout, but Bo Nix ended up as the highest-scoring QB of the week.
7. Weekly Fantasy Points Scored Report
You can find the Fantasy Points Scored Report here.
This is the simplest and most self-explanatory of the five newly released tools, as it displays each player's fantasy points scored each week in a grid format. But that doesn’t mean we can’t extract useful insights from it.
When we use the Data Suite to filter only for games that D’Andre Swift’s team won, we uncover the sell-high angle I discussed in this week’s Everything Report. Swift, like many RBs, is largely a bet on his offense’s ability to control the game script and move the ball in a given week. So it makes sense that he’s averaged 18.3 FPG in wins…
…But just 12.2 FPG in the Bears’ two losses. And this was much the same in 2024 (17.8 in wins vs. 10.5 in losses). The team is coming off four straight wins in which Swift has been highly productive, but they are currently only favored in four of their 11 remaining games this year. So, outside of a pair of upcoming matchups against the Bengals and Giants over the next three weeks, it’s fair to question Swift’s upside in the fantasy playoffs.
Another good application is to simply explore whether a team’s skill players’ scores are correlated on a weekly basis. This can be a hint about whether to play them together in DFS tournaments. For example, Devonta Smith and A.J. Brown each have two games above 20.0 fantasy points this year, and they both happened during the same two games. This is intuitive; on the occasions that the Eagles are actually throwing a lot, doing so successfully, and Dallas Goedert isn’t stealing all the touchdowns at the goal line, these WRs usually both eat downfield.
Don’t miss out on all this data and get started today!
