Week 18 Underdog Pick Em


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Week 18 Underdog Pick Em

Welcome to a brand-new feature on Fantasy Points! Each week, I’ll go through some of my favorite Underdog Fantasy props so we can make a parlay (or multiple) based on those picks! It is very important to note that for Underdog Fantasy Pick ‘Em, you can’t just play one single prop by itself, you need to have at least a two-team parlay, so there won’t be any one bet that I emphasize more than the others.

Underdog Fantasy is the best place to play fantasy sports in-season, and you can use the promo code FANTASYPTS to get a FREE 100% match on your first deposit, up to $100!

Before we get going, a quick overview of how Underdog Fantasy scoring rolls: half-PPR scoring, passing yards points are 1 point per every 25 yards, 4-point passing touchdowns, -1 point for an interception. Since this typically drops on Fridays, this will not include a Thursday Night Football prop. Let’s dive right into this week’s props!

Current Record: 37-16-1; Week 17: 2-1

Derrick Henry OVER 0.5 Rushing TDs

This is a pretty easy one. You take Henry against any member of the AFC South because he has absolutely decimated them over his career. In 12 games against the Jaguars, Henry has 230 carries for 1,264 yards and SIXTEEN touchdowns. That’s averaging over one per game, folks.

Henry gets another great matchup here in a do-or-die game for the South division. Take the over.

Trevor Lawrence OVER 259.5 Passing Yards

Similar to Henry, this is a do-or-die game for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Lawrence has blossomed over the course of this season, and while he has thrown for over 260 yards in only 7 games this season, the Titans are a special matchup.

Look up “pass-funnel defense” in the dictionary, the 2022 Titans will have a picture in there. They give up nearly 300 passing yards per game this season, and Lawrence just threw for 368 yards against them in Week 14. You don’t think Doug Pederson is going away from him anytime soon, do you?

Jakobi Meyers OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards

Is there a more underrated wide receiver when it comes to getting things done than Meyers? He’s certainly consistent: He has had 47 or more receiving yards in 10/13 games this season and he is Mac Jones’ most reliable target on this Patriots team that is quite simply devoid of high-end receiver talent.

Going into his matchup this week, Meyers is of course the main slot man for the Pats, and the Bills, despite their defensive awesomeness, have been a bend-don’t-break defense against wide receivers, allowing the 9th-most fantasy PPG to them since Week 11. When it comes to perimeter vs. slot points allowed, however, the Bills rank 6th on that list, so let’s get Meyers locked in here.

Isaiah McKenzie OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards

We wrap things up with McKenzie, who finds himself at home against man coverage, which the Patriots have always liked to run and still do at a well above-average rate this season. Against all man coverages, McKenzie has seen a 16.2 target share and 18.8% targets per route run, both of which rank above Gabe Davis.

McKenzie had a solid game against the Patriots in Week 13, catching all 5 targets for 44 yards. He’s a big chain-mover when he needs to be for one of the best offenses in the league that will be motivated to close the season strong.

Final Thoughts

When we load all of these plays into Underdog Fantasy’s prop parlay machine, we receive 10-1 odds on this parlay, meaning if you bet $100 and all four legs hit, you will win $1000 total!

Alternatively, you can choose to get insurance on your parlay, for no additional cost. With insurance, if one of your legs doesn’t hit but the other two do, you get paid at 1-1 odds, while winning at 3-1 odds if you still hit all three legs.