The 2025 NFL season is slowly starting to come into view, which means more NFL player props are being released with each passing week. Most of the national sportsbooks have posted 2025 NFL Receiving Yards Props for the top wide receivers and tight ends. In this article, I highlighted bets I’ve already made on D.J. Moore and Ladd McConkey, plus a couple of additional wagers I considered.
Wagering your hard-earned money in the summer and waiting more than half a year for bets to be settled isn’t the easiest pill to swallow. Nevertheless, if we can get the best of the lines before the markets fully mature in the future, it will make the wait until the end of the season worth it in the long run. Make sure to shop around for the best lines and odds if you have access to multiple sportsbooks. You’re likely to see more volatility between books on NFL Futures in the off-season than you’ll see on game lines and player props during the season. Let’s see if we can find some value in these NFL Receiving Yard Props.
Check out all of my 2025 NFL Futures articles during the off-season and my Best Bets for the 2025 season. We finished up +59.83 units for the 2024 season, including +23.93 units on Futures wagers.
2025 NFL Receiving Yards Props
The table is sorted by Fantasy Points receiving yards projection. Target the Lowest Receiving Yard Totals for over wagers and the Highest Receiving Yard Totals for under wagers. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), Bet365 (365), ESPNBet (ESPN) to find the best yardage totals for receivers as of May 29.
| Player | FP Projection | Highest Total (under) | Lowest Total (over) |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 1467.5 | 1150.5 (-110, DK) | 1050.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| Puka Nacua (LAR) | 1466.7 | 1225.5 (-114, FD) | 1175.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Ja’Marr Chase (Cin) | 1428.8 | 1325.5 (-110, 365) | 1250.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| Justin Jefferson (Min) | 1351.4 | 1250.5 (-110, DK) | 1200.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Ladd McConkey (LAC) | 1301.8 | 1025.5 (-105, DK) | 950.5 (-115, ESPNBet) |
| Brian Thomas (Jax) | 1224.4 | 1150.5 (-110, DK) | 1150.5 (-110, DK) |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | 1198.5 | 1200.5 (-110, DK) | 1150.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Nico Collins (Hou) | 1163.8 | 1150.5 (-114, FD) | 1100.5 (-120, MGM) |
| Drake London (Atl) | 1159.1 | 1050.5 (-110, DK) | 1000.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| A.J. Brown (Phi) | 1151.7 | 1150.5 (-110, MGM) | 1050.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | 1147.8 | 1100.5 (-110, DK) | 1000.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Davante Adams (LAR) | 1093.8 | 975.5 (-110, MGM) | 900.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| Tee Higgins (Cin) | 1087.4 | 975.5 (-114, FD) | 900.5 (-125, 365) |
| Trey McBride (Ari) | 1058.0 | 900.5 (-110, DK) | 875.5 (-110, 365) |
| D.K. Metcalf (Sea) | 1041.9 | 975.5 (-115, CZR) | 875.5 (-120, MGM) |
| Jerry Jeudy (Cle) | 1030.9 | 925.5 (-110, MGM) | 925.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Mike Evans (TB) | 1028.9 | 950.5 (-110, 365) | 880.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Tyreek Hill (Mia) | 1027.8 | 980.5 (-110, MGM) | 975.5 (-110, DK) |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | 1023.3 | 1000.5 (-110, MGM) | 950.5 (-135, ESPN) |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 1022.1 | 925.5 (-110, DK) | 900.5 (-110, DK) |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Sea) | 1012.2 | 950.5 (-114, FD) | 925.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Terry McLaurin (Was) | 997.4 | 1000.5 (-110, DK) | 975.5 (-110, 365) |
| Player | FP Projection | Highest Total (under) | Lowest Total (over) |
| D.J. Moore (Chi) | 964.6 | 1050.5 (-110, MGM) | 1000.5 (-110, 365) |
| Zay Flowers (Bal) | 952.3 | 925.5 (-114, FD) | 900.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Courtland Sutton (Den) | 946.7 | 875.5 (-110, DK) | 850.5 (-110, 365) |
| Jaylen Waddle (Mia) | 946.0 | 875.5 (-110, MGM) | 875.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Travis Hunter (Jax) | 924.3 | 750.5 (-114, FD) | 695.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Marvin Harrison (Ari) | 922.4 | 950.5 (-115, CZR) | 900.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| Tetairoa McMillan (Car) | 916.4 | 825.5 (-114, FD) | 750.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| George Pickens (Pit) | 915.3 | 950.5 (-110, 365) | 800.5 (-135, ESPN) |
| Jameson Williams (Det) | 899.4 | 875.5 (-110, MGM) | 850.5 (-114, FD) |
| Devonta Smith (Phi) | 889.5 | 850.5 (-110, DK) | 775.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| Khalil Shakir (Buf) | 826.0 | 775.5 (-110, 365) | 775.5 (-110, 365) |
| Josh Downs (Ind) | 802.8 | 775.5 (-110, 365) | 650.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Michael Pittman (Ind) | 773.0 | 775.5 (-110, 365) | 775.5 (-110, 365) |
| Sam LaPorta (Det) | 753.8 | 680.6 (-110, MGM) | 650.5 (-110, DK) |
| Stefon Diggs (NE) | 752.4 | 750.5 (-110, MGM) | 700.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Deebo Samuel (Was) | 745.5 | 700.5 (-110, 365) | 700.5 (-110, 365) |
| Colston Loveland (Chi) | 682.7 | 700.5 (-130, 365) | 650.5 (-115, CZR) |
| David Njoku (Cle) | 643.1 | 700.5 (-110, MGM) | 675.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Keon Coleman (Buf) | 624.2 | 750.5 (-110, 365) | 750.5 (-110, 365) |
| Matthew Golden (GB) | 617.4 | 800.5 (-115, CZR) | 650.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Tyler Warren (Ind) | 606.2 | 525.5 (-110, MGM) | 525.5 (-110, 365) |
Brolley’s Best Bets
Ladd McConkey (LAC) over 950.5 receiving yards (-115, ESPNBet)
Risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit. Placed May 30.
McConkey is coming off an outstanding rookie season, asserting himself as the alpha receiver for Justin Herbert by midseason. He ended his campaign with 52+ receiving yards in 11 straight games, including 94+ yards six times in that span. McConkey ranked 12th in A.S.S. (.150) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. He finished ninth in YPRR (2.57) on his way to finishing with 1149 yards in 16 games. McConkey ranked 27th in target share (22.9%), which could improve in his second season, as his toughest competition for targets could come from second-round pick Tre Harris. We’re projecting McConkey to easily clear his receiving yards total with 1301.8 yards, which is 351.3 yards clear of his total.
D.J. Moore (Chi) under 1050.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM)
Risk 1.1 units to win 1 unit. Placed May 30.
I successfully bet Moore to go over 925.5 receiving yards last season, but anyone who tailed the bet knows it wasn’t a pleasant sweat with Chicago’s offense stumbling to the finish line. He barely cleared his total in the final game of the season, despite closing with 140 targets and 98 receptions. He averaged career lows in YPR (9.9) and YPT (6.9) in his first season with Caleb Williams at quarterback, and he sat at 1.53 YPRR despite owning a 24.4% target share. Moore ranked 85th in A.S.S. (.051) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. He easily led the league with 41 designed targets, 15 more than the next closest player, Khalil Shakir. That’s unlikely to continue with Ben Johnson taking over the offense, especially after the Bears drafted Colston Loveland and Luther Burden. We’re projecting Moore to fall short of 1000 yards once again, and 85.9 yards below his prop total with 964.6 yards.
Brolley’s Leans
Malik Nabers (NYG) over 1050.5 receiving yards (-130, ESPNBet)
Nabers owned the biggest share of any passing game last season, and he did it as a 21-year-old rookie. He ranked first in target share (32.2%), second in air yards share (46.1%), second in team yards share (39.4%), and fifth in route share (89.6%). Nabers showed some route-running chops, ranking 23rd in A.S.S. (.112) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. He excelled despite having one of the league’s worst quarterback situations, which has at least marginally improved with the Giants adding Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, and Jaxson Dart. He has one of the best paths to dominating passing work once again because New York didn’t bring in any notable receivers in the off-season. We’re projecting Nabers to lead the league with 1467.5 receiving yards, which would clear his prop total by a whopping 417 yards. If you’re willing to lay a little extra juice at -130, he should easily clear 1050.5 yards with a relatively healthy campaign.
Trey McBride (Ari) over 875.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365)
McBride’s rotten touchdown luck masked what was otherwise a special season for the third-year TE — he finally found paydirt on his 98th reception of the season in Week 17. He finished behind just Brock Bowers in receiving yards (1146) and receptions (111) among TEs, ending the season with 65+ receiving yards in seven of his final eight games. He’s averaging 6.8 receptions, 8.9 targets, and 69.3 receiving yards per game since becoming Arizona’s starting TE in Week 8. McBride ranked fourth in A.S.S. (.070) among 40 tight ends who ran 200+ routes last season. We’re projecting McBride to clear his total by 182.5 yards, but my only hesitation with betting his over is if Marvin Harrison Jr. makes a jump in his second season and steals away a chunk of targets.
Travis Hunter (Jax) over 695.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM)
Hunter will form one of the most exciting young WR duos in the league with Brian Thomas, who led all rookies in receiving yards last season. The Jaguars were lean on playmakers after moving on from Christian Kirk and Evan Engram before selecting Hunter. Liam Coen should call a pass-friendly attack in his first season after the Buccaneers ranked ninth in plays per game (63.2) and eighth in pass rate over expectation (2.7%). The big question is just how much Hunter will play on offense since any defensive reps could lead the Jaguars to be mindful of his route participation. We currently have Hunter projected for 924.3 yards on a 75% route share. I’d feel good about Hunter getting over yardage total with at least a 70% route share, but we’re going into the season a little blind on just how much he’ll be used on both sides of the ball.
Keon Coleman (Buf) under 750.5 receiving yards (-110, Bet365)
Coleman turned in a forgettable first season despite finishing behind only Khalil Shakir in route share. He owned just a 68.8% route share with Joe Brady heavily rotating his receivers, turning in 556 yards on only 56 targets in 13 games. Coleman was used strictly as a vertical threat, finishing sixth in aDOT (15.3) and third in YPR (19.2) among 85 WRs who saw 50+ targets. He showed little as an all-around receiver, ranking 131st in A.S.S. (.010) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. The Bills handed $18 million guaranteed to Josh Palmer to be the #2 receiver next to Shakir after turning in 581+ yards in three straight seasons for the Chargers. Brady will also mix in Elijah Moore and Curtis Samuel, which is why we’re projecting Coleman to fall 126.3 yards short of his yardage total.
