The 2025 NFL season is starting to come into view, which means more NFL player props are being released with each passing week. I previously broke down the 2025 NFL Receiving Yards Props, and it’s time to dive into the 2025 NFL Most Receiving Yards Odds for the top receivers. In this article, I highlighted bets I’ve already made on Tyreek Hill and Drake London and a few additional wagers I considered.
Ja’Marr Chase cashed the fourth-shortest odds at +900 with an NFL-best 1708 yards last season. He easily beat out Justin Jefferson (1533, +800) for the honor as no other receiver even reached 1300+ receiving yards. Chase is the favorite to repeat as the league leader in receiving yards at +600 odds. He’s followed closely by contenders like Jefferson (+800), Nico Collins (+1000), CeeDee Lamb (+1100), Puka Nacua (+1100), and Malik Nabers (+1200) at 12/1 odds or shorter.
Check out all of my 2025 NFL Futures articles during the off-season and my Best Bets for the 2025 season. We finished up +59.83 units for the 2024 season, including +23.93 units on Futures wagers.
Receiving Yards Leaders From the Last Decade
| Year | Receiver | Age | Receiving Yards | Odds (rank) |
| 2024 | Ja’Marr Chase (Cin) | 24 | 1708 | +900 (4th) |
| 2023 | Tyreek Hill (Mia) | 29 | 1799 | +950 (3rd) |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson (Min) | 23 | 1809 | +800 (1st) |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp (LAR) | 28 | 1947 | +3500 (19th) |
| 2020 | Stefon Diggs (Buf) | 26 | 1535 | +5000 (25th) |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas (NO) | 26 | 1725 | +1000 (4th) |
| 2018 | Julio Jones (Atl) | 29 | 1677 | +400 (2nd) |
| 2017 | Antonio Brown (Pit) | 29 | 1533 | +375 (1st) |
| 2016 | T.Y. Hilton (Ind) | 26 | 1448 | +2600 (9th) |
| 2015 | Julio Jones (Atl) | 26 | 1871 | +600 (1st) |
Historical Hints
The favorite has led the league in receiving yards three times in the last decade, with Justin Jefferson (+800) last doing it in 2022. Ja’Marr Chase (+900) joined his LSU teammate Jefferson as a league leader in receiving yards at the age of 24 or younger in the last three years. Receivers ranked in the top four in odds have led the league in receiving yards seven times in the last decade. Stefon Diggs (+5000) and Cooper Kupp (+3500) were long-shot winners in 2020-21, and they both did it after major changes before their monster campaigns. The Rams traded for Matthew Stafford before Kupp’s monster season, and Diggs went from Minnesota to Buffalo before his standout season.
A pace of at least 100 yards per game has been needed to lead the league in six of the last seven years and seven times in the last decade. Receivers in their age-26 to age-29 seasons have been the sweet spot to lead the league in receiving. Chase and Jefferson are the only receivers to fall outside of that range in the last decade.
2025 NFL Most Receiving Yards Odds
The table is sorted by Fantasy Points receiving yards projection. You should target the Longest Odds for Most Receiving Yards to maximize your potential return. I used odds from DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) as of June 17.
| Receiver | FP Projection | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Malik Nabers (NYG) | 1467.5 | +1200 (multiple) | +1000 (DK) |
| Puka Nacua (LAR) | 1466.7 | +1100 (DK) | +800 (Bet365) |
| Ja’Marr Chase (Cin) | 1428.8 | +600 (DK) | +500 (365) |
| Justin Jefferson (Min) | 1351.4 | +800 (365) | +650 (ESPN) |
| Ladd McConkey (LAC) | 1301.8 | +3800 (FD) | +2200 (365) |
| Nico Collins (Hou) | 1274.8 | +1000 (365) | +700 (CZR) |
| Brian Thomas (Jax) | 1224.4 | +1400 (ESPN) | +1100 (365) |
| Drake London (Atl) | 1198.4 | +3500 (CZR) | +1800 (365) |
| CeeDee Lamb (Dal) | 1190.4 | +1100 (FD) | +1000 (DK) |
| A.J. Brown (Phi) | 1151.7 | +2500 (CZR) | +1800 (365) |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (Det) | 1145.6 | +2900 (FD) | +1600 (365) |
| Rashee Rice (KC) | 1142.7 | +5000 (CZR) | +4000 (multiple) |
| Davante Adams (LAR) | 1093.8 | +5500 (FD) | +3500 (CZR) |
| Tee Higgins (Cin) | 1087.4 | +5000 (CZR) | +3700 (FD) |
| Trey McBride (Ari) | 1058.0 | +15000 (ESPN) | +6000 (FD) |
| D.K. Metcalf (Pit) | 1043.0 | +6000 (CZR) | +3000 (DK) |
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 1039.3 | +4100 (FD) | +2800 (365) |
| Mike Evans (TB) | 1028.9 | +8000 (DK) | +5000 (FD) |
| Tyreek Hill (Mia) | 1027.8 | +2200 (365) | +1400 (DK) |
| Jerry Jeudy (Cle) | 1025.0 | +8000 (DK) | +5000 (365) |
| Calvin Ridley (Ten) | 1013.3 | +8000 (DK) | +3300 (365) |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Sea) | 1012.2 | +3500 (ESPN) | +2800 (365) |
| George Kittle (SF) | 1002.4 | +8000 (DK) | +6000 (FD) |
| Terry McLaurin (Was) | 997.4 | +4000 (multiple) | +3300 (365) |
| Receiver | FP Projection | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Brock Bowers (LV) | 986.9 | +4000 (DK) | +2800 (365) |
| Zay Flowers (Bal) | 952.3 | +7500 (multiple) | +5500 (FD) |
| Courtland Sutton (Den) | 946.7 | +10000 (365) | +6000 (CZR) |
| Jaylen Waddle (Mia) | 946.0 | +15000 (ESPN) | +4500 (FD) |
| D.J. Moore (Chi) | 941.1 | +10000 (ESPN) | +2800 (365) |
| Travis Hunter (Jax) | 924.3 | +11000 (FD) | +10000 (multiple) |
| Chris Godwin (TB) | 923.3 | +10000 (DK) | +3000 (365) |
| Marvin Harrison (Ari) | 922.4 | +6000 (CZR) | +3000 (DK) |
| Jordan Addison (Min) | 919.8 | +20000 (365) | +7500 (CZR) |
| Tetairoa McMillan (Car) | 916.4 | +10000 (FD) | +4000 (365) |
| George Pickens (Dal) | 909.1 | +6500 (DK) | +5000 (365) |
| Jakobi Meyers (LV) | 899.4 | +15000 (365) | +7500 (FD) |
| Jameson Williams (Det) | 897.6 | +10000 (365) | +4800 (FD) |
| DeVonta Smith (Phi) | 889.5 | +10000 (365) | +6000 (CZR) |
| Darnell Mooney (Atl) | 837.8 | +15000 (DK) | +7500 (ESPN) |
| Chris Olave (NO) | 812.7 | +8000 (FD) | +5000 (CZR) |
| Xavier Worthy (KC) | 812.6 | +10000 (ESPN) | +4000 (365) |
| Josh Downs (Ind) | 803.3 | +25000 (365) | +15000 (DK) |
| Michael Pittman (Ind) | 793.7 | +25000 (365) | +11000 (FD) |
| Khalil Shakir (Buf) | 786.7 | +15000 (365) | +10000 (FD) |
| Jauan Jennings (SF) | 780.5 | +10000 (CZR) | +4000 (365) |
| Rome Odunze (Chi) | 753.2 | +10000 (multiple) | +10000 (multiple) |
| Stefon Diggs (NE) | 752.4 | +15000 (365) | +5500 (CZR) |
Brolley’s Best Bets
Drake London (Atl) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+3500, Caesars)
Risk .25 units to win 8.75 units. Placed June 17.
London quietly ended last season fourth in receiving yards with 1271, finishing 11 yards behind Brian Thomas (1282) and well behind Justin Jefferson (1533) and Ja’Marr Chase (1708). Despite his strong third season, London still finds himself down the board with the 11th-shortest odds to lead the league in receiving yards. His production suffered some playing with a limited Kirk Cousins for most of the season, but he climbed the yardage ranks in the final weeks of the season when Michael Penix took over the offense. London averaged 7.3 receptions, 13.0 targets, and 117.3 receiving YPG in Penix’s three starts, and he actually led the league with 352 yards in Weeks 16-18.
London is an ascending player entering his age-24 season after ranking fifth in target share (27.2%), third in TPRR (.30), third in first-read share (35.4%), and 12th in YPRR (2.52) last season. He could easily see the best QB play of his career if Penix lives up to his first-round draft status after working with Desmond Ridder, Marcus Mariota, Taylor Heinicke, and a washed-up Cousins to start his career. The Falcons ranked 28th in pass rate over expectation (-4.2%) last season, but they did rank sixth in plays per game (63.9) and eighth in seconds between snaps (26.9). The Falcons could have more passing volume if they move toward the middle of the league in pass rate over expectation, if not higher, with Penix at quarterback. London is also entering a pivotal season as he looks to land a contract extension that will pay him like one of the league’s top receivers.
Tyreek Hill (Mia) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+2200, Bet365)
Risk .4 units to win 8.8 units. Placed June 17.
Hill already has one receiving yards crown to his name from 2023, and he cleared 1700+ yards in each of his first two seasons in Miami. He averaged 106.3 receiving YPG in 2022-23 before a training camp wrist injury derailed his 2024 campaign right out of the gates. He averaged just 56.4 receiving YPG and failed to reach 1000+ yards for the first time since 2019. Hill underwent right wrist surgery this off-season, and he’s moved past the trade demands he made after last season’s final game. He said this spring that he’s hoping “I can prove myself and prove to my teammates that I’m still one of them ones, man, who’s chasing 2K [receiving yards].”
Hill appears locked in at the start of the summer. He even ran the 100-meter dash in a personal-best 10.15 seconds in preparation for a since-cancelled race with Olympic 100-meter champion Noah Lyles. Hill ranks behind only Justin Jefferson in 100-yard receiving games since 2022 with 20, and Miami’s defense could have the Dolphins playing in more shootouts, especially if they trade Jalen Ramsey before the season. Hill should be priced in the second tier of top contenders behind favorites Ja’Marr Chase and Jefferson. Let’s take advantage of the discount we’re receiving because Hill put up sub-par numbers gutting through a wrist injury all of last season.
Brolley’s Leans
Malik Nabers (NYG) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+1200, FanDuel).
We’re projecting Nabers to lead the league with 1467.5 receiving yards, just ahead of Puka Nacua and Ja’Marr Chase. Nabers owned the biggest share of any passing game last season, and he did it as a 21-year-old rookie. He ranked first in target share (32.2%), second in air yards share (46.1%), second in team yards share (39.4%), and fifth in route share (89.6%). He finished seventh in receiving yards (1204) despite missing two games, and he ranked seventh in receiving YPG (80.3). Nabers has one of the best paths to dominating passing work once again because New York didn’t bring in any notable receivers in the off-season.
Nabers showed some route-running chops as a rookie, ranking 23rd in A.S.S. (.112) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. He excelled despite having one of the league’s worst quarterback situations, which has at least marginally improved with the Giants adding Russell Wilson, Jaxson Dart, and Jameis Winston. I’d strongly consider betting on Nabers if Winston could earn multiple starts, but it looks like he’ll open the season as the #3 QB behind Wilson and Dart. Nabers has also been resting a toe injury during off-season workouts, which has lingered since his time at LSU. The Giants own one of the NFL's lowest win totals, which has me slightly worried the Giants could shut Nabers down late in the season if they fall out of contention.
Ladd McConkey (LAC) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+3800, FanDuel)
I wagered on McConkey to clear 950.5 receiving yards in a previous article, and I strongly considered backing him to lead the NFL in receiving yards. We’re projecting McConkey for the fifth-most receiving yards after asserting himself as the alpha receiver for Justin Herbert by midseason of his rookie season. He ended his campaign with 52+ receiving yards in 11 straight games (postseason included), including 94+ yards six times in that span. McConkey finished ninth in YPRR (2.57) on his way to finishing with 1149 yards in 16 games. He ranked 12th in A.S.S. (.150) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season.
McConkey ranked 27th in target share (22.9%), which could improve in his second season. His toughest competition for targets could come from the frustrating Quentin Johnston or second-round pick Tre Harris. McConkey also prioritized getting his body healthy after he battled hip, shoulder, and knee injuries as a rookie. He watched films of Julian Edelman and Tyler Lockett to learn how to dive to avoid contact to preserve his body in the middle of the field while also picking up extra yards.
Mike Evans (TB) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+8000, DraftKings)
Evans extended his NFL record for 1000-yard seasons to open his career to 11, reaching the milestone on Tampa Bay’s final play of the regular season. He’s one of the best receivers of his generation, but he’s never led the league in receiving yards despite averaging the 13th-highest receiving YPG (75.5) in NFL history. Evans showed he’s still a dominant route runner at 31 years old, ranking second in A.S.S. (.203) among 180 receivers who ran 200+ routes last season. He finished fifth in YPRR (2.66) and ninth in TPRR (.28), but he ran just 377 routes because of a hamstring injury that forced him to miss three games and limited him in three other contests.
Evans isn’t slowing down yet, but he’s going to see the most competition for targets that he’s faced in his career. The Buccaneers had one of the league’s best receiving corps heading into the draft, and they added to that strength by selecting Emeka Egbuka 19th overall. It was a surprising pick considering the Buccaneers handed Chris Godwin $44 million guaranteed despite his second serious leg injury in the last four years. Jalen McMillan, a 2024 third-round pick, is also coming off a blistering finish to his rookie campaign. Evans has the best chance to maintain his role as the clear X receiver, but his ceiling has been lowered in this loaded receiving corps. Evans is a longer shot to lead the league in receiving yards, but his odds are a little too long at 80/1.
Courtland Sutton (Den) most regular season receiving yards 2024-25 (+10000, Bet365)
Sutton is coming off his finest season in Year 7, turning in his second 1000-yard campaign with then-rookie Bo Nix taking over at quarterback. Sutton is looking to have an even better season if Nix takes another step forward in his second season under Sean Payton. Sutton ranked third in air yards share (44.9%), 22nd in TPRR (.26), and 31st in YPRR (2.13) among all receivers over the entire season. His season took off starting in Week 8 once Nix settled into being an NFL quarterback, averaging 79.9 receiving YPG in his final 11 contests (postseason included).
He topped 70+ yards eight times and 97+ yards five times in that 11-game span. Sutton owns a career 14.1 YPR average and has never dipped below 13.0 YPR in any season, and he’s averaged 8.3 YPT for his career. He’s coming off career-highs in receptions (81) and targets (135), and he could be among the league leaders in receiving yards if he sees similar usage to the way he was used in the second half of last season. Sutton will face more target competition after the Broncos signed Evan Engram and drafted Pat Bryant in the third round. Still, his odds are too long for how he performed at the end of last season, especially with an emerging young quarterback.
