Week 3 is here, and it’s time to flip early frustrations into momentum. Scoring jumped across the league in Week 2, and now fantasy managers can capitalize on clearer roles, sharper usage, and stronger projections. The Fantasy Points PrizePicks Pick Finder is the perfect way to get back on the horse.
Each week, I highlight the biggest gaps between expert projections and what’s on the board. These differences give you actionable opportunities — whether you’re chasing a quick weekly edge or building long-term success.
To fully leverage Fantasy Points' projections, check out my tutorial on navigating the site for optimal results. This breaks down how to get the most out of the tool and what terminology you need to know.
Projections are current as of 9:00 PM EST on 9/18.
NFL Week 3 Picks
Davante Adams (WR, LAR)
Fantasy Score (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 13.0
Fantasy Points: 17.0
This is the biggest difference in fantasy score projections for Week 3. Adams delivered solid production in Week 1 and exploded in Week 2. He ranks top-three in Separation Score, leads all WRs in yards per route run, and sits second in targets per route run among players with 25+ routes. The Eagles play zone on 75% of snaps, but Adams still commands elite usage in any coverage. With Matthew Stafford feeding multiple top receivers, Adams continues to dominate.
Keenan Allen (WR, LAC)
Fantasy Score (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 11.5
Fantasy Points: 13.9
At 33, Allen looks rejuvenated, averaging 18.5 fantasy points through two weeks (12.5 even without touchdowns). He leads the Chargers in target share while running the third-most routes on the team. Slot usage (49.1%) keeps him away from Patrick Surtain, and Denver’s man coverage rate (45.8%, 2nd highest rate in the NFL) plays right into Allen’s strengths. Expect him to keep piling up catches and value.
Carson Wentz (QB, MIN)
Passing Yards (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 207.5
Fantasy Points: 242.6
Wentz gets his first full start since 2023, and the matchup is tailor-made for production. Cincinnati has allowed 269.5 passing yards per game, and Kevin McConnell’s playcalling consistently puts quarterbacks in position to succeed. Sam Darnold cleared this projection in 15 of 17 games last year, and Wentz should follow that blueprint in Week 3.
Nick Chubb (RB, HOU)
Rushing Yards (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 48.5
Fantasy Points: 66.9
Chubb has already topped this projection in both games, even behind an average offensive line. More importantly, his snap share and rushing attempts increase each week. The Jaguars have struggled to contain the run, giving Chubb the chance to keep building momentum.
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET)
Receptions (Standard) — MORE
PrizePicks: 3.5
Fantasy Points: 4.4
Gibbs caught all 10 of his Week 1 targets but dipped to just three in Week 2. The difference was game script: when Detroit trailed, his route share jumped significantly. Gibbs’s routes run per team dropback (RTE %) goes up 5% when the game is tied and 10% when the Lions are trailing compared to his RTE % when leading. Against Baltimore in what could be the game of the week, the Lions will need Gibbs as a receiver. Expect him to see more work in the passing game and push past this projection.
Additional Picks
Want more than just Standard options for your lineup? We have you covered.
Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, CLV)
- Receiving Yards (Demon) — MORE
- PrizePicks: 39.5
- Fantasy Points: 44.2
Fannin has passed this projection pretty easily each week in the young season. Last week I chose the wrong Browns pass catcher to eclipse this Demon projection. I am looking to learn from my mistakes here. It helps that the first two tight ends to face the Packers this season both easily eclipsed this mark.
Really can’t believe Harold Fannin Jr. is good at football pic.twitter.com/PAbe6iSeaZ
— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) September 7, 2025
Malik Nabers (WR, NYG)
- Receiving Yards (Goblin) — MORE
- PrizePicks: 64.5
- Fantasy Points: 98.5
It is tough to pick the wide receiver who is tied for highest Goblin receiving yards projection, but did you miss that catch last week?
HAND ON HIS FACEMASK. WHAT A CATCH BY MALIK NABERS. pic.twitter.com/Z2jD6xYDp3
— NFL (@NFL) September 14, 2025
Plus, Nabers more than doubled this projection last week. Now he gets a plus matchup against the Chiefs. Time to cash in!
Malik Nabers put up video game numbers in Week 2 🕹️
9 catches
167 yards
2 touchdowns@whyguard13
Closing Remarks
Week 3 offers the perfect chance to reset and start stacking wins. Use the PrizePicks Pick Finder to identify where Fantasy Points projections give you the upper hand and convert mismatches into results.
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