The NFL season is quickly approaching, and an important step to winning Super Bowl LX could be locking up at least one home playoff game by winning a division title. The 2025 NFL Division Odds show the Buffalo Bills as the most likely team to win their division at -230 odds, and the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles are the biggest favorite at -140. The Baltimore Ravens (-135) and Kansas City Chiefs (-115) join the Bills and Eagles as odds-on division favorites at -105. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+110), Houston Texans (+120), Detroit Lions (+140), and San Francisco 49ers (+175) round out the favorites to win division titles.
Last season, the Los Angeles Rams (+325) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+300) won their divisions at the longest odds. The Buffalo Bills (+180), Baltimore Ravens (+135), and Detroit Lions (+130) also captured titles at plus-price odds. The Kansas City Chiefs (-300), Philadelphia Eagles (-150), and Houston Texans (-105) were the three odds-on favorites to win their divisions. Let’s go division by division to check out the 2025 NFL Division Odds for all 32 teams.
Check out my 2025 NFL Futures articles during the off-season and my Best Bets for the 2025 season. We finished up +59.83 units for the 2024 season, including +23.93 units on Futures wagers.
2025 NFL DIVISION ODDS
Target the Longest Odds to win the division to maximize your potential return. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) to find the best Division Winner odds as of May 12.
AFC EAST
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Buffalo Bills | -230 (FD) | -300 (MGM) |
| Miami Dolphins | +650 (DK) | +475 (ESPN) |
| New England Patriots | +750 (MGM) | +475 (DK) |
| New York Jets | +1800 (DK) | +1100 (CZR) |
Sportsbooks have pegged the AFC East as the least competitive division. The Buffalo Bills own 69.7% implied odds (-230) of winning their sixth straight division title. The Miami Dolphins are the next closest team at 13.3% implied odds (+650), which would end their 16-year drought without a division title. The New England Patriots won just four games for the second straight season, but they’ve surged to +750 (11.8%) after spending significant resources to upgrade their roster and coaching staff. The New York Jets are +1800 (5.3%) to win the AFC East, which they haven’t done since the NFL switched to eight divisions in 2002.
Lean: New England Patriots (+750, BetMGM)
New England easily spent the most money in free agency ($364.7 million), and it addressed its O-line issue by selecting Will Campbell at fourth overall and Jared Wilson at the end of the third round. They added Kyle Williams and TreVeyon Henderson on Day 2 to further bolster the skill group for rising second-year QB Drake Maye. The Patriots are still a long shot to contend for a Super Bowl, but armed with a replenished roster, Mike Vrabel and company could end Buffalo’s five-year reign in the AFC East by playing against the NFL’s second-easiest schedule.
AFC NORTH
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Baltimore Ravens | -135 (multiple) | -145 (DK) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +230 (FD/DK) | +200 (MGM) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +600 (MGM) | +500 (multiple) |
| Cleveland Browns | +3000 (multiple) | +2600 (CZR/FD) |
The AFC North has been extremely competitive over the last five seasons. The 2024 Browns, the 2022 Browns, and the 2020 Bengals were the only teams that failed to reach 8+ wins during that span. The Baltimore Ravens are trying to make it three straight seasons with the best record in the division at -135 odds (41.7% implied odds). The Cincinnati Bengals have been stuck at 9 wins the last two seasons and are +230 (30.3%) to get back to the top of the AFC North for the first time since 2021-22. The Pittsburgh Steelers haven’t finished with a losing record since 2003, but they’ve won the AFC North just once in the last seven years. They sit at +600 (14.3%) to climb to the division summit. The Cleveland Browns are the only franchise that’s yet to win a division title since the NFL moved to eight divisions in 2002, and they’re facing the NFL’s second-longest odds, +3000 (3.2%), to break their drought.
Lean: Cincinnati Bengals (+230, FanDuel)
The Bengals and Joe Burrow want to get back to the top of the AFC after back-to-back disappointing nine-win seasons. Cincinnati started last season 1-7 in one-possession games, including a 1-point loss and an overtime defeat to the Ravens. The Bengals won their final five games, but it was too little, too late to qualify for the postseason. Cincinnati faces an easier schedule than the Ravens and Steelers because of their third-place finish last season, with unique games against the Jaguars, Broncos, and Cardinals.
AFC SOUTH
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Houston Texans | +120 (FD) | +100 (MGM) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +333 (MGM) | +275 (DK/ESPN) |
| Indianapolis Colts | +360 (DK) | +290 (FD) |
| Tennessee Titans | +800 (MGM/365) | +650 (DK) |
The Houston Texans stunned the league in 2023 by winning a division title at the fourth-longest odds (+1100), and they made it back-to-back AFC South crowns at -105 last season. The Jacksonville Jaguars own just one AFC South title since the division formed in 2002, and they own +333 odds (23.1%) to end Houston’s two-year run of supremacy. The Indianapolis Colts are looking to end a 10-year drought without a division title at +360 odds (21.7%), despite reaching 8+ wins seven times in that span. The Tennessee Titans landed Cam Ward with the #1 pick after finishing with the NFL’s worst record, and they’re sitting at 11.1% implied odds (+800) to win the division with a rookie QB.
Brolley’s Best Bet: Houston Texans (+140, FanDuel). Risk 1 unit to win 1.4 units. Placed March 19.
I wagered on the Texans to win their third straight AFC South title in mid-march. I’m concerned about Houston having one of the NFL’s worst O-lines, but it has the potential to be among the league’s better defenses in DeMeco Ryan’s third season. Will Anderson headlines the group, and Danielle Hunter forms an elite pass-rushing tandem. Derek Stingley Jr. and Kamari Lassiter are one of the NFL’s most promising CB duos, and the secondary added Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to make the group even more formidable.
AFC WEST
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -115 (FD) | -150 (MGM) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +325 (CZR) | +300 (365/DK) |
| Denver Broncos | +425 (MGM) | +300 (DK) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +2000 (MGM) | +1100 (FD) |
The Kansas City Chiefs are odds-on favorites (-115, 53.4%) to win the AFC West for the third straight season. They’ll look to extend their NFL-best division title streak to 10 straight AFC West crowns, which would put them just one behind New England’s streak of 11 consecutive division titles from 2009-19. The Los Angeles Chargers have the best chance to dethrone the Chiefs at +325 odds (23.5%) after returning to the postseason in Jim Harbaugh’s first season. The Chiefs and Denver Broncos have won each of the last 15 AFC West titles, and the Broncos have 19.1% implied odds (+425) to win their first crown since 2015. The Las Vegas Raiders haven’t won a division title since the NFL switched to eight divisions in 2002, and their AFC West title drought is expected to extend to a 23rd year at +2000 odds (4.8%).
Lean: Denver Broncos (+425, BetMGM)
Is this the year Kansas City’s division title streak comes to an end? The Chiefs won 15 regular-season games, which included a staggering 11-0 record in one-possession games. They looked vulnerable and at risk of being overtaken inside the division, and the Broncos and Chargers both look capable of dethroning them soon. Bo Nix surpassed all expectations as a rookie, and plenty of recent quarterbacks made huge leaps in Year Two. The Broncos were aggressive at the start of the league year with Nix entering the second year of his rookie contract, adding Evan Engram, Talanoa Hufanga, and Dre Greenlaw. Sean Payton has his eyes set on knocking off Andy Reid and company in his third season in Denver.
NFC EAST
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -140 (DK) | -165 (MGM) |
| Washington Commanders | +240 (FD) | +205 (DK) |
| Dallas Cowboys | +750 (MGM) | +550 (FD) |
| New York Giants | +3300 (MGM) | +2000 (DK) |
The NFC East hasn’t had a repeat division champion since the Eagles won four straight crowns in 2001-04. The Philadelphia Eagles are -140 favorites (58.3%) to break the drought this year after capturing their second Lombardi Trophy in the last eight years. The upstart Washington Commanders have the best chance to knock them off at 29.4% implied odds (+240), which would be their first division title since they won the NFC East with a losing record in 2020. The Dallas Cowboys have alternated NFC East titles with the Eagles since 2021, but they have just an 11.8% implied odds (+750) of continuing that trend. The New York Giants are unlikely to snap a 13-year division title drought at the NFL’s longest division title odds of +3300 (2.9%).
Lean: Dallas Cowboys (+750, BetMGM)
The Cowboys won exactly 12 games in three straight seasons in 2021-23 before winning just seven contests in 2024. Dallas has one of the best defenders in Micah Parsons and one of the best receivers in CeeDee Lamb. Dak Prescott will be back in the mix after appearing in just eight games, and they traded for George Pickens to give Dak a dynamic duo at receiver. Brian Schottenheimer is also a bit of an unknown as a head coach, and he could prove to be an upgrade over Mike McCarthy.
NFC NORTH
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Detroit Lions | +140 (DK/CZR) | +110 (FD) |
| Green Bay Packers | +280 (MGM/CZR) | +260 (DK) |
| Minnesota Vikings | +475 (MGM) | +360 (CZR/ESPN) |
| Chicago Bears | +500 (FD) | +425 (multiple) |
The NFC North is the most wide-open division race from top to bottom, with all four teams sitting at +500 or better to win the division. It was the NFL’s best division last season, as three of the four teams posted 11+ victories before dropping their first games in the playoffs. The Detroit Lions went 30 years without winning a division title (1993-2022), but they’re +140 favorites (41.7%) to win three consecutive NFC North crowns. The Green Bay Packers have won 12-of-23 NFC North titles since the NFL went to eight divisions, and they own +280 odds (26.3%) to win their first title since 2021. The Minnesota Vikings fell just short of winning the division last season, and they’re down to +475 (17.4%) after letting Sam Darnold walk. The Chicago Bears have just one division title in the last 14 seasons, but they’re back in the mix at + 500 (16.7%) after prying Ben Johnson away from the Lions.
Lean: Minnesota Vikings (+470, BetMGM)
The Vikings are coming off a 14-3 campaign, and they finished a game short of a division title after losing to the Lions in the NFL’s final regular-season game. They’re breaking in essentially a rookie quarterback in J.J. McCarthy, but Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson will make his life a whole lot easier. Brian Flores also went unclaimed during the off-season hiring cycle despite the Vikings finishing first in takeaways (33) and fifth in points per game allowed (19.5).
NFC SOUTH
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +110 (multiple) | +100 (DK) |
| Atlanta Falcons | +240 (DK) | +210 (FD) |
| Carolina Panthers | +450 (MGM) | +375 (CZR) |
| New Orleans Saints | +1200 (CZR) | +750 (365) |
This division has been the NFC’s weakest division in recent years. At least three of the four teams have finished under .500 in four of the last seven years, including last year. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers own the NFC’s longest division title streak, and they’re sitting at +110 odds (47.6% implied odds) to extend it to five straight crowns. The Atlanta Falcons flopped as the NFC South favorites last season, and they own 29.4% implied odds (+240) of winning in 2025. The Falcons and Carolina Panthers share the dishonor of sharing the NFC’s longest postseason droughts at seven seasons. The Panthers are down to +450 (18.2%) after winning four of their final nine games last season. The New Orleans Saints were the last non-Buccaneers team to win the division, but they sank to +1200 odds (7.7%) after Derek Carr announced his retirement on May 10.
Brolley’s Best Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+150, FanDuel). Risk 1 unit to win 1.5 units. Placed March 19.
The Buccaneers have established themselves as the class of this division, and I wagered on them in mid-March to extend their streak to five straight NFC South titles. Tampa Bay lost Liam Coen to Jacksonville, but it returns the key weapons from an offense that finished top 4 in PPG (29.5) and YPG (399.5). Michael Penix and Bryce Young will need to take significant steps forward for the Falcons and/or the Panthers to challenge
NFC WEST
| Team | Longest Odds | Shortest Odds |
| San Francisco 49ers | +175 (FD) | +140 (MGM) |
| Los Angeles Rams | +200 (DK) | +155 (CZR) |
| Arizona Cardinals | +600 (MGM) | +410 (FD) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +600 (MGM/365) | +475 (DK) |
The NFC West is the only division with two teams at +200 odds or shorter to win the division. The San Francisco 49ers lost seven of their final eight games and lost more momentum this off-season with several key players departing, but they’re still +175 favorites (36.4%) to win their third division title in four seasons. The Los Angeles Rams are right on the 49ers' heels at +200 (33.3%), as they look to win consecutive division titles for the first time since the franchise won seven straight NFC West titles in 1974-79. The Arizona Cardinals have a 14.3% implied odds (+600) of winning their first division crown since 2015. The Seattle Seahawks also sit at 14.3% implied odds (+600) of winning the NFC West, which would be their first title since 2020.
Lean: San Francisco 49ers (+175, FanDuel)
San Francisco experienced a season from hell in 2024. It started before the season opener when it came out that Christian McCaffrey was dealing with Achilles tendinitis, and it continued with Brandon Aiyuk (ACL) and Trent Williams (personal/ankle) each missing significant time. Kyle Shanahan’s offense still finished fourth in yards per game (376.3) and third in yards per play (6.2) despite significant injuries on the offensive side of the ball. San Francisco’s defense also has a chance to be significantly improved with Robert Saleh returning to coordinate the unit. The 49ers will also benefit from playing a last-place schedule, which gives them unique games against the Giants, Bears, and Browns.
Brolley’s NFL Division Best Bets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFC South winner 2025-26 (+150, FanDuel). Risk 1 unit to win 1.5 units. Placed March 19.
Houston Texans AFC South winner 2025-25 (+140, FanDuel). Risk 1 unit to win 1.4 units. Placed March 19.
