2023 Post-Draft Market Report: Rookie WRs


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2023 Post-Draft Market Report: Rookie WRs


Now that the dust has settled from the 2023 NFL Draft, it’s time to examine this year’s draft class for the upcoming fantasy season. The Fantasy Points staff already broke down which veteran players saw their stock rise and which players saw their stock fall for the 2023 season based on this year’s selections in our Veteran Market Watch.

Based on pre-draft expectations, let’s see which fantasy rookies are looking better and which rookies are looking worse for the upcoming season. I primarily focused on playing opportunities and a player’s supporting cast to determine if I’m feeling better or worse about each prospect for the 2023 fantasy season.

Note: The available targets used for the receivers are courtesy of 4for4.


Based on pre-draft expectations, rookies that I’m more optimistic about for the 2023 fantasy season because of potential playing opportunities and/or a strong supporting cast.

Wide Receivers

Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings

  • Selected: 23rd overall (WR4)

  • Competition: Justin Jefferson, K.J. Osborn, Jalen Reagor, Jalen Nailor

  • Available Targets: 143 (16th most), 107 WR targets (10th most)

There was quite a bit of buzz that the Vikings could select Kirk Cousins’ successor in the first round. Not only did the Vikings avoid a signal caller, but they selected a Biletnikoff winner in Addison with their first selection. He made an immediate impact when he arrived at Pitt in 2020 before erupting for 100/1593/17 receiving (15.9 YPR) playing with Kenny Pickett in 2021 to propel him to the Biletnikoff Award, which is given to the top receiver in college football. He followed future 2023 first overall pick Caleb Williams (and the NIL money) to USC last season, where he finished with 59/875/8 receiving (14.8 YPR). He posted per-game averages of 6.4 receptions, 98.7 receiving yards, and 1.0 receiving TDs over his final two college seasons. Addison struggled at the combine with a 4.49-second 40-yard dash and a 32” vertical jump while checking in at just 5’11”, 173 pounds. Our Brett Whitefield believes Addison has few weaknesses and is a Day One starter despite his slender frame.

Addison is in the best spot of all rookie WRs to make an immediate fantasy impact starting in Week 1. The Vikings vacated 107 WR targets from last season after moving on from Adam Thielen, who ran the NFL's second-most routes (711) last season. Minnesota has the NFL’s best wide receiver in Justin Jefferson, but they had arguably the thinnest WR corps behind him heading into the draft. They’ll slide Addison into the #2 WR ahead of K.J. Osborn, which pushes Jalen Reagor off the field in 11 personnel, a grouping the Vikings used at a whopping 74% clip in Kevin O’Connell’s first season. Minnesota went from 18th in pass rate (58.5%) in Mike Zimmer’s final season to third (64.4%) under O’Connell — the Vikings finished third in pass attempts per game (39.6). Jefferson is the ultimate ball hog, and T.J. Hockenson has a chance to be the most targeted TE after Travis Kelce, but there should still be room for Addison to be a viable WR3 out of the gates.

Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers

  • Selected: 21st overall (WR2)
  • Competition: Mike Williams, Keenan Allen, Josh Palmer, Jalen Guyton, Derius Davis
  • Available Targets: 105 (8th fewest), 88 (16th most)

The Chargers were determined to improve Justin Herbert’s coaching and receiving corps after 2022, and they accomplished both goals this off-season. Johnston incrementally improved during his three seasons at TCU after arriving as a four-star recruit in 2020. He busted out with 60/1069/6 receiving (17.8 YPR) in 14 contests during the Horned Frogs’ run to the CFP National Championship, posting per-game averages of 4.3 receptions, 76.4 receiving yards, and .43 touchdowns. Johnston checked in at 6’3”, 208 pounds with a massive 82” wingspan at the combine, and he leaped out of the stadium with a 40.5” vertical jump and 11’2” broad jump. Our Brett Whitefield believes Johnston is the top WR prospect based purely on physical traits, but he could face a learning curve to become a full-time player early in his career.

Johnston joined one of the pass-happiest teams in the league after the Chargers finished second in pass attempts per game (41.9) and pass rate (65.1%) last season. And that was before they brought in Kellen Moore to replace Joe Lombardi as the team’s play caller. The Cowboys ranked second to Kansas City in offensive PPG (26.02) and YPG (391.0) during Moore’s four-year run as OC in Dallas. Dak Prescott’s average depth of target never dipped below 7.7 yards in his four seasons with Moore calling plays, and he averaged 8.4 yards overall. Meanwhile, Herbert has yet to top an aDOT of 7.6 yards in his first three seasons with an average of 7.1 yards, but Moore and Johnston should help him attack more downfield in 2023. Johnston is looking stronger for dynasty with Herbert hitting his prime and Keenan Allen (31 years old) and Mike Williams (28) leaving theirs. He’ll open the season in a competition for the #3 WR role with Josh Palmer, but he should be counted on for major snaps at some point, with Allen and Williams missing 11 combined games last season. Johnston is a WR4 to bet on in a pass-friendly system with an elite thrower who should be unleashed more downfield in 2023.

Jonathan Mingo, Carolina Panthers

  • Selected: 39th overall (WR5)

  • Competition: Adam Thielen, D.J. Chark, Terrace Marshall, Laviska Shenault, Shi Smith

  • Available Targets: 212 (7th most), 145 (4th most)

The Panthers landed their new face of the franchise, Bryce Young, with the first overall pick, and they immediately went to work improving his receiving corps by selecting Mingo early in the second round. He stayed in-state with Mississippi as a four-star recruit and made contributions throughout his four seasons. A foot injury prevented his career from taking off as a junior, and he finished with an underwhelming 73/1207/8 receiving (16.5 YPR) in his final 19 contests in 2021-22 for per-game averages of 3.8 receptions, 63.5, and .42 touchdowns. His stock rose with an excellent performance at the combine, posting a SPORQ score of 97.3. He checked in a 6’2”, 220 pounds with top-notch marks in the vertical jump (39.5”), broad jump (10’9”), and 40-yard dash (4.46 seconds). Our Brett Whitefield believes Mingo resembles A.J. Brown with his play style, using his size to keep defenders at bay while thriving after the catch.

The Panthers tore down their passing game this off-season, and they used D.J. Moore to acquire the top overall pick, which they used on Young. Carolina didn’t have many options to upgrade at WR in a weak free-agent batch, eventually settling for Adam Thielen and D.J. Chark, which means Mingo has the chance to be the main man in this receiving corps in the near future. Thielen is heading into his 10th campaign having not hit 1000+ receiving yards since 2018, while Chark is on another one-year deal because of 19 missed games the last two seasons. Mingo has so much going for him because of his ideal situation and his impressive size and athleticism, and the one thing holding him back is his lack of production at Mississippi. It’s a red flag for his chances to be a fantasy producer in 2023, but he’s still worth a look late in drafts as a WR6 just in case he can put it together just like D.K. Metcalf did as a rookie in 2019. Mingo and Metcalf had similar SPORQ scores (97.3 vs. 99.7) and receiving yards (1207 vs. 1215) in their final 19 games at Mississippi.

Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs

  • Selected: 55th overall (WR7)
  • Competition: Kadarius Toney, Skyy Moore, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Richie James, Justyn Ross, Justin Watson, Justyn Ross
  • Available Targets: 223 (5th most), 135 (5th most)

The Chiefs selected a WR in the second round for the second straight year, picking Rice 55th overall after taking Skyy Moore 54th overall in 2022. Rice arrived at SMU as a three-star recruit and he made incremental improvements in his first three seasons before taking off last season with 96/1355/10 receiving (14.1 YPR) in 12 contests. He posted per-game averages of 8.0 receptions, 112.9 receiving yards, and .83 touchdowns as a true senior. Rice checked in at the combine at 6’1”, 204 pounds with impressive vertical (41”) and broad jumps (10’8”). He ran an average 4.51-second 40-time, but he had a blistering 1.49-second 10-yard split. Our Brett Whitefield believes Rice has a well-rounded skill set with his blend of athleticism and refined technical abilities, which will eventually give him a chance to be a #1 receiving option.

Kansas City has taken a committee approach with their WR corps since they traded away Tyreek Hill. Rice will battle for Patrick Mahomes’ WR targets with the likes of Kadarius Toney, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Moore, Richie James, Justin Watson, and Justyn Ross. No Chiefs WR ranked inside the top 30 in FPG last season, with free-agent departees Mecole Hardman and JuJu Smith-Schuster coming the closest — they both averaged 11.7 FPG to rank as low-end WR3s. Travis Kelce is by far the best fantasy TE in the game, and he’s the only sure bet to be involved in this passing game every week this season. Rice has a tough path to seeing consistent weekly targets, but he couldn’t ask for a better overall situation in a passing attack with the fifth-most vacated targets (223). It also doesn’t hurt that the league’s newest G.O.A.T. is quarterbacking this offense to give Rice an outside chance to be a fantasy difference-maker as a WR6 in drafts.

Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers

  • Selected: 50th overall (WR6)
  • Competition: Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, Samori Toure, Dontayvion Wicks
  • Available Targets: 258 (2nd most), 184 WR targets (2nd most)

GM Brian Gutekunst passed on the chance to pick the first receiver in the draft in Round 1, but he landed Reed and TEs Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft for new starting QB Jordan Love on Day 2. He started his career at Western Michigan in 2018 before playing his final three seasons at Michigan State. Reed broke out with 59/1026/10 receiving (17.4) as a redshirt junior before cooling off as a senior with 55/636/5. He finished with per-game averages of 4.8 receptions, 69.3 receiving yards, and .63 touchdowns in his final two seasons with the Spartans. Reed checked in at 5’11”, 187 pounds at the combine, and failed to impress outside of his 4.45-second 40-yard dash. Our Brett Whitefield believes Reed could face a learning curve transitioning to the league, but his vertical ability and his YAC potential make him an intriguing prospect.

Reed steps into a passing game that’s essentially starting from scratch after they completely dismantled the group over the last two seasons. Gutekunst traded Davante Adams away and let Marquez Valdes-Scantling walk last off-season before Allen Lazard essentially followed Aaron Rodgers to the Jets after leading the Packers in targets in 2022. The Packers entered the draft extremely thin at receiver with just second-year WRs Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs at the top of their depth chart, but they left it with an intriguing group that’s teeming with upside. Watson flashed major upside with eight TDs in a four-game span while Doubs raised expectations early in 2022 before faltering in the final months of the season. Reed will enter training camp as the #3 WR with the chance to quickly vault up the depth chart, especially with these receivers mostly starting with a clean slate with Love logging limited game reps last season. I prefer Watson and Doubs as prospects but it wouldn’t be shocking if Reed leads this group in receptions if you want to take a shot on him as a WR6.

Nathaniel “Tank” Dell, Houston Texans

  • Selected: 69th overall (WR9)

  • Competition: Robert Woods, Nico Collins, John Metchie, Noah Brown, Amari Rodgers, Xavier Hutchinson

  • Available Targets: 357 (most), 210 WR targets (most)

The Texans, like so many teams who select a quarterback early in the draft, grabbed C.J. Stroud a wide receiver, by selecting a local Houston product with an early third-round pick. Dell started his college career at Alabama A&M and Independence Community College before playing his final three seasons at Houston. His career took off in his final two seasons with 199/2727/26 receiving (13.7 YPR) in 27 contests for per-game averages of 7.4 receptions, 101.0, and .96 touchdowns. He checked in at a diminutive 5’8”, 165 pounds at the combine, and ran a slightly disappointing 4.49-second 40-yard dash, but he had an electric 1.49-second 10-yard split. Our Brett Whitefield believes Dell is a natural playmaker with his lateral quickness and top-end speed but his tiny build could present obstacles.

Dell lands in a receiving corps that’s very much up for grabs. It’s currently headlined by 31-year-old Robert Woods, who averaged 9.9 YPR in Tennessee’s abysmal attack, and Nico Collins, who has yet to reach 40+ catches or 500+ yards in each of his first two seasons. Dell will likely compete for slot snaps with John Metchie, who was selected in the second round last year but never stepped on the field as a rookie because of a cancer diagnosis. Dell has the chance to quickly become Stroud’s BFF, and the Ohio State QB was largely heralded as the most accurate quarterback in the class as PFF deemed 68.2% of his throws last season to be accurate/on-target (2nd best). The Texans have every incentive to get Dell early reps if he’s holding his own this summer, but he still won’t be anything more than a late-round flier in best-ball drafts unless he’s blowing up in August.


Based on pre-draft expectations, rookies that I’m less optimistic about for the 2023 fantasy season because of a lack of playing opportunities and/or a weak supporting cast.

Wide Receivers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle Seahawks

  • Selected: 20th overall (WR1)
  • Competition: Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf
  • Available Targets: 75 (4th fewest), 46 WR targets (7th fewest)

It took a little longer than expected, but Smith-Njigba was the first WR off the board with the 20th overall pick. JSN arrived at Ohio State in 2020 as a five-star recruit, and he easily led the likes of Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave in receiving production in 2021. He posted 95/1606/9 receiving (16.9 YPR) in 13 contests for per-game averages of 123.5 receiving yards, 7.3 receptions, and .69 touchdowns. He also set an FBS bowl game record with 347 receiving yards in the Rose Bowl to cap his true sophomore season, which would be his last highlights for the Buckeyes as he briefly appeared in just three games last year because of a hamstring injury. He impressed with a 3.93-second 20-yard shuttle and a 6.57-second three-cone drill at 6’1”, 196 pounds at the Combine. Our Brett Whitefield compared JSN to Amon-Ra St. Brown with his refined skill set, and he believes he can be an instant producer and is one of the most bust-proof players in the class.

Smith-Njigba landed in a Seattle receiving corps that already has one of the best WR tandems in D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, which means he’ll be the #3 option to open the season. He’ll have his work cut out for him to earn targets after Metcalf and Lockett combined for 45.1% of Geno’s targets last season. The Seahawks also haven’t been a heavy 11 personnel team in the past, but that should change some with a player of JSN’s caliber in the fold. Seattle surprisingly let Geno cook more than Russell Wilson, finishing 13th in pass rate (59.4%) in 2022. That’s a higher finish in pass rate than all but one of Wilson’s 10 seasons in the Pacific Northwest — Seattle also finished 13th at 59.4% in 2017. HC Pete Carroll and GM John Schneider couldn’t help themselves and drafted a RB in the second round for the second straight year, but JSN’s selection is a sign that Seattle could go even more pass-heavy after attempting 33.8 passes per game (15th-most). JSN’s selection is also a sign that they’re starting to think about life after Lockett, who hasn’t slowed down yet but will turn 31 years old in September. He hasn’t played much competitive football since he lit the Rose Bowl on fire in January 2022, which could add to his early learning curve, but he’s still a player to bet on as a WR4.

Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens

  • Selected: 22nd overall (WR3)
  • Competition: Odell Beckham, Rashod Bateman, Nelson Agholor Devin Duvernay
  • Available Targets: 163 (11h most), 97 WR targets (13th most)

The Ravens finally came to terms with Lamar Jackson before the draft, and they continued to make their quarterback happy by spending a Round 1 pick on Flowers. He carried Boston College’s passing attack in his final three seasons, racking up 178/2715/26 receiving (15.3 YPR) in his final 35 contests. He finished with per-game averages of 5.1 receptions, 77.8 receiving yards, and .74 receiving TDs in 2020-22. Flowers checked in at just 5’9”, 182 pounds at the combine, but he blazed a 4.42-second 40-yard dash with a 10’7” broad jump. Our Brett Whitefield described Flowers as one of the most electric playmakers at all three levels of the field, and he sees him as a more explosive Golden Tate.

The Ravens' offense, specifically their passing attack, moved in the wrong direction in their final season with Greg Roman calling plays last season — Baltimore averaged the fifth-fewest passing YPG (178.8) and eight-fewest YPA (6.6). Lamar averaged fewer than 7.0 YPA last season for the first time in his career, with Baltimore’s WR corps becoming the worst in the league in 2022 The Ravens finally threw him a bone by signing Odell Beckham, drafting Zay, and hiring Todd Monken to call plays, who is an Air Raid guy at heart. Baltimore’s offense ranked in the bottom six in passing YPG in three of the last four seasons, but that’s sure to change with a legit receiving corps in place for 2023. The Ravens still figure to rank in the bottom half of the league in pass rate with Lamar at quarterback, and there’s suddenly a battle for the limited targets available in this passing attack. Mark Andrews should remain the top option, but the #2 target will be a competition heading into training camp. OBJ is the favorite since they just handed him a ridiculous $15 million guaranteed, but he’s coming off two ACL injuries since October 2020. Bateman is also coming off two injury-riddled campaigns to open his career, and he never topped a 66% snap share in any of his six games in 2022. I’m worried that none of these Ravens WRs will emerge as consistent fantasy options without an injury, but Zay is the best player to bet on as a WR4.

Marvin Mims, Denver Broncos

  • Selected: 63rd overall (WR8)
  • Competition: Jerry Jeudy, Cortland Sutton, Tim Patrick, K.J. Hamler, Marquez Callaway
  • Available Targets: 160 targets (12th most), 13 WR targets (3rd fewest)

New HC Sean Payton has been rumored to be shopping Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy, and he did nothing to quiet those rumors by trading up to select Mims with his first pick with the Broncos. Mims came to Oklahoma after setting a national record with 2629 receiving yards in a single season, which helped him reset the Texas state record with 5485 career receiving yards. He grabbed an immediate role with the Sooners, leading them in receiving yards in each of his three seasons, including 69/1315/14 receiving in his first 24 games in 2020-21. He busted out for 54/1083/6 receiving in his final season for per-game averages of 4.2 receptions, 83.3 receiving yards, and .46 touchdowns. Mims shined in the 40-yard dash (4.38 seconds), broad jump (10’9”), and vertical jump (39.5”), but he checked in the smaller side at 5’11”, 183 pounds. Our Brett Whitefield believes Mims can be an immediate deep threat with the chance to develop into a great route runner.

The Broncos entered the draft with limited capital because of its misguided trade for Russell Wilson last off-season. They also already have Sutton, Jeudy, Tim Patrick, and K.J. Hamler on the roster, which speaks to how much Payton coveted Mims. The pick could spell the end of Hamler’s time in Denver, who is currently recovering from yet another major injury after tearing his pec this off-season. Mims will have work cut out for him to make an impact in 2023 if Sutton and Jeudy remain in the mix — they extended Jeudy for a fifth year after the draft. The duo combined for a 43.9% target share and a 53.5% receiving yards share last season, albeit in Nathaniel Hackett’s awful offense. Russ is going to have to play much better than he did last season to have any chance of supporting more than two fantasy WRs. ​​The Broncos finished dead last in PPG (16.9), third-down percentage (29.1%), and red-zone drives (36) last season. Mims is in a tough spot to come through for fantasy in 2023 but he’s still worth a late-round investment based on his draft capital alone.

Jalin Hyatt, New York Giants

  • Selected: 73rd overall (WR10)
  • Competition: Wan’Dale Robinson, Sterling Shepard, Parris Campbell, Darius Slayton, Isaiah Hodgins, Jamison Crowder
  • Available Targets: 127 (14th fewest), 112 WR targets (6th most)

The Giants were looking to add more WR help for their new $160 million quarterback in the first round of the draft, but a run of four WRs went off the board right before they were on the clock, which forced them to wait until Day 2 to select a wideout. Hyatt had a quiet first two seasons at Tennessee with just 41/502/4 receiving in 17 games before he came out of nowhere to win the 2022 Biletnikoff Award, which is given to the top receiver in college football. He set Tennessee’s single-season receiving touchdown record with 15 scores on his way to 67/1267/15 receiving (18.9 YPR) in 12 contests. He finished with per-game averages of 5.6 receptions, 105.6 receiving yards, and 1.25 touchdowns as a true junior. Hyatt dominated the combine with a 4.4-second 40-yard dash, an 11’5” broad jump, and a 40” vertical jump at 6’0”, 176 pounds. Our Brett Whitefield believes Hyatt has an elite vertical skill set and his acceleration makes him dangerous in the open field despite his slender build and lack of play strength.

Good luck trying to sort through the target distribution of New York’s WRs next season after adding Hyatt to its receiving corps in the third round. He predominantly worked out of the slot at Tennessee, and the Giants already have four primary slot WRs in Sterling Shepard, Wan’Dale Robinson, Parris Campbell, and Jamison Crowder. His path to playing time is a little easier if he plays more on the perimeter at the NFL level with just Darius Slayton and Isaiah Hodgins working as outside receivers. It’s difficult to have any faith in any Giants WR for fantasy before the 2023 season starts since the Giants had the 11th-worst pass rate (52.9%) and the eighth-fewest pass attempts per game (30.6). On a positive note, I would expect HC Brian Daboll to open the offense more in his second season working with Danny Dimes. Buffalo’s pass rate rose in each of Daboll’s first three seasons working with Josh Allen, going from 29th (53.6%) in 2018 to 26th (55.0%) in 2019 and to 11th (61.7%) in 2020. Hyatt is in a tough spot to emerge immediately in a deep receiving corps, but he’s still worth a look late in best ball drafts since it’s not like the Giants are loaded with many stud WRs.

Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts

  • Selected: 79th overall (WR12)
  • Competition: Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, Isaiah McKenzie, Ashton Dulin
  • Available Targets: 142 (16th fewest), 98 WR targets (11th most)

The Colts followed in the footsteps of the Panthers (Bryce Young-Jonathan Mingo) and Texans (C.J. Stroud-Tank Dell) by selecting Downs in the third round for their new quarterback Anthony Richardson. Downs bided his time as a freshman at North Carolina behind the likes of Dyami Brown and Dazz Newsome in 2020 before taking full advantage of a major bump in playing time in his final two seasons. He erupted for 195/2364/19 receiving (12.1 YPR) in his final 24 contests to finish with per-game averages of 8.1 receptions, 98.5 receiving yards, and .79 touchdowns. Downs checked in at just 5’9”, 171 pounds at the combine, but he impressed with a 10’11” broad jump and 4.48-second 40-yard dash with a blistering 1.49-second 10-yard split. Our Brett Whitefield believes Downs can be a dynamic slot option because of his route running and explosiveness, which makes up for his small frame that will limit him from playing too much on the outside.

Downs landed in a receiving corps that’s fairly wide open after the top option Michael Pittman. Alec Pierce will work on the perimeter across from Pittman and is the favorite to be the #2 option, and Downs will compete with Isaiah McKenzie for slot duties. McKenzie landed just $350K in guaranteed money after flopping in his big chance to be Buffalo’s starting slot WR, which means Downs is the heavy favorite to take over Parris Campbell’s vacated 91 targets and 63 receptions. It’s looking like Richardson should start fairly early in his career, which will actually hurt Downs’ PPR appeal since the Colts' offense will skew even more run-heavy than they will with Gardner Minshew in the lineup. Downs' fantasy value is going to hinge mostly on passing-game volume and Richardson’s development early in his career, which hurts his prospects for 2023. He’s got plenty of dynasty upside if Indy hits the jackpot on its Richardson gamble, but there are better options late in best ball formats.

Cedric Tillman, Cleveland Browns

  • Selected: 74th overall (WR11)
  • Competition: Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Marquise Goodwin, Anthony Schwartz
  • Available Targets: 58 (2nd fewest), 0 WR targets

The Browns entered the draft without a selection in the first two rounds and limited draft capital overall. It was notable then that they spent their first pick on Tillman, which wasn’t an area of need. He’s the son of former Broncos and Jaguars WR Cedric Tillman, and the younger Tillman arrived at Tennessee as a three-star recruit in 2018. He barely found the field in his first three years on campus before finally emerging in his final 18 games — an ankle injury limited his availability in 2022. He posted a combined 101/1498/15 receiving in 2021-22 for per-game averages of 5.6 receptions, 83.2 receiving yards, and .83 touchdowns. Tillman checked in at 6’3”, 213 pounds with 10” hands at the combine, and he shined in the broad (10’8”) and vertical jumps (37”). Our Brett Whitefield believes Tillman profiles as a prototypical X receiver with his length and competitiveness who will be asked to win on the boundary.

The Browns went all-in to land Deshaun Watson last year with $230 million guaranteed, and they’re backing it up with their moves this off-season. They previously acquired speedy WRs Elijah Moore (4.35-second 40-time) and Marquise Goodwin (4.27) earlier this spring to play alongside Amari Cooper and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Kevin Stefanski’s job is on the line in 2023 and he appears to be catering his offense more to Watson’s strengths than to Nick Chubb and the running game as he did in his first three seasons as head coach. DPJ had a sneaky strong third season, which included a seven-game streak with 50+ receiving yards, but Tillman’s selection is a sign they’re preparing for life without him as enters a contract campaign. Tillman will open the season behind People-Jones and he’ll try to battle him for targets and snaps later in the season. Tillman is going to need some help to pay off a late-round best ball selection, but he’s in a pretty good position to emerge starting in 2024 for dynasty formats.

Tom is a Senior Writer at Fantasy Points who specializes in fantasy and betting analysis. He’ll be helping you to navigate the waiver wire and manage your fantasy teams while also keeping our betting content robust all year long, especially during the season. Tom's Best Bets against the spread won at 64.3% clip last season and he owned the last undefeated team out of 3000 entries in Scott Fish Bowl 12.