My Power Ratings are designed to be a starting point for point-spread betting between two teams. They take into account recent performances, long-term injuries, coaching, and strength of schedule. These ratings are intended to help predict performances in the present, but they’re not necessarily predictive for the rest of the season. I will take my Power Ratings into account when I make my weekly against the spread picks, but I’ll also consider current injury reports, home-field advantage, weather, and other factors that may be relevant.
Example: My top-rated team, the Bills (9), would be 15-point favorites on a neutral field over my worst-rated team, the Texans (-6). Using a two-point adjustment for home-field advantage (last year’s HFA average was 1.8 points), the Bills would be 17-point favorites over the Texans at home and 13-point favorites over the Texans on the road.
Note: I’ll be dedicating more time to updating and making our Waiver Wire article even better with additional updates throughout the week. My schedule is already packed to the gills during the week so I’ll no longer have the time for my weekly betting notes and futures market updates.
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Week 13 Power Ratings
| Rank | Team | Power Rating | 2021 Record (ATS) | Ratings Change | Super Bowl Odds |
| 1. | Kansas City Chiefs | 8.5 | 9-2 (3-7-1) | +.5 | +400 |
| 2. | Buffalo Bills | 8 | 8-3 (5-5-1) | -.5 | +450 |
| 3. | Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 8-3 (7-4) | +.5 | +900 |
| 4. | San Francisco 49ers | 6.5 | 7-4 (6-5) | +.5 | +650 |
| 5. | Philadelphia Eagles | 6.5 | 10-1 (6-5) | — | +600 |
| 6. | Miami Dolphins | 5.5 | 8-3 (6-5) | +.5 | +1600 |
| 7. | Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 7-4 (4-6-1) | -.5 | +1600 |
| 8. | Cincinnati Bengals | 4.5 | 7-4 (8-3) | +.5 | +1800 |
| 9. | Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 9-2 (5-5-1) | +.5 | +1800 |
| 10. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 5-6 (3-7-1) | -1 | +2000 |
| 11. | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 7-4 (8-3) | — | +3500 |
| 12. | Los Angeles Chargers | 2.5 | 6-5 (7-4) | +.5 | +3000 |
| 13. | Seattle Seahawks | 2 | 6-5 (6-5) | -.5 | +6000 |
| 14. | New England Patriots | 1.5 | 6-5 (6-4-1) | -.5 | +10000 |
| 15. | New York Jets | 1.5 | 7-4 (7-4) | +1 | +7000 |
| 16. | Cleveland Browns | 1 | 4-7 (5-6) | +1.5 | +13000 |
| 17. | Washington Commanders | 1 | 7-5 (7-4-1) | — | +8000 |
| 18. | Jacksonville Jaguars | .5 | 4-7 (4-6-1) | +.5 | +15000 |
| 19. | Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 4-7 (5-6) | +.5 | +20000 |
| 20. | Detroit Lions | -.5 | 4-7 (7-4) | +.5 | +25000 |
| 21. | New York Giants | -.5 | 7-4 (8-3) | -.5 | +15000 |
| 22. | Green Bay Packers | -.5 | 4-8 (4-8) | -.5 | +30000 |
| 23. | Pittsburgh Steelers | -1 | 4-7 (5-5-1) | +.5 | +80000 |
| 24. | New Orleans Saints | -1 | 4-8 (4-8) | -.5 | +25000 |
| 25. | Arizona Cardinals | -1 | 4-8 (6-6) | — | +80000 |
| 26. | Indianapolis Colts | -1.5 | 4-7-1 (5-7) | -.5 | +30000 |
| 27. | Atlanta Falcons | -2 | 5-7 (7-5) | — | +20000 |
| 28. | Denver Broncos | -2.5 | 3-8 (3-8) | -1 | +100000 |
| 29. | Carolina Panthers | -3 | 4-8 (6-6) | +1 | +25000 |
| 30. | Chicago Bears | -3.5 | 3-9 (4-7-1) | -1 | +100000 |
| 31. | Los Angeles Rams | -4 | 3-8 (2-8-1) | -2 | +50000 |
| 32. | Houston Texans | -7 | 1-9-1 (4-6-1) | -.5 | +100000 |
