Week 12 Betting Power Ratings

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Week 12 Betting Power Ratings

My Power Ratings are designed to be a starting point for point-spread betting between two teams. They take into account recent performances, long-term injuries, coaching, and strength of schedule. These ratings are intended to help predict performances in the present, but they’re not necessarily predictive for the rest of the season. I will take my Power Ratings into account when I make my weekly against the spread picks, but I’ll also consider current injury reports, home-field advantage, weather, and other factors that may be relevant.

Example: My top-rated team, the Bills (9), would be 15-point favorites on a neutral field over my worst-rated team, the Texans (-6). Using a two-point adjustment for home-field advantage (last year’s HFA average was 1.8 points), the Bills would be 17-point favorites over the Texans at home and 13-point favorites over the Texans on the road.

Note: I’ll be dedicating more time to updating and making our Waiver Wire article even better with additional updates throughout the week. My schedule is already packed to the gills during the week so I’ll no longer have the time for my weekly betting notes and futures market updates.

Our Premium Package — Betting, DFS, and Season-long content — is 25% off for the rest of the season! That’s 10 more weeks of NFL advice for less than $100!

Week 12 Power Ratings

RankTeamPower Rating2021 Record (ATS)Ratings ChangeSuper Bowl Odds
1.Buffalo Bills8.57-3 (5-4-1)-.5+450
2.Kansas City Chiefs88-2 (3-6-1)+.5+450
3.Dallas Cowboys6.57-3 (7-3)+1+1000
4.Philadelphia Eagles6.58-1 (5-4)-.5+550
5.San Francisco 49ers66-4 (4-6)+1+700
6.Baltimore Ravens5.57-3 (4-5-1)+1100
7.Miami Dolphins57-3 (5-5)+1800
8.Tampa Bay Buccaneers45-5 (3-6-1)+1800
9.Cincinnati Bengals46-4 (7-3)+.5+2500
10.Minnesota Vikings3.58-2 (4-5-1)-1+1800
11.Tennessee Titans37-3 (8-2)+1+3000
12.Seattle Seahawks2.56-4 (6-4)+5000
13.Los Angeles Chargers25-5 (7-3)+.5+4000
14.New England Patriots26-4 (6-3-1)+.5+7000
15.Washington Commanders16-5 (6-4-1)+1+10000
16.New York Jets.56-4 (6-4)-.5+10000
17.Green Bay Packers04-7 (4-7)-5+15000
18.New York Giants07-3 (7-3)-1+8000
19.Jacksonville Jaguars03-7 (3-6-1)+20000
20.New Orleans Saints-.54-7 (4-7)+.5+15000
21.Las Vegas Raiders-.53-7 (4-6)+.5+30000
22.Cleveland Browns-.53-7 (4-6)-.5+20000
23.Detroit Lions-14-6 (6-4)+.5+25000
24.Indianapolis Colts-14-6-1 (5-6)+.5+30000
25.Arizona Cardinals-14-7 (6-5)-1+30000
26.Denver Broncos-1.53-7 (3-7)-.5+50000
27.Pittsburgh Steelers-1.53-7 (4-7-1)-.5+50000
28.Atlanta Falcons-25-6 (7-4)-.5+15000
29.Los Angeles Rams-23-7 (2-7-1)-1+20000
30.Chicago Bears-2.53-8 (4-6-1)+100000
31.Carolina Panthers-43-8 (5-6)+80000
32.Houston Texans-6.51-8-1 (4-5-1)-.5+100000

Tom is a Senior Writer at Fantasy Points who specializes in fantasy and betting analysis. He’ll be helping you to navigate the waiver wire and manage your fantasy teams while also keeping our betting content robust all year long, especially during the season. Tom's Best Bets against the spread won at 61.5% clip in 2019 and he was a perfect 8-0 on his Best Bets for season win totals in 2020.

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