The Usage Report: Week 16


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The Usage Report: Week 16

Hello, and welcome to the Week 16 Usage Report, formerly known as the XFP Report, but for you long-time readers it’s the exact same article with a different name. If you’re unfamiliar with XFP, I’ll get to that in a little bit.

What is this article?

Every week we’re going to be telling you which players are seeing the best volume for fantasy, typically measured by Expected Fantasy Points (XFP). We’ll be telling you who the best buy-low and sell-high candidates are, typically measured by Points Above Replacement (PAR), or the differential between actual- and expected fantasy points. This is an especially effective approach in DFS, where players are typically priced by production rather than volume, though PAR will regress to the mean. And (at the end of the article) we’re going to be telling you who the best volume-per-dollar DFS plays are.

What is XFP?

You can access our full XFP database (which includes other advanced stats like air yards, deep targets, end zone targets) here.

Expected fantasy points (XFP) is flat-out the best and most comprehensive way of measuring a player’s volume. It’s telling you – based on a player’s unique usage – how many fantasy points that player should have scored. It’s telling you how many fantasy points a perfectly league-average RB, WR, or TE would have scored with that same exact volume. It looks at every individual carry by down and distance and distance from the end zone and every individual target by depth of target and distance from the end zone, and then cross-references each carry and target to each carry and target with those specific qualifiers over a multi-year sample to tell you what exactly those carries and targets are worth (historically).

Expected touchdowns (XTD), same thing. RBs score from the one-yard line on 54% of their attempts. RBs score from the 17-yard line only 3.6% of the time. So why ever use “red zone carries,” which treats both carries the same, as a fantasy stat? I have no idea.

Why doesn’t everyone point to XFP in their fantasy research? I have no idea. Once you have XFP and XTD you can contrast that with a player’s actual fantasy points or actual touchdown total to tell you how efficient a player has been (PAR). This is especially useful in highlighting regression candidates, buy-low targets, and mispriced players for DFS.

Through 15 weeks of action, here are the top 30 players in expected fantasy points (XFP) per game:

The Top 30

Click here to see the full list.

Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans
[FPG: 19.2, XFP: 17.2, Diff: +2.0]

In last week’s article I discussed how Derrick Henry was (by far) the single most gamescript-sensitive player in fantasy. And how although he is also one of the most matchup-sensitive RBs in fantasy, that isn’t quite as important to him as gamescript.

I wrote, “Henry has reached 30.0 DK fantasy points 15 times in his career, with all of these games coming in wins. His career-high in a non-overtime loss is just 25.5 DK fantasy points.” But last week – in a non-overtime loss – Henry bested that mark with 29.3 DK fantasy points. This came against a Chargers defense ranking worst in YPC allowed (5.49) and 5th-worst in rushing FPG allowed (26.6). On the ground, he turned 21 carries into 104 yards and a score. Through the air – in a game Dontrell Hilliard missed – Henry caught all 4 of his targets for 59 yards (4th-most of his career).

This week Henry has a best-possible matchup, and one with ideal projected gamescript; the Titans are favored by 7.0 points, up against a Texans defense that ranks 4th-worst in YPC allowed (5.07), worst in rushing YPG allowed (141.3), and worst in rushing FPG allowed (21.4) to opposing RBs.

Throughout his career, Henry averages +7.6 more DK FPG when the Titans are favored by 7.0 or more points (11 instances, 23.1 DK FPG). He averages +7.5 more DK FPG when facing a defense that ranks bottom-7 in YPC allowed. And over his last 4 games against Houston, he averages an obscene 40.8 DK FPG, exceeding 38.5 DK fantasy points in each of these games.

So, I don’t care what Henry’s ownership looks like this week. I’m going to be massively overweight the field.

Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers
[FPG: 20.8, XFP: 19.1, Diff: +1.8]

No hyperbole – Henry should have a 30-point projection this week. If we exclude McCaffrey, his projection should be 30% higher than any other flex-eligible player. But the problem is – at least in terms of whether or not we should go all in on Henry – we can’t exclude McCaffrey. Because he’s another player who should probably have an obscene almost 30-point projection that’s probably also 30% higher than anyone else (besides Henry).

McCaffrey has played 4 full games with the 49ers and without Elijah Mitchell. In those games, he’s finished 2nd, 1st, 13th, and 1st in XFP. By fantasy points scored, he’s finished 3rd, 1st, 2nd, and 4th.

Here’s how McCaffrey (in games with the 49ers and without Mitchell) stacks up against some of the other top RBs in fantasy:

A 30-point projection for McCaffrey doesn’t seem at all outlandish. Because, without Michell, he is averaging 29.7 FPG, which is also +37% better than the next-closest RB (Austin Ekeler).

So, I guess the million-dollar question this week is – which RB should you play in DFS this week? Both appear seriously mispriced, at just $8,600-8,800 on DraftKings. But both are also likely to be uber-chalky.

Personally, I’m going to explore having 100% exposure to both RBs. And I’ll just hope that’s how I’ll get unique to the field – i.e. both RBs are likely to be chalky, but having both RBs together is probably unique.

Jerick McKinnon, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
[FPG: 10.8, XFP: 10.4, Diff: +0.4]

I think I owe Jerick McKinnon a bottle of scotch after he helped carry the majority of my DFS lineups into the green last week. At the very least, he’s yet another RB I’m considering going all-in on this week.

Over the last three weeks, McKinnon averages 8.0 carries, 6.3 targets, 105.3 YFS/G, and 1.3 touchdowns per game. In other words, he averages 17.4 XFP/G and 26.2 FPG; numbers which rank 7th- and 2nd-best over this span.

McKinnon isn’t quite a bell cow right now, but he has seen an increased snap share in 4 straight games: 31% > 46% > 57% > 62%. And if this trend continues, McKinnon could definitely be a league-winner throughout the fantasy playoffs. After all, last year in the actual playoffs, McKinnon played on 75% of the team’s snaps averaging 105.0 YFS/G and 17.2 FPG with only 1 touchdown through 3 games.

McKinnon isn’t quite a bell cow right now, but he is the clear RB1 of this team – handling 64% of Kansas City’s backfield XFP over the last three weeks. And even if he isn’t a bell cow right now, he is – at least – a bell cow where it matters most.

Over the last three weeks, McKinnon has played on 82% of the team’s red zone snaps and 91% of the team’s goal line snaps, while handling 86% of the backfield XTD. He’s handled 76% of the backfield targets, but only 37% of the carries out of the backfield. Luckily for him, carries outside of the red zone are fairly worthless – outside of the red zone, a target is worth 3.0 times as much as a carry for a RB in PPR leagues. And they’re especially (relatively) worthless when you’re on a team that ranks 1st in pass rate over expectation (12.9%) as well as 1st in red zone drives per game (4.2).

So where does this leave us? With a slate-high 29.0-point implied total, the Chiefs face a Seahawks defense that ranks dead-last in schedule-adjusted FPG allowed to opposing RBs (+4.6). Based on recent usage, I think Isiah Pacheco needs to be viewed as just a high-end RB3. But McKinnon should be viewed as a fringe-RB1, and as one of the best overall values at the position on DraftKings ($5,900).

Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints
[FPG: 14.6, XFP: 15.8, Diff: -1.2]

In Week 13, a 33-year-old Mark Ingram out-targeted Kamara 5 to 3. In Week 15, following the team’s bye, a 33-year-old David Johnson came off the bench and immediately ran more routes than Alvin Kamara (10 to 9).

I think there are only 2 possible explanations for this: 1) Kamara is saddled with a grossly incompetent coaching staff. 2) Kamara is seriously hurt.

Because I don’t believe Pete Carmichael – or really any OC – can be this grossly incompetent, and because I’ve been speculating that Kamara has been seriously injured for many weeks now, I do think the former scenario is far more likely than the latter.

Kamara averages just 9.5 FPG over his last 6 games, while averaging 14.8 touches per game. But it seems weird to me that fantasy players are all griping over Kamara’s lack of elite usage (his 14.8 touches per game), rather than his lack of production and troubling efficiency metrics. Because Kamara has never been a volume-dependent RB. He was always the outlier; where 12 touches for him went as far as 24 touches go for just about any other RB. For instance, in 2017, he averaged 20.0 FPG on just 12.6 touches per game. And his 2018 and 2020 seasons weren’t far off that mark on a fantasy point-per-touch basis.

But what happened in 2019 and 2021? He was playing through ankle and knee injuries in 2019, and then ankle injuries again in 2021. To me, it seems as though Kamara has only ever been playing through injury or leading the league in efficiency. So, my speculation is that Kamara is either hurt again, or injuries began to take their toll in 2021 and he’s no longer the same player he once was.

This argument is more compelling to me than the loss of Sean Payton – OC Pete Carmichael’s Saints led the league in RB receptions (141), RB receiving yards (1,179), and RB receiving touchdowns (10) in 2012 (all near-franchise highs!) when Payton was serving a full-season suspension. And the loss of Drew Brees – Kamara averaged 19.7 FPG in Jameis Winston starts last year (~RB4), with Winston targeting Kamara on a team-high 22% of his throws over the last two seasons; identical to Brees’ mark in 2020 (22%).

Anyway, all of this to say, I seriously worry about Kamara throughout the remainder of the season. And I think he’s a value trap in DFS this week.

But in case he’s low-owned there is a compelling bull-case argument we can make: 1) Despite running fewer routes than Johnson last week, Kamara did clear 100 YFS, and out-touch Johnson 23 to 4. 2) His Week 16 opponent – the Cleveland Browns – rank 2nd-worst in YPC allowed (5.42) and 3rd-worst in total FPG allowed to opposing RBs (27.6). 3) This game has massive weather concerns; meteorologists are expecting blizzard conditions, with a wind chill of -8 degrees, and wind gusts over 30 mph. But RBs are the only position which actually benefits from inclement weather games. 4) Although Kamara averages just 9.5 FPG over his last 6 games, this has coincided with an extremely difficult strength of schedule. Perhaps he’s not hurt or “cooked”, perhaps he’s just massive matchup-sensitive as the numbers listed below seem to imply.

But, again, I do think he is a trap. And these points are strong enough to outweigh all of my other concerns.

Quick Hits

It seems increasingly likely Gardner Minshew will start this week, in place of Jalen Hurts, who is dealing with a shoulder sprain.… Since entering the league in 2019, Minshew averages 17.8 fantasy points per start, which is more than what Justin Herbert (17.7) and Dak Prescott (17.6) are giving you this year. In other words, Minshew is extremely DFS-viable this week, priced as just the QB37 on DraftKings ($4,800, $1,300 cheaper than Prescott)… In his lone start with the first-stringers last year, Minshew scored 18.8 fantasy points (on just 29 dropbacks) with a 133.7 passer rating. Dallas Goedert earned a team-high 24% target share, catching all 6 of his targets for 102 yards and 2 scores (31.2 DK fantasy points)… Among all TEs Goedert ranks: 4th in target share (20.6%), 2nd in YPG (60.4), and 2nd in FPG (12.6). And yet, somehow, he’s priced as just the TE5 on DraftKings this week ($4,500).

Deebo Samuel has sat out or played under 35% of the team’s snaps in 7 of George Kittle’s 30 games over the past 3 seasons. In those games, Kittle averages a whopping 21.0 FPG. In all other games, he averages just 11.8 FPG.

Why did Miles Sanders flop last week? He had both the matchup and gamescript working in his favor, but he only touched the ball 12 times… Well, because – as we keep saying – he just isn’t really a major part of the offense; at least not in comparison to other similarly-productive RBs. He ranks just 26th among all RBs in team XFP market share (16.8%). And if we count Jalen Hurts as a RB, he’s handled just 32% of the team’s backfield XTD, or just 28% of the team’s carries inside the 5-yard-line. But because this is one of the best, most-efficient, and most-potent offenses in football, I do think we should still be viewing him as a fringe RB1 for fantasy. We just need to understand he’s going to be a lot more boom-or-bust and volatile than your average fringe RB1.

Don’t sleep on JuJu Smith-Schuster, who is priced as just the WR16 on DraftKings ($5,800) this week. If we assume he was still making his way back to full health in Week 13, then… He averages 22.8 DK FPG over his last 5 fully healthy games. And he has seen at least 8 targets in 8 of his last 9 fully healthy games.

Jahan Dotson has played on 81% of the team’s snaps over his last 2 games. Across his previous 4 games – due to a nagging hamstring injury – he played on just 56% of the team’s snaps… In the 5 games Dotson has played on over two-thirds of the team’s snaps, he averages 15.8 DK FPG. And he exceeded 16.0 fantasy points in 4 of these 5 games. For perspective, 15.8 DK FPG would rank 14th-most among all WRs. And yet, Dotson is priced as just the WR42 on DraftKings ($3,900).

However, on the off chance Carson Wentz starts, maybe we should pivot to Curtis Samuel ($4,400). Prior to a Week 6 game in which Wentz broke his ring finger on his throwing hand, Samuel averaged 9.4 targets, 1.6 carries, 16.0 XFP (~WR13), and 15.2 FPG (~WR14). Samuel runs 70% of his routes from the slot, and San Francisco ranks 7th-worst in FPG allowed to opposing slot WRs (18.4).

Like Dotson, I think Marquise Goodwin is somewhat intriguing this week with Tyler Lockett likely to miss. Goodwin has played on just 51% of the team’s snaps this season, but in the 4 games he cleared a 55% snap-share, he averages 14.5 FPG… Okay, to be fair, this was a very cherry-picked stat, but I do think Geno Smith is playing well enough that he can uplift Goodwin (as his now No. 2 receiver) to meaningful fantasy production… Goodwin is priced as the WR34 on DraftKings ($4,300), up against a Chiefs defense that’s given up the 4th-most FPG to opposing WRs (37.0).

Or maybe, D.K. Metcalf will be the biggest beneficiary of Lockett’s absence, as well as this pillow-soft matchup. Metcalf has been a top positive regression candidate for a while, ranking 11th in XFP/G (16.2) but just 18th in FPG (14.7). And most of that stems from poor touchdown luck – he ranks 2nd in end zone targets per game (1.2), but just 14th in total touchdowns (6, tied with 7 other WRs). He’s on pace for only 7.3 touchdowns this year, but averaged 11.0 over his last 2 seasons. This could be the perfect get-right spot – Kansas City ranks worst in DK FPG allowed to opposing WR1s (21.6).

Drake London has an absurd 63% receiving yardage market share over his last two games. For perspective, there are only 6 games all year where any player has cleared a 63% YMS. Across the full season, he ranks 8th in target share (29.1%). Unfortunately for him, 1) The Falcons run a sloth-paced offense – Atlanta ranks 2nd-worst in plays per game (59.5). 2) Their offense is WW2-era levels of run-heavy – Atlanta ranks 2nd-worst in pass rate over expectation (-11.7%). 3) Their QB situation is terrible – Marcus Mariota ranks worst of 33-qualifying QBs by off-target throw rate (20.3%). And Desmond Ridder has been even worse (38.5%)… London would probably be a league-winner on just about any other team, unfortunately it seems he’s landed in the worst spot possible. But in the meantime, he’s at least somewhat DFS viable. Because over this span, he averages 11.5 targets (league-high 46% target share), 6.5 receptions, and 82.5 YPG. He’s priced as the WR24 on DraftKings ($4,800), in a neutral matchup against the Ravens.

Since Week 8, Justin Fields leads all players in rushing FPG (16.6). Over the same span, he averages +0.1 more passing FPG than Russell Wilson. In other words, drafting Fields was sort of like drafting Wilson (mind you, at a 4-round discount by ADP) plus Derrick Henry in one roster spot. Unsurprisingly, he’s now finished as a top-7 QB in 7 straight games, ranking as the overall QB1 by FPG (28.9) over this stretch.

Through the first 6 weeks of the season, Mark Andrews ranked 2nd among all TEs in both XFP/G (16.7) and FPG (19.1). Among all WRs, those numbers ranked 12th- and 7th-best. Since then, and among all TEs, Andrews ranks just 9th in XFP/G (10.2) and only 23rd in FPG (6.7). Seeing as how Andrews averaged 22.2 FPG (low of 14.9) with Tyler Huntley last year, my only explanation for this is that Andrews is probably seriously hurt, still dealing with the knee and shoulder injuries that first cropped up near the start of this cold streak.

In Week 14, Evan Engram scored 42.2 DK fantasy points – the 20th-most by any TE in any game all-time. Over his previous 48 games, he eclipsed 16.0 DK fantasy points only once (high of 20.9). Just because of that one game, Engram jumped from 13th among TEs in fantasy points scored to TE3… Last week Engram took another step in the right direction, catching 8 of 10 targets for 62 yards. For perspective, that was the most targets and the 5th-most receiving yards of any TE on the week… So, okay, sure, his 42.2 fantasy points seem like a fluke. But we can’t not factor this into Engram’s future projections. That sort of upside is both extremely valuable and rare. And, at least, it seems like he’s continuing to tend in the right direction (as is Trevor Lawrence, who is finally living up to his lofty pre-draft hype.)… Anyway, all this to say – don’t be surprised if we have Engram ranked as a top-5 TE this week.

Just like how we can’t ignore Evan Engram’s slate-wrecking Week 14, we can’t ignore what K.J. Osborn did last week – he led all players at all positions in XFP (31.7) and scored 31.7 fantasy points (a mark Tyreek Hill has bested only once this season)… Now, I’m not saying he’s going to be a league-winner or even a player you’re thinking of starting this week. But there is still time for him to establish himself as the team’s No. 2 receiver – Adam Thielen is looking somewhat dusty at age 32, and T.J. Hockenson has failed to convert his good volume into meaningful production.

Since joining the Vikings in Week 9, T.J. Hockenson averages 8.4 targets and 14.7 XFP. He ranks behind only Travis Kelce in both categories, and averages 1.7 more targets per game (+25%) and +3.3 more XFP/G (+29%) more than the next-closest TE. And yet, he ranks just 8th in FPG over this span (11.1).

Dalvin Cook finally had the positive regression game we were looking for, gaining exactly 95 yards as both a runner and receiver in Week 15. However, I still think he’s due for an even bigger game, and I could definitely see that coming this week – against a Giants defense that’s given up the most rushing yards (711) and most rushing touchdowns (8) over the last 5 weeks… Since Week 8, Cook averages 17.3 carries, 4.3 targets, 18.1 XFP/G (4th-most), and 16.6 FPG (9th-most). Over this span, he’s played on 81% of the team’s snaps (2nd-most), while handling 81% of the backfield XFP (2nd-most).

J.K. Dobbins may not be passing the eye test, but he is getting an A+ in the boxscore exam (is that a thing?). He’s hit 120-plus rushing yards with at least 8.0 YPC in back-to-back games. Over this stretch, Dobbins and Edwards combine for 366 rushing yards on 48 carries (7.63 YPC), with Dobbins handling 49% of the backfield XFP (to Edwards’ 34%). I don’t totally trust him, but he does make for an interesting GPP-play (ideally paired with Baltimore’s defense), favored by 7.0-points up against a mediocre-at-best Atlanta run defense.

The bad news: D’Andre Swift is still glaringly stuck in a 3-way committee backfield. The good news (or, at least, the bull-case argument for him): Last week, he was off the injury report for just the 3rd all year. He averages 12.3 carries, 6.0 targets, and 120.3 YFS per game in his three games off the injury report. He only scored 12.5 fantasy points last week, but he also averaged 6.5 YPC. And, more importantly, he ranked 10th among all RBs in XFP (17.3). Over his last 4 games, he’s finished – believe it or not – 9th, 3rd, 27th, and 10th among all RBs in XFP, averaging 17.0 XFP/G over this span (6th-most)… So, yes, he’s stuck in a 3-way committee backfield. But he’s getting the bulk of the high-value touches. And because Detroit ranks 2nd in total team RB XFP/G (28.9), there’s a lot more upside here than Swift is getting credit for.

Trey McBride hit a season-high (and nearly team-high) 55 yards in Week 15. I don’t think this makes him playable, but he might have a strong #BackupConnection with Trace McSorley. McSorley only targeted him on 3 of his 15 pass attempts, but McBride accounted for 45% of McSorley’s total passing yards.

Last week Jonathan Taylor only played 2 snaps due to an ankle injury, which is going to cause him to miss the remainder of the season. In his absence last week, Zack Moss handled 69% of the snaps, 65% of the carries, and 61% of the backfield routes. Deon Jackson handled the rest of the work, and even before his 4th quarter fumble still ceded 59% of the backfield opportunities to Moss. I wouldn’t expect much from any player in this offense, but Moss is vaguely startable this week as a fringe RB2, up against a Chargers defense that ranks worst in YPC allowed (5.49).

Amari Cooper is only $5,900 on DraftKings (~WR15). Since 2017, Cooper averages +7.2 more DK FPG at home (18.2) than on the road (11.0). This season, he averages +10.2 more DK FPG at home (20.2) than on the road (10.2)… So it certainly seems encouraging he’ll be at home this week. But then again, maybe not – because meteorologists are expecting blizzard-like conditions in Cleveland, with a wind chill of -8 degrees, and wind gusts over 30 mph. That could be a death knell for Cleveland’s passing attack. And Vegas certainly seems to think so – this game’s over/under could be the lowest we’ve seen in 14 years.

Diontae Johnson – coming off of his best performance of the season – ranks 12th among all WRs in XFP/G (16.1), but still just 41st in FPG (11.0). He also still ranks as the single least efficient player in fantasy, with a PAR of -5.1… But – contributing to the notion that “targets are earned” and shifting the blame to poor QB play – he still ranks top-4 in ESPN’s Open Rate for the third straight season in a row… If Mitchell Trubisky starts again this week, I think we should expect better QB play and thus better results from Johnson. Johnson’s target share jumps from 23.1% with Kenny Pickett under center to 30.0% with Trubisky (would rank 5th-best, tied with Justin Jefferson). And in games Trubisky has thrown at least 15 passes, Johnson’s FPG average jumps from 8.8 (~WR60) to 15.4 (~WR14).

Joe Mixon’s percentage of Cincinnati’s backfield XFP since Week 7: 87%, 71%, 82%, injury, 55%, and then 75%… Last week in this space, I wondered if Mixon’s 55% share of the backfield XFP could be representative of a demotion. Instead, I think it’s clear Cincinnati was just being conservative with their RB1 in his first game back from injury.

Minus a Week 14 game in which Rhamondre Stevenson exited early due to injury, he ranks 5th among all RBs in FPG (19.9). Over the same span (with Week 14 excluded), he ranks 2nd in target share (21.2%), 1st in team XFP market share (30%), and 1st in XFP per play (0.32). He’s somewhere between a mid-range RB1 and a low-end RB1 this week, in a tough matchup against the Bengals. But in an alternate reality where the Patriots ranked top-10 – instead of bottom-6 – in plays per game, I think he could seriously be pushing Austin Ekeler for the position-high in FPG.

Garrett Wilson is an absolute freak of nature. He’s now exceeded 90 receiving yards in 5 of his last 7 games. And keep in mind, that’s despite the disadvantage of having Zach Wilson as your QB in 4 of these 7 games.

This (see below) was a great tweet thread from Chris Wecht, highlighting: 1) The fact that Rashid Shaheed is outplaying and playing ahead of Chris Olave. 2) The change in the Chargers’ offensive approach following the return of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. And Austin Ekeler’s possibly-injury-related usage decline. 3) Jerick McKinnon’s recent dominance.

Top Regression Candidates

Bell Cow Tight Ends

Fantasy Points Negated by Penalty

1. Tom Brady, QB (21.2)

2. D.K. Metcalf, WR (19.8)

3. Travis Kelce, TE (17.9)

4. Stefon Diggs, WR (16.7)

4. A.J. Brown, WR (16.7)

6. Mike Evans, WR (16.4)

7. Patrick Mahomes, QB (16.3)

8. Chris Godwin, WR (14.2)

9. Isaiah Hodgins, WR (13.9)

10. Josh Jacobs, RB (12.3)

Backfield XFP% (The Bell Cow Stat)

1. Saquon Barkley, RB (79%)

2. Alvin Kamara, RB (79%)

3. Derrick Henry, RB (76%)

4. Christian McCaffrey, RB (75%)

5. Dalvin Cook, RB (75%)

6. Josh Jacobs, RB (75%)

7. Joe Mixon, RB (74%)

8. James Conner, RB (70%)

9. Austin Ekeler, RB (69%)

10. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB (67%)

Team XFP%

1. Derrick Henry, RB (29%)

2. Christian McCaffrey, RB (29%)

3. Tyreek Hill, WR (28%)

4. Saquon Barkley, RB (27%)

5. Cooper Kupp, WR (27%)

6. Justin Jefferson, WR (26%)

7. Davante Adams, WR (26%)

8. Josh Jacobs, RB (25%)

9. Austin Ekeler, RB (25%)

10. Rhamondre Stevenson, RB (25%)

XFP per Team Play

1. Tyreek Hill, WR (0.33)

2. Christian McCaffrey, RB (0.31)

3. Cooper Kupp, WR (0.31)

4. Justin Jefferson, WR (0.31)

5. Austin Ekeler, RB (0.29)

6. Davante Adams, WR (0.29)

7. Derrick Henry, RB (0.29)

8. Stefon Diggs, WR (0.29)

9. Josh Jacobs, RB (0.28)

10. Ja’Marr Chase, WR (0.28)

DFS Values (DK)

1. Hayden Hurst, TE (2.8X)

2. Joe Mixon, RB (2.7X)

3. Drake London, WR (2.6X)

4. T.J. Hockenson, TE (2.6X)

5. Nico Collins, WR (2.6X)

6. Brandin Cooks, WR (2.6X)

7. Curtis Samuel, WR (2.5X)

8. Amari Cooper, WR (2.5X)

9. Antonio Gibson, RB (2.5X)

10. Jakobi Meyers, WR (2.5X)

DFS Values (DK, Last 5 Weeks)

1. Nico Collins, WR (3.3X)

2. Drake London, WR (3.2X)

3. Nelson Agholor, WR (3.0X)

4. D’Andre Swift, RB (2.8X)

5. Amari Cooper, WR (2.7X)

6. Demarcus Robinson, WR (2.7X)

7. Jordan Akins, TE (2.6X)

8. D.K. Metcalf, WR (2.6X)

9. Ezekiel Elliott, RB (2.6X)

10. Quez Watkins, WR (2.5X)

Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints’ Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer.