Injury Insights

Dr. Edwin Porras shares his insights and brief commentary on recent injuries across the league, including return-to-play timeline, historical factors and more. Sign up for a Fantasy Points subscription using promo code PORRAS22 for 10% off to read more of Dr. Porras’ work.

Lamar's throwing elbow must be bothering him as he was limited on Wednesday. He was able to fully participate the rest of the week but this is simply something worth monitoring for now. Do not fade him.

Hockenson is dealing with a hip issue that's new for him. He was limited all week but it's impossible to bench a TE unless it's clear they really can't/won't go.

Lazard is still dealing with a pre-season ankle injury and is questionable for Week 3. He tweaked this ankle once already and is at risk to do so again this week. There are likely better options than Lazard overall.

Gage is still struggling with a camp hamstring strain and was downgraded to DNP Friday. He's unlikely to play and highly volatile if he does.

Allen is highly unlikely to play as he was downgraded to DNP on Friday. It's likely the Chargers will allow their guys to get right before throwing them out there.

Kamara had another week to recover from this ribs injury and it seems he'll be active on Sunday. It's unlikely to be a high-usage day to prevent worsening of the painful condition.

Pittman was FP on Friday which is a great sign. Quad injuries can be less tricky than hamstring injuries. He's a must-start in every format.

Conner was limited Thursday and Friday this week in practice. For context, in 2020 there were 31 RBs who were on the report with "ankle". Of those 31 players, 16 ended up being active on game day. However,16/16 of those active players practiced at least once that week. Only 3 players of the 31 total who practiced that week ended up sitting out. In other words, Conner has a little more than 50% chance to play. If he goes, he's moderately volatile. Find a pivot if you need guaranteed production.

Julio is dealing with a mystery knee injury and repeated his LP-LP-DNP practice status this week. Have a pivot but Julio is startable in a depleted TB receivers room if active.

Dobbins has a legitimate shot to play in a limited fashion this week. He's simply not startable given the circumstances but this is a great step.

Jerry Jones said "Schultz is questionable for Monday night, but it shouldn’t cause him to miss more than that, if he does. “We’ll see how he works this week. My assessment is it’s not long term.” The average amount of time missed by NCAA offensive players with PCL injuries is 2.5 games. Professional pass catchers who have dealt with this injury are Andre Ellington who missed 3 games and Eric Decker who missed just 1 game. Schultz hasn't practiced all week and is unlikely to play in Week 3.

Hurst is considered moderately volatile as he went LP-FP-LP this week in practice. Soft tissue injuries are nasty and not to be trifled with.

Knox was briefly knocked out of MNF with a foot injury. This could be a minor sprain of the midfoot (don't say Lisfranc). Considering he played through this and was able to practice, there isn't major worry as the TE landscape is brutal.

Prior to Week 2 it was revealed by Jay Glazer that Winston has "back fractures". It's unclear how much Week 2's performance is due to this injury but he's highly volatile until we see it from him. This is difficult to decipher as he was limited all week in practice.

Davis was limited all week with an ankle injury that he seemingly hasn't recovered from. A Bills injury analyst (@BangedUpBills on Twitter) believes Davis could be limited in snaps and playing time. Davis is highly volatile this week.

Jeudy didn't practice this week until he got in a limited fashion on Friday. I wouldn't count on Jeudy until Week 4 at the soonest. If he is active on the off chance, he's highly volatile for re-injury concerns.

Herbert made great strides in his recovery but didn't practice on Friday and is not likely to be active on Sunday. Plan for Week 4.

Kittle wll play in Week 3 as he's off the injury report. Kittle remains minimally volatile but should not be restricted.

Renfrow has been ruled OUT for Week 3.

Josh Jacobs did not travel with the team today. There's still a chance he makes the trip but this isn't likely.

Tyrion Davis-Price is reportedly dealing with a high ankle sprain and will be out "several weeks". Jordan Mason is worth a look on the waiver wire.

Next week, Gallup will be just 7 months and 2 weeks removed from ACL surgery. This season we've already seen Chris Godwin return at 8 months after his own ACL surgery. Call it "compensation" or altered workloads or anything else under the sun, but Godwin injured his hamstring after just 2 quarters. Although these players are committed and hard working enough to return in these early time frames, the gold standard remains 9 months. If Gallup is active, he's highly, highly volatile.

Lance suffered a gruesome right lower leg injury that Schefter and the broadcast are calling an ankle injury. Schefter also reports the ankle will cost Lance the 2022 season which was expected. The hope is Lance rehabs well and can bounce back for 2023.

Rapoport confirms Swift will be active on Sunday but will be used “selectively”. The same logic we’ve been preaching applies: you should always be selective in cash games but he’s still a must start in most leagues.

Evans is dealing with a calf injury. This may be nothing but in reality there's no way to know. He carries minimal to moderate volatility for fear of recurrence. He's a must-start in most re-draft leagues and only selectively in cash games.

Higgins expected to play per Ed Werder. This isn't official quite yet but if active, there's a small recurrence risk.

Harris was able to practice in full on Thursday and is likely to suit up on Sunday. Zooming out from a 10,000 foot view, Najee has been dealing with this for nearly two months and zooming out even further, this is the third foot injury he's had since 2018. He's highly volatile rest of season and Jaylen Warren becomes an excellent stash.

Joel Erickson reports that Pierce developed symptoms “after the game”. There’s no telling when that was between then and now and so it makes his availability even more questionable. Conservatively plan on no Pierce this week but monitor Injury Insights.

Per Field Yates the Patriots have placed Ty Montgomery on the injured reserve. This means he'll be required to miss at least the next four games.

Following the procedure surgeons are optimistic the bone will heal in that time frame per Pelissero. That is not an unrealistic time frame and if Dak is back to throwing in 3-4 weeks could be attainable.

Ian Rapoport confirmed that "Mitchell is expected to miss some time". Schefter confirms that after the MRI that Mitchell will be out "about 2 months". The hope Mitchell will be back by Week 7 but with a Week 9 bye, it's possible the 49ers wait to bring him back until Week 10. The hope is that he progresses well enough to avoid that long timeline.

Godwin has officially been ruled out for Week 2.

Michael Thomas is working his way back from a hamstring strain. As such, he’s moderately volatile this week and is more of a tournament play in DFS due to potential for re-injury. In terms of season long, there’s a possibility you may have better options based on his ADP but he’s still a fine WR3/flex.

Schefter confirmed: Drake London will play. This is unlikely to be a ceiling game for the rookie as he works his way back from an unspecified knee injury.

Logan Thomas will be active in Week 1 per John Keim. This is quite the remarkable comeback as he’s just 9 months from an ACL+. Still, expect Thomas to be eased in slowly.

Tonyan, according to coach Matt LaFleur, will play in Week 1. He’s moderately to highly volatile but in an offense with Allen Lazard might be worth the TD upside depending on your situation.

Ertz bounced back with a limited practice today but the reality is that a soft tissue injury  to a nearly 32 year old tight end is scary. If Ertz plays this week, he’s highly volatile.

Johnson practices in full but based on reports and the injury mechanism he’s moderately volatile.

Robert Saleh confirmed that Wilson will require closer to 6 weeks of recovery from the surgery date as opposed to the 2-4 weeks originally reported. Wilson will be back around Week 4 per his coach.

Van Jefferson Starts Week as DNP and at this point is unlikely to be active given this is his second surgery on the same knee this calendar year.

McKenzie a Full-Go in Practice on Monday.

According to Doug Pederson, Robinson will be active in Week 1 which puts him right on track based on average return times. Robinson and his rehab team deserve all the credit in the world, but the safe bet from that backfield in 2022 remains Travis Etienne. If Robinson bounces back and is in any way productive, it will be against the odds as an average (for NFL standards) athlete.

Akers returned to practice but this is something to keep an eye on as injury reports begin to surface next week.

Sanders returns to practice on Thursday. This is a good sign for his Week 1 availability although he'll still be moderately volatile.

Robinson was placed on the NFI per Ian Rapoport. That means the soonest he can be activated is in Week 5.

Waddle returned to practice but this is still something to keep an eye on as 2-3 weeks down is generally not something you see in a second year player. He's moderately volatile until we see him remain healthy through Week 1.

Brady Henderson of ESPN says that Pete Carroll was non-committal on Ken Walker's Week One status instead saying "He’s moving around. He was throwing the football around today." Throwing a football is a far cry from jump cutting around a 280 lbs defender, so at this point don't plan on Walker being out there for Week One. Our original projection for this injury was between 2-6 weeks and it seems that this will extend into the 4-6 week range for Walker.

Stafford is not dealing with previously reported "tendinitis" in his throwing arm. Instead McVay added the quarterback's elbow issue is "more of a baseball thing". At this point the extent of this issue is unknown but the bottom line is that it's a chronic injury that requires close management. In terms of baseball injuries, there are a handful of options and none are encouraging. If the Rams are monitoring this, you should too. This should minimally impact your perception of Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson. Of note, Stafford has definitely been a warrior throughout his career playing through injuries. However, it's crucial to understand that from our understanding of Stafford's injury, the floor isn't Stafford playing through some pain (that's the median outcome). The floor is a season end-ending injury similar to Big Ben's from 2019. It's not the most likely outcome but it is in the range of outcomes. Stafford is more volatile than his peers.

Spiller is rehabbing an ankle sprain and could take 2-4 weeks to rehab. This matches up with the report he could miss Week 1.

Herbert was back to practice on Sunday.

Here's the bottom line - McCaffrey's primary injury risk is due to the most recent ankle sprain and hamstring strain. Those recurrence rate in skill players is 8% for the ankle. After a calendar year, re-injury risk to the hamstring is approximately 5%. There is some inherent risk of soft tissue injuries for McCaffrey based on his workloads and functional demands. The good news is McCaffrey himself has said this summer that he'll listen to his body more closely and has discussed taking days to rest with the coaching staff when needed. For context, another RB being drafted highly who also has a history of ankle and hamstring injuries is Leonard Fournette. McCaffrey's risk for injury this year is no higher than most of his contemporaries.

Edwards is reportedly "further behind Dobbins" in his recovery. This is a difficult report to decipher as Edwards is chronologically one month behind Dobbins so it is unclear if the report is referring to time or progress in rehab. Whatever the case may be, Edwards is still on the mend and if he isn't off the PUP by the end of August, he's at risk to miss the season opener.

Smith Jr. suffered a minor finger injury and reports from the team are that he'll be back by Week One

Washington has a Jones fracture and reports are he'll be out 6-8 weeks. The soonest return is by Week One. Depending on the specific area that was fractured, this could actually go up to 10 weeks based on the research done on NFL athletes which places him back in early to mid October.

Beckham's redemption tour in LA was unfortunately short-lived. He re-tore his ACL during the Super Bowl and per reports had surgery the week of 2/14/22. It's worth noting that there are dozens of potential reasons his ACL re-tore and any speculation that the second surgery altered his career trajectory are unlikely. Usually 9 months is the bare minimum for players returning from a first time ACL. However, many medical teams tack on another month for a revision. Assuming OBJ's team follow that rule of thumb, the soonest we could see OBJ on the field is late December.

Depending on where Etienne goes in drafts, he can be a steal. Factors working in his favor are high draft capital, athleticism, a backfield to himself, and an entire year to rehab the injury. Factors against him are the fact he's essentially still a rookie, potential left over hardware still in his foot, and a historical drop in offensive production post-op Lisfranc. There's some reason to have confidence in Etienne but he shouldn't be viewed as a blue chip RB quite yet. If he produces hig-end RB2 numbers, that's a win in his first year back from this injury.

Jameson is coming off ACL surgery on 1/13/21. Exactly nine months from then is 10/13. This is his earliest possible return. Depending on the extent of the damage and/or his overall progress in rehab this could be extended another 2-6 weeks. Any time prior to 9 months is when the risk for reinjury is at its highest so expecting a 100% Williams by early September would be extremely risky. Possible? Sure. Probable? Absolutely not.

Here we go again? Here we go again. Barkley disappointed in 2021 - there's no denying that. However, recency bias erases the fact that despite playing just 48% of snaps in Week One, Barkley was tied for RB9 overall in PPR formats from Weeks 1-4. Before the fluke ankle injury (in which he stepped on a defender's ankle) Barkley was well on his way to smash his 2021 ADP despite the ACL tear. After the ankle injury in Week Five, Barkley's usage was way down and in an honest moment he did not look good. Although another injury for a RB is potentially around the corner, the greater picture Barkley has painted since his days at Penn State make him the absolute nuts anchor RB in the third round. Fantasy football is about process. The process to trust Barkley was just as correct last year as it is in 2022.

Metchie had surgery on December 10th. That means that in an ideal world his soonest return is September 10th. That's exactly 9 months on opening day. Depending on the extent of the damage and/or his overall progress in rehab this could be extended another 2-6 weeks.

Woods' exact return date is gray as there are no reports of the extent of damage or the surgery date. Playing it conservatively based on his injury date, he could be cleared by 9/1/22 at the earliest. Depending on the extent of the damage and/or his overall progress in rehab this could be extended another 2-6 weeks.