I’m pumped for this run of bowl game slates we have to end the year!
This Wednesday slate features lots of coaching turnover and a couple defensive juggernauts. However, there are some quality options at each position on this slate. Caleb Williams is a lock in our lineup, but which QB do we choose between Taulia Tagovailoa and Anthony Brown? At RB, is Kennedy Brooks the lock of the slate? Is Raheem Blackshear the best RB option on this slate? Is Will Shipley playable versus a stout Iowa State defense? Who is going to step up at WR for Oregon with all of their starters out? Is Beaux Collins the next big WR for Clemson? Should we stack Rakim Jarrett with Tagovailoa? Will Marvin Mims end his dismal sophomore year on a high note?
Let’s dig in!
Against the Spread Picks
Maryland (-3.5) vs Virginia Tech
Oklahoma (-7.0) vs Oregon
Maryland vs Virginia Tech (Under 54.5)
Oregon vs Oklahoma (Under 60.5)
Caleb Williams, Oklahoma vs Oregon (DK: $8.2K | FD: $12.0K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Caleb Williams took over as the starting QB in the second half of the Texas game in week 6, and never looked back. Over the final seven weeks, Williams averaged 28.3 FPG, throwing for 1,598 yards and ran for 347 yards along with 23 total TDs. The Oregon DEF is ranked 80th in QB FPG (23.6) and 88th in PASS YPG (241.2). Williams is the lock of the slate with the best combination of talent and matchup of all the QBs. He is reasonably priced at $8.2K.
Stoops on Caleb Williams: “The last couple weeks here he’s been an incredible player for OU, a great teammate. He’s been out hustling, been at all his workouts. Like coach Venables said, he lit it up on Saturday in our team sessions and pass skill sessions https://t.co/cN1cTnDgsx— Sooner Script (@SoonerScript) December 26, 2021
Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland vs Virginia Tech (DK: $6.7K | FD: $10.2K | O/U: 54.5 | Implied: 29.0)
Taulia Tagovailoa has been hot over the last five weeks, averaging 25.7 FPG. Over that stretch, he has thrown for 300-plus yards and accounted for multiple TDs in four games. The Virginia Tech DEF is ranked 114th in QB FPG (27.0) and 55th in PASS YPG (219.5). They have been torched by Brennan Armstrong and Tyler Van Dyke in their last two weeks giving up an average of 388.0 PASS YPG. I love this matchup for Tagovailoa as he is going to hit value at $6.7K.
Anthony Brown, Oregon vs Oklahoma (DK: $7.1K | FD: $9.4K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 26.5)
Anthony Brown had an incredible floor this year, producing 19-plus FPs in all but three games this year. Of those three games, two were against Utah and the other was an FCS opponent. Brown’s game may not be pretty, but he gets the job done. He has thrown for 2,683 while rushing for additional 637 yards with 24 total TDs. The Oklahoma DEF is ranked 121st in QB FPG (28.0) and 108th in PASS YPG (258.1). This is a great matchup for Brown in his last college football game.
Will Shipley, Clemson vs Iowa State (DK: $6.9K | FD: $8.4K | O/U: 44.0 | Implied: 22.75)
Will Shipley has been one of the top true freshman RBs in the country this year. Over the last 4 weeks, he received 19-plus carries and ran for 100-plus yards in 3 of 4 games, averaging 23.7 FPG. He also had five TDs during that stretch. Iowa State is a tough defense, but Shipley has the talent to be successful against anyone. If you have the salary, Shipley is a definite option on this three-game slate.
Amidst a down season, true freshman Will Shipley showed why he's a big part of the Tigers' plans moving forward. https://t.co/J6CFtbHXLz— Athlon Sports (@AthlonSports) December 15, 2021
Kennedy Brooks, Oklahoma vs Oregon (DK: $6.2K | FD: $9.4K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Kennedy Brooks has been extremely consistent this year, producing double-digit FPs in 10 of 12 games. His last two games of the year were arguably his most impressive performances of the year against the stiffest defenses he faced all year, Iowa State and Oklahoma State. Brooks had 17 carries for 115 yards against Iowa State, and 22 carries for 139 yards against Oklahoma State. The Oregon DEF is ranked 63rd in RB FPG (21.8) and 32nd in RUSH YPG (129.3). I love this matchup for Brooks at his price point of $6.2K.
Raheem Blackshear, Virginia Tech vs Maryland (DK: $5.9K | FD: $7.8K | O/U: 54.5 | Implied: 25.5)
Raheem Blackshear ended the year with quite an impressive three-game stretch, averaging 21.7 FPG. Blackshear rushed for 100-plus yards twice during that stretch. The Maryland DEF is ranked 122nd in RB FPG (31.6), 75th in RUSH YPG (154.8), and 73rd in RUSH YPC (4.18). Blackshear is sneaky good play on this three-game slate with limited options.
Travis Dye, Oregon vs Oklahoma (DK: $7.2K | FD: $10.5K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 26.5)
Kobe Pace, Clemson vs Iowa State (DK: $4.8K | FD: $6.4K | O/U: 44.0 | Implied: 22.75)
Eric Gray, Oklahoma vs Oregon (DK: $3.6K | FD: $5.1K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Beaux Collins, Clemson vs Iowa State (DK: $6.3K | FD: $6.4K | O/U: 44.0 | Implied: 22.75)
Beaux Collins has made this offense click since he started getting significant playing time in week 10. Since week 10, Clemson is averaging 38 PPG, scoring 30-plus points in every game. During that stretch, Collins has 17 catches, 290 yards and 3 TDs, averaging 17.5 FPG. As you probably know by now, Collins was high school teammates with DJ Uiagalelei and their chemistry is evident on the field. Collins has a chance to put his name on the map versus a tough Iowa State defense in this bowl game.
Rakim Jarrett, Maryland vs Virginia Tech (DK: $5.8K | FD: $8.0K | O/U: 54.5 | Implied: 29.0)
Rakim Jarrett is a special WR who has hit double-digit FPs in 9 of 12 games this year. Over the last 5 games, Jarrett has 30 receptions and 394 yards for 15.1 FPG. The Virginia Tech DEF is ranked 81st in WR FPG (25.0) and 55th in PASS YPG (219.5). Jarrett should have plenty of opportunity to hit value at only $5.8K.
Marvin Mims, Oklahoma vs Oregon (DK: $5.3K | FD: $7.4K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Marvin Mims had a disappointing sophomore campaign with only 30 receptions, 648 yards and 4 TDs for 10.8 FPG. However, Jadon Haselwood opted to transfer to Arkansas after the regular season so he will not play in the bowl game leaving several vacated targets behind. There have also been rumors that Mims is frustrated and might be looking to transfer himself. Although he has dismissed those rumors, look for Oklahoma to try to feed Mims to show him how they want to utilize him moving forward. The Oregon DEF is ranked 54th in WR FPG (22.0) and 88th in PASS YPG (241.2). Mims has the potential to have a huge game versus Oregon at only $5.3K.
Marvin Mims: “I definitely want to be here. … I want to be in crimson and cream next season.”— Jason Kersey (@jasonkersey) December 27, 2021
Kris Hutson, Oregon vs Oklahoma (DK: $4.8K | FD: $5.8K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 26.5)
Kris Hutson has been the most productive true freshman of an incredible 2021 WR class for Oregon. Hutson had 25 receptions and 364 yards on the year. However, he had 11 catches for 178 yards in weeks 12 and 13 alone. All three of Oregon’s starting WRs are out for the bowl game leaving an incredible opportunity for Hutson to impress his new coaches. The Oklahoma DEF is ranked 102nd in WR FPG (27.4) and 108th in PASS YPG (258.1). I like Hutson to hit value at his price point of $4.8K versus the Sooners.
Mario Williams, Oklahoma vs Oregon (DK: $4.3K | FD: $5.4K | O/U: 60.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Joseph Ngata, Clemson vs Iowa State (DK: $3.9K | FD: $6.0K | O/U: 44.0 | Implied: 22.75)