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Week 12 ThriveFantasy Picks


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Week 12 ThriveFantasy Picks

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Here are our favorite Week 12 ThriveFantasy Player Props.

Note: Picks will be added at the end of the week for Sunday games.

Thanksgiving Football

Happy Thanksgiving! I hope everyone gets their fill of their favorite foods and spirits while staying safe out there this holiday weekend. We, unfortunately, lost our marquee evening game with the Ravens and the Steelers getting moved to Sunday because of COVID-19 concerns in Baltimore. We still have our traditional games on Turkey Day with the Lions hosting the Texans and the Cowboys hosting the Football Team in the evening. I’m looking at Duke Johnson under 60.5 rushing yards who has flopped in his first two games as a bell-cow back. The Lions are allowing a league-high 172.8 scrimmage yards per game to RBs, but I see Deshaun Watson doing most of the work in this game. In the second contest, I’m looking at Antonio Gibson over 55.5 rushing yards and over .5 rushing TDs. I’m expecting the rookie to have a breakout performance for a national audience this week against a Cowboys defense that he gashed for 20/128/1 rushing back in Week 7. Enjoy the holiday and good luck with your picks! — Tom Brolley

Sunday Games

Strap in for what’s already been a wild Week 12! It’s been a whirlwind of information coming out over the last 24 hours but it looks like this week’s Sunday slate of games will go off as planned. First, I’m looking at Derrick Henry (Ten) over 90.5 rushing yards against a Colts defense that will be without DeForest Buckner along their defensive line. Henry ran for 103 yards on 19 carries in this matchup just two weeks ago. I’m also going to look at D.J. Moore (Car) over 60.5 receiving yards in a strong matchup against a vulnerable Vikings secondary. Moore has 11/223/1 receiving on 18 targets in his last two games, and Amari Cooper posted 6/81 receiving against Minnesota last week. For my last prop, I’m taking Austin Hooper (Cle) over 29.5 receiving yards against an injury-ravaged Jaguars defense that’s been picked on by tight ends this season. The Jaguars have allowed a league-high eight TDs to the position, including 4/36/1 receiving on seven targets to Eric Ebron last week. The Browns have played in miserable conditions in their last three games, but this passing attack will finally get to show what it will look like with Odell Beckham out of the lineup. Good luck on this hectic Sunday! — Tom Brolley

I like Patrick Mahomes (KC) over 24.5 completions this week, particularly after Jared Goff carved up this Tampa Bay D like a turkey last week. I also like the QB on the other side of this matchup to throw a ton, so give me Tom Brady over 277.5 total passing yards as well. Finally, I know New England has some of the best corners in the game, but I’ll take DeAndre Hopkins over 0.5 TD receptions this week, considering its 115 points, and he’s got better than a 50% chance of coming down with a TD this week. — Justin Varnes

Monday Night Football

We should have an interesting matchup on Monday Night Football. The Eagles have been as decimated by injuries as they have underwhelming on offense. Their passing defense has frustrated opposing QBs behind the outstanding shadow coverage of Darius Slay.

However, the Philly run defense has begun to break down in recent weeks. They’ve allowed the ninth-most pure rushing FPG over their last three games and third-highest rate of 20-or-more yard runs all season. That’s precisely why I am taking the Over on Chris Carson for more than 50.5 rushing yards (100 points). Say what you will about Carson, the fact that HC Pete Carroll is his biggest supporter is the overriding factor for his involvement.

For Philadelphia, it’s really difficult to hold a positive outlook on any of their playmakers with the way Carson Wentz has been playing. We may actually see a good amount of Jalen Hurts. The one skill position player I do see having a decent game is Dallas Goedert. With 32 and 25 percent target shares over the last two games, he is going to be relied upon to keep the Eagles’ offense moving in response to the Seahawks’ lethal attack. So, I am taking the Over on Goedert for 40.5 receiving yards (90 points). It may not be the most exciting evening of primetime football this season, but just happy we still have football on the schedule. I wish you the best of luck! — Wes Huber

Wednesday Afternoon Football

It’s crazy that we have a meaningful NFL game heading our way on a Wednesday afternoon. Almost as surprising as the fact that Baltimore at Pittsburgh will actually be played following essentially the entire Ravens’ offense testing positive. But we’ll take it! Let’s begin with the Baltimore skill players that will actually be on the field. Actually, this suggestion does come with a caveat. Both J.K. Dobbins and Mark Ingram previously tested positive, but are actually eligible for activation. However, they were ineligible for the team flight so, even if they are activated, they’ll need to secure a private flight or drive themselves to Pittsburgh. As long as they are ruled inactive, I am taking the over on Gus Edwards for 72.5 rushing yards (100 points). In his last two games against the Steelers without Ingram, he’s averaged 108.5 rushing yards. In fact, in Week 17 of last year, Robert Griffin III started at QB, and Edwards rushed for 130. If you’ve followed Baltimore this season, you are aware of Marquise Brown’s struggles. Over his last four games, he’s averaging 13.8 receiving yards. We could blame the fifth-highest rushing rate to go along with ninth-lowest pace of play. The simple fact is that the targets have been there (at least six in seven-of-10), he just hasn’t produced. After generating a 1/3/0 line last time these teams met — 13.3 over their last three, I am all over the under on Brown for 45.5 receiving yards (100 points). Finally, my favorite pick for the Steelers centers on Diontae Johnson. It’s tough to project much from Baltimore sans their dedication to the ground game and elite cornerback play. You could say that Marcus Peters has been the “weakest” link, but that would be unfair. That’s because Jimmy Smith could be the top CB in the NFL this season. Even when Johnson was able to align away from Smith’s coverage (0/0/0) in Week 8, Peters held him to 1/6/0. Safe to say I am taking the under on Diontae for 67.5 receiving yards (110 points). Good luck and enjoy your Wednesday afternoon football! — Wes Huber

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