Week 2 is upon us!
Saturday’s slate is another fun one with some juicy matchups. I love the potential RB and WR options on this slate while the QB choices seem more tricky. Another week, another underpriced Ohio State WR. Hello, Garrett Wilson. Is Sean Clifford the top QB on the slate? How many points will Jahan Dotson score versus a Ball State defense that allowed 367 passing yards to Western Illinois last week? How much work will Zaquandre White receive with Kevin Harris returning? Who is Lucas Krull again?
Come find out…
Against the Spread Picks
South Carolina (-2) vs East Carolina
Pittsburgh (-3) vs Tennessee
Oklahoma State vs Tulsa (Over 50.5)
TCU vs California (Over 48)
CJ Stroud, Ohio State vs Oregon (DK: $8.6K | FD: $11.0K | O/U: 64.0 | Implied: 39.25)
After a slow start versus Minnesota, CJ Stroud exploded in the 2nd half throwing for 236 yards and 4 TDs on 5 completions, showing why he won the QB competition at Ohio State. Stroud faces an Oregon DEF ranked 109th in PASS YPG after allowing 298 versus Fresno State. While the Bulldogs have a good passing game, Ohio State is on a whole different level. With an implied team total of 39.25, there are plenty of scoring opportunities for the Buckeye offense. Strongly consider paying up for Stroud as he is one of the few QBs who are reliable on this slate.
Sean Clifford, Penn State vs Ball State (DK: $8.1K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 40.0)
Sean Clifford is purely a matchup play facing a terrible Ball State PASS DEF. The Cardinals rank 125th in PASS YPG after giving up 367 yards in week 1 to FCS opponent Western Illinois. Clifford and the Penn State passing game did show positive signs as they racked up 247 yards through the air versus a stingy Wisconsin PASS DEF that only allowed 203 YPG last year. With an implied team total of 40 points, Clifford can put up big points this week especially if Ball State can keep it close in the first half.
Spencer Sanders, Oklahoma State vs Tulsa (DK: $7.5K | FD: $9.0K | O/U: 50.5 | Implied: 31.75)
Spencer Sanders did not play in week 1 due to COVID-19 protocols and the Oklahoma State offense struggled without him. The last time we saw Sanders he was lighting up the Miami defense with 304 yards and 4 TDs through the air along with 45 rushing yards. Tulsa PASS DEF struggled last week, allowing 311 yards to FCS opponent UC Davis. Sanders is one of the best values on this slate at the QB position as most of the QBs are priced too high for their potential production or have too many question marks. Despite not playing last week, Oklahoma State HC Mike Gundy stated that Sanders will play tomorrow night and he is worth a look as you’re constructing your lineup.
“I’m excited about him getting out there and seeing what he can bring to the table.”— OklahomanSports (@OklahomanSports) September 9, 2021
Spencer Sanders will play for #OKState on Saturday after clearing COVID protocol, Mike Gundy says (via @ScottWrightOK) https://t.co/DTqVpzJ1OJ
Anthony Brown, Oregon vs Ohio State (DK: $6.9K | FD: $8.0K | O/U: 64.0 | Implied: 24.75)
Drew Plitt, Ball State vs Penn State (DK: $6.1K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 18.0)
Isaiah Spiller, Texas A&M vs Colorado (DK: $6.7K | FD: $9.2K | O/U: 50.0 | Implied: 33.5)
Isaiah Spiller feels underpriced as a reaction to Devon Achane’s big game versus Kent State. However, Spiller out-snapped Achane 54-20 and still produced 117 rushing yards on 17 carries. All that to say, this is still Spiller’s backfield and he has a great matchup versus a Colorado defense that ranked 114th last year in YPC (5.44). Last year, Spiller rushed for 80-plus yards in 8-of-9 games including 6 games of 100-plus yards. He also had 18-plus carries in 7-of-9 games. He is essentially a lock to hit value tomorrow with 100-plus yards with a TD and a few receptions.
Zaquandre White, South Carolina vs East Carolina (DK: $4.9K | FD:$8.4K | O/U: 56.5 | Implied: 29.25)
With Kevin Harris injured, Zaquandre White took full advantage of his opportunity rushing for 128 yards and a TD while displaying some receiving chops with 4 catches for 39 yards and a receiving TD. Harris is cleared to play in this contest, but I expect White to still play a significant role. East Carolina struggled to stop the run versus Appalachian State last week, allowing two 100-yard rushers so even if Harris comes back there is room for two RBs to be productive. Due to Harris’ expected return, White did not receive a huge salary spike and is only $4.9K on DK. I’m inserting him confidently in my lineups tomorrow.
Good Lord, 6-1, 215-pound ZaQuandre White lookin’ like he was shot out of a cannon on this run pic.twitter.com/3IGpaa29NE— Trevor Sikkema (@TampaBayTre) September 5, 2021
Kyren Williams, Notre Dame vs Toledo (DK: $7.3K | FD: $10.0K | O/U: 55.0 | Implied: 36.25)
Kyren Williams had a modest night on the ground versus Florida State, 18 rushes for 43 yards, but was fantastic catching the ball — 6 catches for 83 yards and a TD — totaling 24 touches. As 18-point favorites, Notre Dame will be playing with a lead versus a sneaky tough Toledo team. I think Williams will have a similar workload and numbers as he did versus Florida State, which would exceed value at his price point of $7.3K.
Noah Cain, Penn State vs Ball State (DK: $6.4K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 40.0)
Malik Davis, Florida vs South Florida (DK: $5.6K | FD: $7.8K | O/U: 58.5 | Implied: 43.75)
Zach Evans, TCU vs California (DK: $4.6K | FD: $6.1K | O/U: 48.0 | Implied: 29.75)
TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State vs Oregon (DK: $4.3K | FD: $5.6K | O/U: 64.0 | Implied: 39.25)
Garrett Wilson, Ohio State vs Oregon (DK: $5.9K | FD: $8.9K | O/U: 64.0 | Implied: 39.25)
Garrett Wilson is now the underpriced WR at $5.9K on DK. I’m not really sure what DK is doing with the Ohio State WRs, but Wilson is a lock at his price point in Cash/SE (single-entry) slates after leading the Ohio State WRs in targets (11) resulting in 5 catches for 80 yards and a TD. Chris Olave is certainly in play at $7.2K as well on DK facing an Oregon defense that just allowed Fresno State to throw for 298 yards.
Jahan Dotson, Penn State vs Ball State (DK: $7.0K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 40.0)
Simply put, Jahan Dotson is a playmaker and left no question about who is the WR1 for Penn State week 1. He turned 11 targets (the next closest WR had 6) into 5 catches for 102 yards and a TD versus a very tough Wisconsin defense, and Sean Clifford missed him for what should have been another easy TD. Ball State’s pass defense is as generous as Wisconsin’s is stingy, allowing Western Illinois to throw for 367 yards. Western Illinois’ WR1, Dennis Houston, had a monster game catching 12 passes for 237 yards and 2 TDs on 14 targets. Quite frankly, it’s hard to imagine Dotson not putting up huge numbers this week barring injury.
Quentin Johnston, TCU vs California (DK: $5.1K | FD: $6.5K | O/U: 48.0 | Implied: 29.75)
Quentin Johnston and the rest of the TCU skill position players are discounted this week due to a “pedestrian” week 1 versus Duquesne. I’m a big fan of the TCU offense this year so I looked into this game a bit further. Apparently, Duquesne had major personnel issues coming into their matchup. The Duquesne HC and TCU HC Gary Patterson sat down before the game and agreed to have a running clock in the second half, before the game even started. The main goal stated by both coaches was to get through the game without further injuries. Essentially, this game was a glorified scrimmage.
All things considered, Johnston had a pretty decent game. He was targeted 7 times on 17 total routes and caught 4 passes for 38 yards. Early in the game, QB Max Duggan faked a jet sweep to Johnston in the red zone. My observations from the game were that Johnston is going to be a major focal point of the TCU offense. This week, he will face a California defense that was torched by Nevada for 312 passing yards and 2 TDs. Romeo Doubs, a similar WR to Johnston, had 6 catches for 83 yards and a TD last week for Nevada. Johnston is fully capable of putting up similar numbers this week and smashing value at $5.1K.
Lucas Krull, Pittsburgh vs Tennessee (DK: $3.7K | FD: $5.4K | O/U: 57.0 | Implied: 30.0)
Lucas Krull caught all 5 of his targets for 58 yards and a TD to lead the Panthers pass catchers in week 1. I’m a firm believer that this was not an anomaly, but the norm the Pittsburgh coaches were hoping to see from Krull in his first healthy season. During Spring ball, Pittsburgh HC Pat Narduzzi said Krull was playing like ‘first-round material’ right now and that he would be a featured part of the offense this year. He is an uber-athletic TE at 6’6”, 260 pounds and did not disappoint week 1.
This Pittsburgh offense loves to throw the rock. In 2020, they ranked 14th in pass attempts per game (38.6). Last week in a 51-7 blowout win versus Massachusetts, they threw the ball 45 times. This Pittsburgh-Tennessee matchup is going to feature a ton of plays. Both teams blew out their opponents last week and still ran a combined 174. Pittsburgh ran 86 plays themselves. Krull is a matchup-nightmare and will be featured in this game. Do not miss out on him at his cheap price tag of $3.7K.
Lucas Krull is going to be a HUGE asset for this offense going forward. Having a guy that big that can make athletic plays in the middle of the field frees up guys like Mack and Addison. He's also not going to be Pickett's 3rd or 4th option — he's good enough to be option 1 or 2.— Dalton Coppola (@dalton_coppola) September 5, 2021
Chris Olave, Ohio State vs Oregon (DK: $7.2K | FD: $9.8K | O/U: 64.0 | Implied: 39.25)
Tay Martin, Oklahoma State vs Tulsa (DK: $6.9K | FD: $8.2K | O/U: 50.5 | Implied: 31.75)
Justin Hall, Ball State vs Penn State (DK: $6.3K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 18.0)
Kevin Austin, Notre Dame vs Toledo (DK: $5.8K | FD: $8.5K | O/U: 55.0 | Implied: 36.25)
Bo Melton, Rutgers vs Syracuse (DK: $5.7K | FD: $8.7K | O/U: 52.0 | Implied: 27.0)
Yo’Heinz Tyler, Ball State vs Penn State (DK: $4.2K | FD: NA | O/U: 58.0 | Implied: 18.0)
Brock Bowers, Georgia vs Alabama-Birmingham (DK: $3.6K | FD: $5.6K | O/U: 45.5 | Implied: 35.0)