It’s championship weekend! I’m pumped we get to start it off with this two-game slate!
This Friday slate features rematches between teams who played each other earlier in the season so we have a sense of what to expect. I’m really pulling for a repeat of the shootout we saw between UTSA-WKU that resulted in 96 points. The top QB and RB options seem pretty clear on this slate, but choosing the correct WRs is a different story. It’s difficult to construct a lineup with Mitchell Tinsley and Jerreth Sterns so which one do we choose? Can Kris Hutson keep up his production over the last two weeks for Oregon? Is Zakhari Franklin a must this week in our lineup?
Let’s dig in…
Against the Spread Picks
Western Kentucky (-2) vs UTSA
Utah (-3) vs Oregon
Western Kentucky vs UTSA (Over 72)
Utah vs Oregon (Under 59.5)
Bailey Zappe, Western Kentucky vs UTSA (DK: $9.0K | FD: $11.5K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 37.25)
Bailey Zappe put up video game numbers this year throwing for 4,968 yards and 52 TDs for 37.6 FPG. When Zappe faced this UTSA defense in Week 6, he threw for a season-high 523 yards and 5 TDs. The first time these two teams played there was a total of 98 points scored so we want as much exposure as we can get to this game.
Frank Harris, UTSA vs Western Kentucky (DK: $6.4K | FD: $10.0K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 35.25)
Frank Harris is criminally underpriced at $6.4K considering how he performed last time versus Western Kentucky. In Week 6, he threw for a season-high 349 yards and 6 TDs while rushing for an additional 51 yards for 54.36 FPs. The Western Kentucky defense has improved dramatically since Week 6, not allowing more than 21 points in any game and only one 300-yards passer. I still like Harris to hit value at only $6.4K.
Cam Rising, Utah vs Oregon (DK: $6.7K | FD: $8.8K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 31.25)
Tavion Thomas, Utah vs Oregon (DK: $7.7K | FD: $9.8K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 31.25)
Tavion Thomas has been on a tear since Week 6, averaging 21 carries and 120.6 YPG along with 16 TDs for 27,7 FPG. He broke the Utah single-season record for rushing TDs (18). In his previous game versus Oregon, Thomas rushed for 94 yards and 3 TDs for 27.4 FPs. Thomas is the RB lock of the slate.
Sincere McCormick, UTSA vs Western Kentucky (DK: $6.2K | FD: $9.5K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 35.25)
SIncere McCormick had an excellent year, averaging 22 carries and 106.3 YPG along with 12 TDs for 21.2 FPG. He scored double-digit FPs in every game, but the last one of the year. In the previous game versus WKU, he had 25 touches and 142 yards for 19.2 FPs. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get another very heavy workload as they try to play keep away versus a WKU Offense that threw for 500-plus yards against them earlier in the year. At $6.2K, McCormick is an incredible value on DK.
Travis Dye, Oregon vs Utah (DK: $7.0K | FD: $9.0K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 28.25)
Byron Cardwell, Oregon vs Utah (DK: $3.8K | FD: $5.2K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 28.25)
Jerreth Sterns, Western Kentucky vs UTSA (DK: $7.3K | FD: $10.2K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 37.25)
Mitchell Tinsley, Western Kentucky vs UTSA (DK: $6.0K | FD: $8.6K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 37.25)
Jerreth Sterns, throughout the year, has been the clear WR1 for WKU. He has 10 games with double-digit targets including 3 20-plus target games. For the season, he has 170 targets, 127 receptions, and 1539 yards with 12 TDs for 31.5 FPG. His best game of the season was versus UTSA when he had 16 catches and 195 receiving yards with 2 TDs for 50.5 FPs. He is essentially a PPR monster. His last game was by far his worst of the year with only 4 catches for 28 yards so there might be some people who fade him at $7.3K.
Mitchell Tinsley has been the WR2 for WKU with 98 targets, 71 catches and 1,126 yards with 10 TDs. The next closest WR has 650 receiving yards. On top of that, Tinsley has two 40-plus FPs games in the last three weeks outproducing Sterns in each of those games. It’s tough to fit both Tinsley and Sterns in your lineup this week along with two QBs.
If I had to choose one, I think I would pick Mitchell Tinsley based on his recent three-week stretch, outproducing Jerreth Sterns.
Zakhari Franklin, UTSA vs Western Kentucky (DK: $5.2K | FD: $8.5K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 35.25)
Zakhari Franklin led UTSA in every receiving statistical category with 102 targets, 67 receptions, and 871 yards with 10 TDs for 20.6 FPG. Versus WKU earlier in the year, Franklin had 11 targets for 8 catches and 50 yards. He underperformed in that game with only 13 FPs and yet he still almost hit value at his current price point of $5.2K. I want Franklin in as many of my lineups as possible at that salary.
Kris Hutson, Oregon vs Utah (DK: $4.3K | FD: $5.7K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 28.25)
Kris Hutson has been the young WR who has stepped over the last couple of weeks after the Oregon receiving core was decimated by injuries. He has 18 targets in the last two games after accumulating 20 targets in the first 10. He has turned those 18 targets into 11 catches and 178 yards for 16.95 FPG. At $4.3K, Hutson is my favorite of the cheaper WR options on the slate.
Malachi Corley, Western Kentucky vs UTSA (DK: $5.3K | FD: $7.5K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 37.25)
Brant Kuithe, Utah vs Oregon (DK: $4.9K | FD: $6.7K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 31.25)
Daewood Davis, Western Kentucky vs UTSA (DK: $4.4K | FD: $6.8K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 37.25)
De’Corian Clark, UTSA vs Western Kentucky (DK: $4.2K | FD: $7.0K | O/U: 72.5 | Implied: 35.25)
Troy Franklin, Oregon vs Utah (DK: $4.0K | FD: $5.1K | O/U: 59.5 | Implied: 28.25)