Week 12 MKF Picks


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Week 12 MKF Picks

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Another Sunday, another MKF set to bet on. The first game I am playing is More or Less for the Jaguars vs. Falcons game. James Robinson was cleared to return prior to the game on Friday for the first time this far in advance since dealing with his bruised heel. This should mean a bump in his rushing attempts, which we have seen for examples in weeks three through six where he rushed for 73+ yards in all of those games, can mean a good day on the ground. Atlanta gives up the eight most rushing yards per game as well here, so I am taking James Robinson more than 68.5. I will pair this with Kyle Pitts under 67.5 receiving yards. Pitts is averaging a healthy 6.9 targets per game, and we have seen huge receiving days for games that he finished with 119 (Week 5) and 163 (Week 7), but he has had four straight games under 67.5 (the bet mark) receiving yards in a struggling Atlanta offense. Seven of Pitts’ 11 games have also been under 67.5 receiving yards. Hoping for a big day for the rookie TE, but the yardage I am not as optimistic for.

My second MKF game will be Rapid Fire for the Chargers vs. Broncos game. I am choosing Justin Herbert over Teddy Bridgewater (27.5 yard bonus) in passing yards, simply due to the QB ceilings and passing volume. Herbert has 538 more passing yards than Bridgewater in total and has five games above 300 passing yards to Bridgewater’s two. The volume is quite different between the two QB’s as well with Herbert only having two games under 38 passing attempts to Bridgewater having four games in the 16-28 attempt range. The second part of this pick I am choosing Austin Ekeler over Melvin Gordon in rushing yards. Austin Ekeler has had more total carries and total rushing yards on the season, and this is partially due to not having a Javonte Williams. Melvin Gordon’s efficiency is up and down in terms of the yards per carry, and you have to bank on it being great in a game since he has only been above 10 carries once in his last seven games. The committee in Denver with the possibility their rookie gets more work on a given day has me betting for Austin Ekeler and his clearer role in this. - Nick Skrip

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