Missing opportunities for big wins, as I did in Week 2, hit much worse when the following week is truly a miss. Going 2-3 in a week isn’t what I’m aiming for, and unlike Week 2, I actually think two of the losses (Minnesota and Appalachian State) in Week 3 were due to poor process.
Overall, this was the first bad week for the power rating outside of the Week 0 mess. The overall game picks outperformed the games with a three-point or more lean. For the week, the power rating went 24-20, and the recommended plays went just 11-13. The overall currently stands at 72-63, up 2.45 units, and the recommended is 43-41, down 1.91 units. I don’t expect that trend to continue, but I’ll be more wary of “mirage” teams that have inflated numbers due to overmatched competition.
But let us roll into a new week of picks and get the winning ways going again.
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