The 2025 NFL season is just around the corner, which means more NFL props are being released with each passing week. I previously broke down the 2025 NFL Win Totals, and it’s time to dive into the 2025 NFL Best and Worst Record Odds for all 32 teams. In this article, I highlighted bets I’ve already made on the San Francisco 49ers and Jacksonville Jaguars, plus a pair of additional wagers I considered.
The Kansas City Chiefs (+650) and Detroit Lions (+1000) finished with NFL-best 15-2 records, beating out the Philadelphia Eagles (+1100) and Minnesota Vikings (+15000) who each finished with 14 victories. Meanwhile, the New York Giants (+1000), Tennessee Titans (+900), and Cleveland Browns (+4000) ended in a three-way tie for worst record at 3-14. The Buffalo Bills (+450) are the favorites to lead the NFL in wins, followed by the Baltimore Ravens (+600), Eagles (+900), and Chiefs (+900) at 9/1 odds or shorter. The New Orleans Saints (+450) and Cleveland Browns are the co-favorites to finish with the NFL’s worst record, followed by the Giants (+600), New York Jets (+900), and Tennessee Titans at 12/1 odds or shorter.
Check out all of my 2025 NFL Futures articles during the off-season and my Best Bets for the 2025 season. We finished up +59.83 units for the 2024 season, including +23.93 units on Futures wagers.
Best and Worst Records from the Last 9 Seasons
| Year | Best Record | Odds (rank) | Worst Record | Odds (rank) |
| 2024 | Chiefs/Lions (15-2) | +650 (2nd)/+1000 (4th) | Titans/Giants/Browns (3-14) | +900 (4th)/+1000 (5th)/+4000 (15th) |
| 2023 | Ravens (13-4) | +1400 (6th) | Panthers (2-15) | +2000 (10th) |
| 2022 | Chiefs/Eagles (14-3) | +900 (4th)/+1600 (10th) | Bears (3-14) | +650 (3rd) |
| 2021 | Bucs/Packers (13-4) | +450 (2nd)/+2200 (10th) | Jaguars (3-14) | +1000 (4th) |
| 2020 | Chiefs (14-2) | +450 (1st) | Jaguars (1-15) | +200 (1st) |
| 2019 | Ravens (14-2) | +3300 (15th) | Bengals (2-14) | +500 (2nd) |
| 2018 | Rams/Saints (13-3) | +800 (4th)/+1200 (7th) | Cardinals (3-13) | +900 (3rd) |
| 2017 | Four-way tie (13-3) | — | Browns (0-16) | +600 (3rd) |
| 2016 | Patriots (14-2) | +800 (3rd) | Browns (1-15) | +350 (1st) |
Historical Hints
The favorites at the top of the boards have dominated in both the best and worst record markets. Teams listed at +1000 odds or shorter have finished with the best record or tied for the best record in seven of the last nine seasons. If you’re going to look down the board for a longer shot to win this market, do it when the Ravens have longer odds. The 2023 Baltimore Ravens (+1400) and the 2019 Baltimore Ravens (+3300) both came from off the pack to finish with the best record. In 2022, the Philadelphia Eagles (+1600) shared the top record honors with the Kansas City Chiefs (+900). In 2017, the Minnesota Vikings (+2500) and Philadelphia Eagles (+2800) at longer odds finished in a four-way tie for the NFL’s best record at 13-3.
The worst record market has been even more chalky with teams listed at +1000 odds or shorter owning the dishonor of being the NFL’s worst team in eight of the last nine seasons. The 2023 Carolina Panthers broke the run of the top favorites to finish with the worst record by doing it at +2000 odds. The 2017 New England Patriots (+275) and the 2020 Kansas City Chiefs (+450) are the only top favorites to finish with the best record in the last nine years. Meanwhile, the 2016 Cleveland Browns (+350) and the 2020 Jacksonville Jaguars (+200) are the top favorites to finish with the worst record in that same span.
2025 NFL Best and Worst Record Odds
The table is sorted by Longest Odds for Best Record. You should target the Longest Odds for either the Best Record or the Worst Record to maximize your potential return. I used odds from DraftKings (DK), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) as of August 11.
| Team | Longest Odds for Best Record | Longest Odds for Worst Record |
| Buffalo Bills | +450 (MGM) | +100000 (ESPN) |
| Baltimore Ravens | +600 (ESPN) | +100000 (ESPN) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +900 (DK) | +50000 (ESPN) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +900 (DK) | +40000 (ESPN) |
| San Francisco 49ers | +1200 (DK/ESPN) | +30000 (ESPN) |
| Detroit Lions | +1800 (DK/MGM) | +20000 (ESPN/365) |
| Los Angeles Rams | +2000 (DK/MGM) | +17500 (365) |
| Washington Commanders | +2200 (DK/365) | +20000 (ESPN) |
| Green Bay Packers | +2500 (365) | +15000 (ESPN) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2800 (365) | +15000 (ESPN) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +3000 (MGM) | +25000 (ESPN) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3000 (ESPN) | +15000 (DK/ESPN) |
| Denver Broncos | +3500 (ESPN) | +13000 (DK) |
| Minnesota Vikings | +3500 (ESPN) | +10000 (ESPN) |
| Houston Texans | +5000 (MGM) | +15000 (ESPN) |
| Arizona Cardinals | +5000 (MGM) | +7500 (365) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +8000 (MGM) | +5000 (DK/365) |
| Chicago Bears | +8000 (365) | +6000 (ESPN) |
| Seattle Seahawks | +8000 (365) | +5000 (ESPN) |
| New England Patriots | +10000 (ESPN) | +6500 (DK) |
| Atlanta Falcons | +10000 (MGM) | +3500 (ESPN) |
| Dallas Cowboys | +15000 (365) | +3500 (DK/ESPN) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 (ESPN) | +2800 (DK/365) |
| Miami Dolphins | +20000 (MGM) | +3000 (ESPN) |
| Indianapolis Colts | +20000 (multiple) | +2000 (365) |
| Tennessee Titans | +50000 (ESPN) | +1200 (DK) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +50000 (ESPN) | +1400 (DK/365) |
| Carolina Panthers | +50000 (ESPN) | +1600 (DK) |
| New York Jets | +50000 (MGM) | +900 (DK) |
| New York Giants | +50000 (multiple) | +600 (DK/ESPN) |
| New Orleans Saints | +50000 (multiple) | +425 (ESPN/365) |
| Cleveland Browns | +70000 (DK) | +425 (ESPN) |
Brolley’s Best Bets
San Francisco 49ers best regular season record (+1200, DraftKings)
Risk .5 units to win 6 units.
You’re not surprised to see the 49ers in this article if you’ve been tailing my bets or listening to the Best Bets podcast this off-season. I bought low on the Eagles last off-season, cashing a Super Bowl bet at +2200 odds and nearly hitting on them to win the most games last season at +1500. I bought the dip on the 49ers this off-season. They’ve yet to finish with the NFL’s best record in Kyle Shanahan’s first eight seasons as head coach, but they’ve finished with the NFC’s top record three times (2023, 2022, 2019) in the last six seasons.
San Francisco entered last season as the NFC favorites to win the Super Bowl before they experienced a season from hell. It started before the season opener when it came out that Christian McCaffrey was dealing with Achilles tendinitis, and it continued with Brandon Aiyuk (ACL) and Trent Williams (personal/ankle) each missing significant time. Shanahan’s offense still finished fourth in yards per game (376.3) and third in yards per play (6.2) despite significant injuries on the offensive side of the ball.
San Francisco’s defense should be significantly improved with Robert Saleh returning to coordinate the unit. The 49ers finished inside the top five in yards per game allowed in Saleh’s final two seasons as defensive coordinator in 2019-20, and the Jets finished inside the top four in yards per game allowed in his last two full seasons as New York’s HC in 2022-23. The 49ers have struggled on special teams throughout Shanahan’s tenure, but they were a special kind of disaster last year. They lost nearly 64 expected points on special teams, which was 25.1 lost points more than the 31st-ranked team.
San Francisco lost some talent this off-season, but they offset it by selecting eight players in the first five rounds of the draft. The 49ers will benefit from playing the NFL’s easiest schedule, which gives them unique games against the Giants, Bears, and Browns. They’re also scheduled for games against the AFC South and NFC South, which puts a 12+ win season well within reach with much better luck in 2025.
Jacksonville Jaguars fewest regular season wins (+2800, DraftKings)
Risk .25 units to win 7 units.
Trevor Lawrence was tagged as a generational prospect when he entered the league as the first overall pick in 2021. He’s yet to live up to the hype, and the Jaguars hired Liam Coen to try to bring the best out of T-Law. The Jaguars have already finished with the worst record with Lawrence at quarterback, finishing a league-worst 3-14 during Lawrence’s rookie campaign. Jacksonville also finished with the worst record in 2020 to land Lawrence with the first overall pick. Last season, the Jaguars finished 25th or worse in PPG and YPG on both sides of the ball on their way to finishing with a 4-13 record.
Lawrence is coming off season-ending shoulder surgery, and he’ll be under his third coaching staff in five seasons. I’m a big believer in Coen as an offensive play-caller, but he’s getting his first chance to be a head coach at 39 years old. He also hired a pair of first-time coordinators in OC Grant Udinski (29 years old) and DC Anthony Campanile (42) to be his top lieutenants. Jacksonville has a lot of inexperience on staff, which extends to James Gladstone (35) in the front office.
They’re favored in 6-of-17 games (35.2%) but just twice in their first 11 games. Jacksonville needs to hit the ground running, or else it could be another long season in Duval County. The Jaguars host four games in the first six weeks (Car, @Cin, Hou, @SF, KC, Sea) before they head across the pond for their annual London game against the Rams in Week 7. Jacksonville opens the season as field-goal favorites over the Panthers, which could be a bellwether game for both teams. Jacksonville has a wider range of outcomes than most teams. I could see Lawrence finally living up to his potential and Coen establishing himself as an offensive mastermind, or this franchise could remain one of the league’s bigger laughingstocks of the NFL.
Brolley’s Leans
Denver Broncos most regular season wins (+3500, ESPNBet).
The Broncos snapped an eight-year playoff drought in Bo Nix’s rookie season and Sean Payton’s second year as head coach. Nix surpassed all expectations with 29 passing TDs and 4 rushing TDs, and plenty of recent quarterbacks made huge leaps in Year Two. The Broncos, like the Commanders, were aggressive at the start of the league year with their quarterback entering the second year of his rookie contract. The Broncos were back to having some cap flexibility with Russell Wilson’s contract nearly off the books, which they used to bring in Evan Engram as a possession receiver.
They also spent up for former 49ers Talanoa Hufanga and Dre Greenlaw, who could take this defense to even higher levels if they can stay healthy — they combined for just 9 games last season. The Broncos finished first in sack percentage (8.9%), first in EPA/play (-.12), and second in YPC allowed (3.87). Patrick Surtain, the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, faced just 62 targets and allowed only 5.3 YPT with an aDOT of just 6.4 yards. Denver then added to an already elite secondary by selecting Jahdae Barron in the first round. I ultimately stayed away from this wager at these juicy odds because of the gauntlet that is the AFC West, which hasn’t produced a division outside of the Chiefs in the last decade.
New Orleans Saints fewest regular season wins (+425, ESPNBet)
I was a year too early when I gave out the Saints to finish with the NFL’s fewest wins last season at +2600 odds. New Orleans mustered just five victories in 2024, and the Saints would be my favorite to win the fewest regular season games, but they share the co-favorite (dis)honor with the Browns entering the season. The Saints sank to the bottom of my power rankings after Derek Carr surprisingly announced his retirement in May, which left New Orleans with the NFL’s worst quarterback situation.
Second-round pick Tyler Shough was the favorite to be the opening day starter, but he’s been passed by Spencer Rattler in the NFL’s most underwhelming QB camp battle. Rattler went winless in six starts last season, ranking 38th in YPA (5.78), completion percentage (57%), and passer rating (70.4) among 39 QBs who attempted 200+ passes. Alvin Kamara will need to take significant pressure off his young quarterbacks, which could be tough to do in his ninth season at 30 years old.
The quarterback of New Orleans’ defense, Tyrann Mathieu, also surprisingly retired on the eve of training camp to leave a void on defense. The only factor working in the Saints' favor is that they’ll face the third-easiest schedule based on season win totals (per Sharp Football). Kellen Moore has his work cut out for him as a first-time head coach with a team finally preparing to bottom out after years of putting it off.
