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Week 17 (aka Fantasy Championship week) and I am jumping on a MKF More/Less fantasy points game for the Chiefs/Bengals matchup. Joe Mixon is coming off of a massive 31.5 fantasy point week after spending the prior three weeks under 10 fantasy points. Mixon’s upside is his pass-catching, with him being inefficient on the ground the last four games rushing for under 3.7 yards per carry. A Chiefs matchup to me means the possibility for the script of the game favoring the Bengals WR’s over their RB against Mahomes. Tyreek Hill on the other side had a really down week in his last game, but the scoreline along with him spending that whole week in COVID protocols should be factored in. In his game prior to last week, Hill had 13 targets, a stat line he is currently 4th in for the league. Hill is also 5th in receiving yards and 3rd in catches as the WR5 overall through three games above 32 fantasy points and seven with 20 or more. Selecting Joe Mixon less than 17.5 fantasy points and Tyreek Hill more than 16.5 fantasy points with a Hill bounce-back game in mind.
My second MKF selection is another More/Less for the Patriots vs. Jaguars game. Jakobi Meyers is currently questionable heading into this game, which is already not the greatest sign for him. Meyers through his 14 appearances has been under 56 receiving yards in nine of them, while only hitting 70 or more receiving yards three times which displays his receiving upside, or lack of it. Dare Ogunbowale just went 17 carries for 57 rushing yards last week, filling in for James Robinson who had a devastating achilles injury. I expect Dare to get somewhere between 16 to 18 carries, so for him to hit 45 rushing yards with this he would have to average 2.5-2.64-2.81 rushing yards which is a modest mark. I do not expect a big day for Dare but projecting maybe 50 rushing yards seems modest and very doable. Selecting Jakobi Meyers less than 55.5 receiving yards with Dare Ogunbowale more than 44.5 rushing yards. Good luck out there!
- Nick Skrip