Welcome to Brookline, everybody! This week, we stop at the legendary Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts for this year’s 122nd showing of the U.S. Open. This is a classic U.S. Open type of venue, and will present a tough challenge for the field.
All of golf’s eyes will be on this week’s tournament because for the first time since, well, 3 weeks ago, all of the suspended AND unsuspended players will be participating! The USGA stated earlier this month that all qualified golfers, whether on the now-infamous LIV Tour or the PGA stalwarts, would be able to compete.
That news gives us the most complete field that we have seen in about a month, and allows us to build our DFS lineups just the way we want them! This is a very strong field, and there are definitely players that I am happy to eat the public “chalk” on.
Justin Thomas ($10,900)
Thomas will surely be a popular play this week. He is coming in fresh off a 3rd place finish at the RBC Canadian Open last week and of course, he won the PGA Championship at Southern Hills about a month ago. He’s also in some of the best playing form of his career right now, so this checks out.
Thomas is one of the best wedge players in today’s game. He ranks 6th in Scrambling, 3rd in sand save %, and 1st in Bogey Avoidance this season, factors that will be important this week on a course that has the second smallest greens on Tour. The FantasyPts Projections have him scoring 10 more points than any other player in the field, so he is one of my chalky plays here.
Jon Rahm ($10,800)
Next up, we have defending U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm. He checks a bunch of the boxes that you are looking for in a potential champion at a course like this: his tee-to-green game is immaculate and he is the best player in the field at the very important key metric of Greens In Regulation %.
It takes a calm mind and a tuned-in game to take home a major championship in this sport. Rahm may have a fiery temper at times, but he has the nerves of steel to make it through this rough course. At a projected 13% ownership, he makes a lot of sense as the base for your lineups.
Shane Lowry ($9000)
Lowry is another player that I have my eye on as a very solid fit for this kind of course. A former major winner himself, Lowry is a guy that you will have to swallow your nerves and again play with the public here because he is projected to come in at a walloping 19.5% ownership rate.
At this price point combined with the solid golf he has been playing, I wasn’t too surprised to see this number, and don’t want to be a major too late if Shane goes wild this week. He’s one of the best players on Tour around the green, and when his putting game is on he is tough to beat.
Sam Burns ($8300)
Burns sticks out to me as one of two cash plays I will be very in on this week, as his ownership is projected to be the highest this week at over 20%. He is however playing the best golf of his career this year, and with 3 wins already, many think his time holding a major championship trophy is right around the corner.
Burns comes in as a solid fit for this course because he knows how to move the ball around off the tee. He can bomb it with the best of them and also dial it back to hit fairways, and is similar to Thomas in that his game from 100 yards in is spectacular and should give him a lot of better looks at par or better. He is potentially the most mispriced player in this field, so make sure you check before leaving him out of lineups.
Mito Pereira ($7800)
It’s not often that after losing a PGA Championship in brutal fashion, a golfer will regroup, post two solid finishing weeks in a row, and come into the next major of the season with renewed confidence, but that’s exactly the path that Pereira has taken this summer. I still may throw an outright wager on Pereira at the 66-1 that most books are hanging on him.
He ranks inside the top 20 in both GIR % and Strokes Gained Off-The-Tee, so I am looking for him to maneuver his way around this difficult course as well and post another solid week. He has a massive chip on his shoulder from the last major, so watch out for the Chilean.
Sungjae Im ($7600)
Im is the other cash play/SE look that I am targeting this week. He comes in at over 18% projected ownership for us and at $7600, that doesn’t shock me at all. Sungjae is one of those guys that doesn’t miss many events and comes in and plays solidly almost always. He is a top-25 stalwart, given that he has played 18 events this season and finished in that spot or better 12 times including one win.
He grades out spectacularly for this course as well. He ranks 3rd in Scrambling, 8th in GIR %, 5th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green, and 2nd in Bogey Avoidance. He’s a player you want in your DFS lineups and I think he can make an honest run for his first major championship this week.
Davis Riley ($7300)
The last chalky player I’m putting into this piece, Riley is here because again, he also feels a bit mispriced. We’re talking about a player who hasn’t finished outside of the top 13 in 6 events, so this feels like a nice spot.
It isn’t a leverage play like Clark will be, but Riley falls into a similar category as Burns that I do not want to miss the boat when he goes on a run and wins his first major title. He is playing stupendously this season. With the bottom tier for DFS being a bit of a wasteland for this major, Riley fits the mold of someone you want to fill out the bottom of your lineup with.
Wyndham Clark ($6800)
Lastly, we come to our “out there” guy. Clark has caught my eye the last couple of tournaments by consistently dropping the ball into good spots on the green and cleaning up with a strong putting game. He falls into my category of lengthy guys and I do think that can help him on this course.
At just over 1% ownership, I think this is a fine dart throw for you to try and get different in your lineups. He has two top 10s over the past 6 events and is coming in looking to make a statement after strongly contending last week at the RBC Canadian.