We’re proud to partner up with ThriveFantasy for the 2020 season and are bringing you some of our favorite prop picks on their app each week!
ThriveFantasy is one of the newest apps out there, combining Daily Fantasy and Player Props, and is so easy to use! Simply sign up, choose your contest, and choose 10 out of the 20 available player props! Each prop is assigned a fantasy value for both the Over and the Under based on likelihood. Hit the most props and rack up the most points to win a share of the prize pool!
Use promo code FANTASYPOINTS when you sign up today and you’ll receive an instant match up to $50 on your first deposit! (minimum deposit of $25)
Here are our favorite Week 14 ThriveFantasy Player Props.
Note: Picks will be added at the end of the week for Sunday games.
Thursday Night Football
It’s been awhile since we’ve had a regular Thursday Night Football contest with the Ravens’ schedule getting reshuffled the last two weeks, but we’re back with a rematch of Super Bowl LIII between the Patriots and the Rams. Oddsmakers aren’t expecting many points to be scored in this game with the total plummeting below 44 points as we head toward kickoff. With that in mind, I’m looking at a pair of unders for this week’s recommendations. I’ll start with Cam Newton (NE) under 200.5 passing yards (105 pts) as he hasn’t reached 100+ passing yards in consecutive games. The Rams are allowing a league-low 219.3 passing yards per game after limiting Kyler Murray to 173 yards, and the Patriots are averaging the third-fewest passing yards per game (191.4). I’m also looking at Josh Reynolds (LAR) under 47.5 receiving yards (100 pts) after the Rams started mixing Van Jefferson in more last week. The second-round pick ran more routes than Reynolds last week (25 to 21) for the first time this season, and Jefferson also had more production (4/27 receiving to 1/21). Here’s hoping this week’s game is better than that boring, 13-3 game won by the Patriots two years ago. Good luck! — Tom Brolley
It’s Cam v. Ram this Thursday, and I’m in agreement with Mr. Brolley on his Newton prop, but I’m gonna double down and take Cam Newton under 19.5 Completions (90 points). I also think N’Keal Harry under 23.5 receiving yards (105 points) is a good bet. He’s the #4 receiver on this team at this point (counting the RB position as a whole as one of the receivers in front of him), so with that low-volume passing attack, they’ll likely only look Harry’s way in the Red Zone. I also like Cooper Kupp over 6.5 receptions (110 points) as the Patriots wield some hefty metal in their perimeter corners, but are vulnerable over the middle. — Justin Varnes
Sunday Games
We’ve made it to Week 14 and we have a competitive slate of games with nine games lined at four points or fewer. One of those tightly lined games features the surging Giants against the Cardinals in an important contest for the NFC playoffs. Wayne Gallman is getting hot as the team’s lead runner and I’m looking at Gallman (NYG) over 56.5 rushing yards. He’s coming off a career-best 135 rushing yards against the Seahawks last week, and he’s averaging 87.5 rushing yards per game in the last four weeks. The Cardinals just gave up a combined 121/2 rushing to Cam Akers and Darrell Henderson last week. The next prop I’m looking at is A.J. Brown (Ten) over 58.5 receiving yards in his matchup with the Jaguars. He’s averaging 82.3 receiving yards per game in his last three contests and the Jaguars just got burned by another young stud WR in Justin Jefferson, who posted 9/121/1 receiving. Speaking of Jefferson, for my final prop I’m taking Jefferson (Min) over 73.5 receiving yards. He’s posted 70+ yards in four straight games, which helped him to reach 1000 yards in just 12 games. He’s the first Vikings rookie WR to reach 1000 yards since some guy named Randy Moss did it in 1998. Jefferson will go against a Buccaneers secondary that just got eviscerated on deep balls by Tyreek Hill to the tune of 13/269/3 receiving. Enjoy this week’s great slate of games and best of luck, as always. — Tom Brolley
Yeah, yeah, I know Mitch Trubisky is zero fun to get behind, but Houston is down several corners, so give me Allen Robinson over 0.5 receiving TDs (115 pts) against either a 3rd-string CB or a safety forced into playing CB. Also, we’ve got Tyler Lockett barely breaking 60 yards receiving, so give me the Tyler Lockett Under 71.5 receiving yards (105 pts) as Seattle continues to migrate back to the run, and in a game where they might not have to throw it a ton. Good luck in the playoffs, and most importantly good luck taking home some cash. — Justin Varnes
Monday Night Football
Exceeding every expectation, Cleveland’s 2020 success could potentially present us with one of the better clashes on Monday Night Football this season. The Browns’ O-line has simply been one of the best across the league. However, when these teams met in Week 1, the Ravens embarrassed the “Dog Pound” 38-6 in M&T Bank Stadium. Averaging 5.1 YPC, Cleveland actually out-rushed Baltimore 138 to 111. It was Baker Mayfield’s complete disaster of a performance that stunted the offense. The defense certainly didn’t help the cause.
Let’s begin with the Ravens’ ground game. The previous matchup took place prior to the admission that Mark Ingram II no longer provided the team with its best opportunity for success. Ingram averaged 2.9 YPC on a 30 percent carry share in Week 1. Averaging a 47 percent backfield share from Week 6 through Week 10, Gus Edwards appeared to ascend to lead status. However, Edwards’ 3.7 YPC during that stretch opened the door for J.K. Dobbins to take on a 75 percent share in Week 11.
Placement on the reserve/COVID-19 list in Week 12 put those plans on hold, but Dobbins reemerged with a 30 percent share last week compared to 19 percent for Edwards. I’m anticipating we see a continuation of that lead role — possibly even increasing, facing a Browns’ defense that’s been rather decent versus the run. But they have allowed the fourth-highest rate of first downs per carry at 28.9 percent, permitting the 10th-highest third down conversion rate (43.2 percent). With at least 70 rushing yards in both games he’s been featured in the backfield, I’m taking the over on Dobbins for 58.5 rushing yards (100 points).
Cleveland’s pass defense has been particularly deficient in containing opposing TEs. They’ve ceded rock-solid consistency granting the second-most FPG to opposing TEs over their last four (20.0), and all season (16.5). A major reason has been their complete inability to prevent TEs from reaching the end zone. They’ve supported the third-most TDs to TEs over the season (0.75), increasing to a full TD/game over their last four. Also factoring his pair of TDs scored facing the Browns in Week 1, I am taking the over on 0.5 receiving TDs for Mark Andrews (110 points).
As for the Baltimore defense, it’s expected they’ll have far more difficulty stopping the run than their short-handed passing attack. Odell Beckham Jr.’s season-ending knee injury will obviously continue to keep him out, and Austin Hooper will join him on the sidelines this week. Marlon Humphrey will most likely focus his attention on Jarvis Landry out of the slot. Running the highest percentage of his routes from left wideout, Rashard Higgins will end up inside the coverage of Jimmy Smith on at least half of passing snaps. Smith is limiting his coverage responsibilities to 0.36 yards/coverage snap (best in the NFL out of 96 qualified outside CBs), and 0.106 air yards/coverage snap (also the top mark in the NFL). Despite exceeding the total in three of his last four games, I am betting the under on 47.5 receiving yards for Higgins on MNF (100 points). Good luck with those points! — Wes Huber
